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Is Scott Walker (R-WI) in trouble of losing his seat as Governor?
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:30 pm
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:30 pm
In 2010 Walker was ahead in every single poll conducted against Barrett (D). Even in the recall election he still won by 5%.
In 2014 for the most part he was ahead in almost every poll and won by 6%.
It hasn’t been talked about at all on this board or the media for that matter but he’s down by 3% to his challenger Tony Evers a relative almost 70yr old nobody that is the Superintendent of Public Instruction.
What the heck is going on in this race? Seems like Walker should be a shoe in even if it’s marginable. Any cheese heads here can shed some light on it?
In 2014 for the most part he was ahead in almost every poll and won by 6%.
It hasn’t been talked about at all on this board or the media for that matter but he’s down by 3% to his challenger Tony Evers a relative almost 70yr old nobody that is the Superintendent of Public Instruction.
What the heck is going on in this race? Seems like Walker should be a shoe in even if it’s marginable. Any cheese heads here can shed some light on it?
5
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:35 pm to Magician2
The polls had Hillary up 97%.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:36 pm to Magician2
My guess is he came off as weak in the POTUS race, and now he has lust his luster. That's my uneducated guess though
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:42 pm to Magician2
His administration hasn't been good for Wisconsin. In the ebb and flow of local and regional politics, it's time for him to lose.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:44 pm to Midget Death Squad
Look the polls are just bad and have been bad. They had Ron Johnson and Trump Wisky and they both won and Johnson really won big, IMO.. I think Walker will win... Suppression polls, trump is right and he calling the media on it...
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:47 pm to bamalee
Hasn’t Tammy Baldwin been polling weakly for an incumbent?
If the voting trends of the blue collar voters follow 2016 patterns, this may be an unexpected pickup.
If the voting trends of the blue collar voters follow 2016 patterns, this may be an unexpected pickup.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:49 pm to TBoy
quote:
His administration hasn't been good for Wisconsin. In the ebb and flow of local and regional politics, it's time for him to lose.
What specifically can you point out policy wise that’s been bad for his state?
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:49 pm to TBoy
quote:This is not true at all. Compare now to when he took office.
His administration hasn't been good for Wisconsin.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:52 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
This is not true at all. Compare now to when he took office.
Liberals are not REMOTELY results oriented. A liberal never asks if a policy worked or not. They only care if they feel good about a policy or not.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 1:55 pm to Magician2
Speaking for myself from Rhinelander, WI (at our main store here today):
The polling everywhere is suspect, I think. Even more than 2016, there are going to be people who are hesitant to express support for anything Trump-related (including GOP candidates in state offices) in any way other than at the ballot box. This is an assumption, and I don't claim that this means Walker is actually in the lead.
He has been governor for while now. There is always the fatigue factor at this point (8 years), even if things are going well.
Finally, the Dems are highly and visibly motivated in this area. I actually live in Minnesota and work as an election judge there. Turnout for Dems in the primaries was something like 5X Asses compared to Elephants in my precinct, where the 2016 General saw Hillary beat Trump 61-30.
My best guess: The thing that will swing both this race and the larger picture is turnout. Dems are whipping things pretty heavily. GOP not so much. Not surprising, really, when you consider that the GOP is forced to choose between fully using Trump as the standard bearer (for good or bad) and trying to be something apart from his unique brand.
The polling everywhere is suspect, I think. Even more than 2016, there are going to be people who are hesitant to express support for anything Trump-related (including GOP candidates in state offices) in any way other than at the ballot box. This is an assumption, and I don't claim that this means Walker is actually in the lead.
He has been governor for while now. There is always the fatigue factor at this point (8 years), even if things are going well.
Finally, the Dems are highly and visibly motivated in this area. I actually live in Minnesota and work as an election judge there. Turnout for Dems in the primaries was something like 5X Asses compared to Elephants in my precinct, where the 2016 General saw Hillary beat Trump 61-30.
My best guess: The thing that will swing both this race and the larger picture is turnout. Dems are whipping things pretty heavily. GOP not so much. Not surprising, really, when you consider that the GOP is forced to choose between fully using Trump as the standard bearer (for good or bad) and trying to be something apart from his unique brand.
Posted on 10/15/18 at 2:00 pm to TBoy
quote:
His administration hasn't been good for Wisconsin. In the ebb and flow of local and regional politics, it's time for him to lose.
You gonna try and back that with any data, evidence, or impartial assessments whatsoever, or just do what the Left does and rely on the emotional obsequiousness of low-information voters?
Posted on 10/15/18 at 2:03 pm to Magician2
Walker has absolutely turned that state around. The economy has developed new industry, the unemployment rate has been decreasing at one of the highest rates in the country, economic development has been outstanding throughout his tenure with the recruitment of new companies to the state. If they vote him out after his accomplishments, they are idiots.
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:07 am to Ag Zwin
quote:
Turnout for Dems in the primaries was something like 5X Asses compared to Elephants in my precinct
Were they bussed in?
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