Just spit-balling but IMO these are the reasons for Trump's polling momentum.

TL/DR, and not necessarily in order of importance:

1. The current Hamas/Jewish protest.
2. Trials.
3. Immigration.
4. Economics.
5. Recency bias.

First the current Hamas/Jewish protest makes me lol. Most of these college Hamas protesters are paid protesters that are roping in and provoking weak mined college students. These people are funded by George Soros and Rockefeller NGOs. What is funny is the Hamas protests have morphed into protest against the Jews. Both are strong Democrat Party strongholds, or supposed to be and they are fighting against each other. This forces Biden and his administration to talk out of both sides of their mouth in an attempt to appease Hamas but also keep Israel supporters on the Democrat plantation. Where Biden has been duplicitous with these current protest, Trump has remained consistent in his support for Israel, condemnation of Hamas and a peaceful resolution.

The Soros and Rockefeller NGOs have got to be frustrated with the current protest. You know they are hoping for a George Floyd moment to rope in Al Sharpton and other race agitators.

The Trump trials are self evident. I believe a lot of independent mined voters see them as political trials and Trump is getting the benefit of those optics.

Immigration is also self evident. Most of these illegals are flooding into Democrat run cities and making these shitholes more shitholie. Furthermore it's only a matter of time that one or a few of these illegals commits a major terror attack adding major negative polling pressure on the Biden administration.

IMO the economic front is the biggest anchor on the Biden presidency. I think I have identified the economic data that is driving economic uneasiness. Those data points are Real Median Household, Personal and Family incomes. They have all declined since 2019.



And zoomed in:


Just spit-balling but white suburban women who are willing to give Democrats their sympathy vote in 2020 when times felt good may not be feeling it right now because they can't buy the same amount of groceries or go on similar vacations that they did a few years ago.

Then there is recency bias. This is a human condition because we like to remember the good times. Both Trump and Biden have a presidential track record to compare and the recency bias is hurting Biden a little more than Trump.