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Interactive Electoral Map: I have Trump @ 275 & that’s losing WI, MN & PA
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:15 am
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:15 am
I just went with all the states he’s currently leading with Trafalgar. And even WI, MN & PA are within the MOE, I think. Very good news as Trafalgar was the most accurate pollster in 2016.
32
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:18 am to ZZTIGERS
I really hope he wins MI. That would be a nice buffer for MAGA
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:20 am to ZZTIGERS
I really want a new Trafalgar poll in every battleground state.
Why they are polling Louisiana confuses me.
Why they are polling Louisiana confuses me.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:21 am to ZZTIGERS
Even if it comes down to random luck, don't see how he doesn't pull out one or more of:
Minnesota
Michigan
Wisconsin
Penn
Nevada
NH
I know not all of those get him to 270, but if he gets a Nevada or New Hampshire, almost certain he gets multiple Midwest states.
Minnesota
Michigan
Wisconsin
Penn
Nevada
NH
I know not all of those get him to 270, but if he gets a Nevada or New Hampshire, almost certain he gets multiple Midwest states.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:22 am to ZZTIGERS
Is NC and SC securely MAGA?
Losing FL or NC swing the election the wrong way.
Losing FL or NC swing the election the wrong way.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:22 am to ZZTIGERS
He'll take PA, WI, NM, and possibly NV. Trump 316, Biden 221
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:22 am to ZZTIGERS
I think he wins WI and PA, but ht wiggle room is nice.
I wouldn't count on splitting ME anymore.
I wouldn't count on splitting ME anymore.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:23 am to AustinTigr
Did Trump lose Ohio last election?
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:23 am to ZZTIGERS
ME-2 is Trumps
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:23 am to ZZTIGERS
How does he lose PA but get MI?
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:25 am to Jake88
Right now I see it this way....
Trump:
Arizona
Florida
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Biden:
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
Trump:
Arizona
Florida
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Biden:
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:26 am to Broke
quote:No.
Did Trump lose Ohio last election?
Last time Ohio voted for the losing candidate was 1960 when Nixon won Ohio but lost to JFK.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:26 am to ZZTIGERS
There’s no scenario in which Trump wins Michigan and not one of Pennsylvania or Wisconsin or even both. Michigan is the least likely Trump win out of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and in that order.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:26 am to ZZTIGERS
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/17/20 at 10:13 am
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:26 am to ZZTIGERS
He lost New Hampshire by 3000 votes last time. I’m trying to keep things realistic when it comes to flipping states but New Hampshire is very much up for grabs.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:26 am to ZZTIGERS
To me, that's his most likely path. MI is a problem.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:27 am to ZZTIGERS
If it’s that close there will be fraud to push Joe over the line. Book it.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:28 am to Marciano1
Agreed.
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:28 am to ZZTIGERS
Nice try, he's not winning Michigan and probably not Arizona or Florida. The 65 plus population is breaking for Biden. It's not going to go Trump's way this time. If he had resigned and let Pence run, the election would be in the bag for the GOP. 
Posted on 10/14/20 at 11:30 am to ZZTIGERS
I just moved everything that isn't dark blue one shade to the right and that's probably reality.
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