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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 8/10/24 at 8:53 am to narddogg81
quote:
Kamala having a narrow lead in polls that usually have a plus 5-10 in Democrat participants is not really a win for her
How do you know that? I'm not saying you don't, but all we have are the polls to go by. The momentum is Harris's right now, there's no doubt about it. I've seen the odds go from -151 to +120 in the last 2 weeks for Trump. They're +100 for Kamala currently.
They'll see another spike after the convention and they milk Michelle Obama for the blackness factor. Trump has to deliver in the debate, more than that, Kamala has to be thrown at least a few curveballs AKA any question she didn't have beforehand. Otherwise this election is Kamala's to lose.
We're in trouble at the moment. If he gets GA and WI, Trump wins. But the blue wall states (WI MI PA) typically all vote the same. So hopefully that isn't the case this year.
Posted on 8/10/24 at 8:54 am to Message Board User
As some who worked at a polling station during the Obama campaign.... Believe no poll
Posted on 8/10/24 at 9:13 am to DarkDrifter
It seems crazy that the blue wall folks would vote for 4 more years of this, but I’m just a dumb southerner. I’ve met lots of good folks from up there, but many of them moved down here to escape the cold and the political craziness.
Posted on 8/10/24 at 9:14 am to Placekicker
quote:
The gaslighting continues…
What makes this poll "gas lighting"?
Posted on 8/10/24 at 9:16 am to wryder1
quote:
The woman couldn’t beat anyone in the DNC primary and now all of a sudden she is beating Trump?
Some of you people have no real grasp on reality.
It doesn't matter if she couldn't beat anyone in the DEMOCRAT primary. She has a D next to her name and is running against an R. That already gets her 40-45% of the vote, before anyone even knows what her name is and who her R opponent is.
Throw in that she was the first female VP ever, and a chance to be first female President, and she's running against Trump, who gets both supporters and opponents all riled up.
Trump needs to stick to talking points about the border, economy, and maybe the war in Europe and Middle East under Biden/Harris's watch. NOTHING ELSE.
Posted on 8/10/24 at 9:18 am to GumboPot
What are you talking about??
Biden didn’t win by those % in WI, GA, AZ, NV
They were all less than a fraction of a point but the polls showed him on average up over 5 in all 4 states
Biden didn’t win by those % in WI, GA, AZ, NV
They were all less than a fraction of a point but the polls showed him on average up over 5 in all 4 states
Posted on 8/10/24 at 10:12 am to Big4SALTbro
Yea we gonna find out pretty soon if she can stand and speak at least or ramble/wobble off incoherently.
Posted on 8/10/24 at 11:11 am to Message Board User
Everyone is calling this poll out fwiw
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Posted on 8/10/24 at 11:12 am to Bama Bird
Posted on 8/10/24 at 11:14 am to Bama Bird
2020 results in this sample:
Wisconsin: Biden +6
Michigan: Biden +5
Pennsylvania: Biden +4
When you adjust for reality, you get the Trafalgar numbers.
Wisconsin: Biden +6
Michigan: Biden +5
Pennsylvania: Biden +4
When you adjust for reality, you get the Trafalgar numbers.
Posted on 8/10/24 at 11:19 am to Message Board User
quote:
So we're in the "UNSKEW THE POLLS" stage of cope.
We're in the "numbers don't add up" stage. I'm perfectly willing to call out any poll as being ridiculous (as I did the MC a few weeks ago which had Trump+4 in PA) so long as the sample doesn't make sense.
Trump won PA White non-college 79-20 in 2020 and Biden did way better with that group than Clinton did due to his reputation/history.
These are not legit numbers
Posted on 8/10/24 at 11:54 am to Message Board User
All are the exact same percentage? bullshite
They aren’t even trying
They aren’t even trying
Posted on 8/10/24 at 12:23 pm to Bama Bird
Very well put!
Posted on 8/10/24 at 3:33 pm to IMSA_Fan
RCP has trump winning with 287 electoral votes.
Sorry, kid. Kamala is toast.
Sorry, kid. Kamala is toast.
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