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re: Is the big argument now gonna be whether Trump blinked?

Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:05 pm to
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
67580 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:05 pm to
Again, the “uniparty” is an invention of the internet ultra--conservative dweebs
and picked up by wackos like MTG so she can whine when the adults in her party slap her around.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Why would your score keeping ever have to be anything but determining are we overall better off now or before?


I mean, lots of people got very invested in other goals stated by the admin and argued they were the path of being better off.

Like, take the "refi bros". They told us for days how the most important thing for the US was refinancing the 9T at lower rates. If that argument was true, then we have a problem.

Or, take the people who argued manufacturing was the most important thing. That's not coming back, either.

etcetc.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

he didn't fail at his goals, that's your TDS talking

Read the whole quote, primarily the first word.
Posted by Mushroom1968
Member since Jun 2023
5316 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:06 pm to
VOR

The white nationalism coming out of your post is alarming
Posted by saintslsupels
Member since Jul 2014
2492 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

Did he?
If his goals were to have a stock market dip, raise prices and not bring any jobs back to the USA, then yes he achieved all his goals.

The company I work for, all the manufacturers whose products we sell had major price increases. At first most had a surcharge that would be removed if tariffs were removed. Most of them changed course and just decided to do big price increases because they got tired of dealing with tariffs. So we got big price increases in my field without any jobs coming back to states.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109744 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:07 pm to
I'm asking you. Not what anyone else argued. That's such a tiresome tactic.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:08 pm to
How can I determine if we're better off now when it's not over, after what appears to be multiple pivots in real time by the admin?

We may still end up in a long trade war with China that would be -EV and THEN have to refi our 9T at even higher rates.
Posted by Bring Da Wood
Texas
Member since Dec 2006
2150 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:08 pm to
Did he blink or is he just putting the screws to China? I guess we will see what comes of some of these trade agreements. The components of these agreements aren’t hammered out in a couple days so it makes sense to give countries time to come to the table. He can go right back to them in 90 days.
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
22796 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Smart people have argued for weeks that the admin was engaging in obfuscation of a goal so they could present multiple options, so that no matter what, with hindsight bias, they could never been proven to have failed.


The irony is that you can’t see, through your own bias, that there is no way out of this little trap you have tried to set. You won’t accept that the goal is to exert leverage, in your mind is has to be clearly defined, everyone must agree on it, it needs to be applied to every party evenly, and judged within that clearly defined definition - and it is considered a failure if it doesn’t meet the requirements. Of course, you aren’t approaching this reasonably, and framing it in a way that you can deem it a failure, regardless of the results as of this a game of pool.

I don’t think Trump has ever obfuscated that this entire situation revolves around China. And here we are.
Posted by saintslsupels
Member since Jul 2014
2492 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

The irony is that you can’t see, through your own bias, that there is no way out of this little trap you have tried to set. You won’t accept that the goal is to exert leverage, in your mind is has to be clearly defined, everyone must agree on it, it needs to be applied to every party evenly, and judged within that clearly defined definition - and it is considered a failure if it doesn’t meet the requirements. Of course, you aren’t approaching this reasonably, and framing it in a way that you can deem it a failure, regardless of the results as of this a game of pool.
Anyone could say literally the exact same thing about you.
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
18088 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:13 pm to
CNBC sucks large bags of dicks...especially Cramer.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109744 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

How can I determine if we're better off now when it's not over,


I don't think you can any more than you can currently determine we are worse off as a result of all this, or that whatever he did is a failure in reaching some goal.

quote:

We may still end up in a long trade war with China that would be -EV and THEN have to refi our 9T at even higher rates.


Yeah that may happen. Conversely, something much better than that may happen and we will be in a much stronger overall economic position after this. Funny you will likely argue if A, it will be because of something this administration did and if B, it will be just some sort of dumb luck.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

The irony is that you can’t see, through your own bias, that there is no way out of this little trap you have tried to set.



quote:

in your mind is has to be clearly defined, everyone must agree on it, it needs to be applied to every party evenly, and judged within that clearly defined definition

Somewhat of a strawman, but within the general meaning of your strawman, how else can we judge if he succeeded (or "blinked" to use the parlance of our times)?

quote:

Of course, you aren’t approaching this reasonably, and framing it in a way that you can deem it a failure

Another swing and a miss

I have 100% not called it a failure. I said honest brokers cannot take either side, which is where I am. I'm arguing against people currently taking a side.

This post was edited on 4/9/25 at 2:18 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

any more than you can currently determine we are worse off as a result of all this

And I made no arguments to that effect.

quote:

or that whatever he did is a failure in reaching some goal.

Haven't argued this, either.

Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26945 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Does it really F’ing matter.


To some people it obviously does.

We'll know in a few months whether this was a good play or not. If it was I don't care how it happened, if he blinked or not. I don't care if he got what he wanted or didn't, just the result.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109744 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:18 pm to
So you are just quibbling to quibble. Of course.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

We'll know in a few months whether this was a good play or not


If you want to really blow people's minds, he could have failed at his goal and we end up better, and he could have achieved his goal and we end up worse.

That's why this "outcome" debate is silly within the context of this thread and THAT discussion (did Trump blink/fail at achieving his goals?)
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109744 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

That's why this "outcome" debate is silly within the context of this thread and THAT discussion (did Trump blink/fail at achieving his goals?)


Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466948 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

So you are just quibbling to quibble.

No. We're just having a different discussion.

quote:

Is the big argument now gonna be whether Trump blinked?


That discussion does not necessarily overlap with "will this outcome be better for the US?" It can, and it can even do so unintentionally.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109744 posts
Posted on 4/9/25 at 2:22 pm to
[quote]quote:
Is the big argument now gonna be whether Trump blinked?


That discussion does not necessarily overlap with "will this outcome be better for the US?" It can, and it can even do so unintentionally.[/quote]

There it is.
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