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Is there any early metrics that have been bad for trump

Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:42 pm
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:42 pm
I’m not talking about polling. That just seems so arbitrary and garbage

More like early voting result. New registrations. Ballots requested, etc

Is there anything that looks horrible for trump. Because all I’ve seen are encouraging signs for the big orange man

Is all this Biden optimism just based on pollling
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 9:47 pm
Posted by 5Wide
Member since Jun 2013
1918 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Is all this Biden optimism just based on polling




It's based on suppression polling and even those polls are beginning to tighten.
Posted by UnitedFruitCompany
Bay Area
Member since Nov 2018
3380 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 9:48 pm to
Literally all the internals (ie the only ones that matter) have Trump crushing Biden. Why else allow a career crook and a pro ball washer to be at the top of your ticket?

It's why Pelosi keeps making empty threats about the stimulus. She's trying to use it as a cudgel against Trump to hurt his chances but all it's doing is boosting his base.

He has them all on tilt and they are officially out of ideas.
Posted by AUFANATL
Member since Dec 2007
3891 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:12 pm to

Pennsylvania mail-in ballots seem pretty favorable for Dems. They have a 3-1 advantage vs registered Republicans as far as returned ballots go.

Democrats are generally assumed to comfortably lead in early voting as more Republicans plan to vote on election day. But if you look at data from other competitive states - like FL, NV, AZ, IA, NC, NM there is not the disparity you see in PA.
Posted by SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
9510 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:17 pm to
Fraud in PA will be rampant.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164143 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:19 pm to
Pennsylvania mail in voting looks horrible so far. But Pennsylvania has never been a big early voting state so Republicans are waiting until election day like they've done in every election in the past. Like 2016 when Trump won.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72128 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

Pennsylvania mail in voting looks horrible so far. But Pennsylvania has never been a big early voting state so Republicans are waiting until election day like they've done in every election in the past. Like 2016 when Trump won.
Prior to this election, wasn’t it only Pitt and Philly that had the early/mail in voting?
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1636 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:28 pm to
How do you ow this regarding the internals?
Posted by HubbaBubba
F_uck Joe Biden, TX
Member since Oct 2010
45774 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:29 pm to
Are
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
4830 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Pennsylvania mail-in ballots seem pretty favorable for Dems. They have a 3-1 advantage vs registered Republicans as far as returned ballots go.


This is because only Pittsburg and Philly have early voting and they are heavy democratic so this is expected. If you dig into the numbers they are actually running behind where they should be.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72128 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

This is because only Pittsburg and Philly have early voting and they are heavy democratic so this is expected. If you dig into the numbers they are actually running behind where they should be.
Joe was down earlier, pretty significantly, from where Clinton was in Philly.

It was at least 10%, if I remember right.
Posted by Goforit
Member since Apr 2019
4753 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 10:39 pm to
Red tide coming thanks to a coalition of whites, blacks, Hispanics, and Asians. If you can't bear to exist for four more years in Trumpville then you know what you must do.
Posted by UnitedFruitCompany
Bay Area
Member since Nov 2018
3380 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

How do you ow this regarding the internals?


Jody told me
Posted by AnyonebutSteelers
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2020
711 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:59 pm to
Lots of first-time voters, minority voters, coming out in high numbers. Not sure if they are actually booosting the D's, though, or merely cannibalizing their Election-Day vote itself.
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