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re: If tomorrow morning every vehicle in the US were electric would we use less energy??

Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:03 am to
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:03 am to
quote:

That's a truck ton of Lithium mining...


and lithium battery production. When you throw in the mining like you are pointing out, it is one of the worst environmental impacting processes we have in the world right now.

Lets reduce plant food production so we can increase lithium mining and battery production. It completely defies what science should be about.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:07 am to
quote:

As a matter of efficiency, yes. Power plants are more efficient than your car's engine.

So assuming everything is equal, yes we would use less energy.


You can't just stop at the power plant but even then this isn't necessarily true. Factors you have to consider:

1) Coal plants are only about 30% efficient. Same range as an automobile.
2) Simple cycle NG plants are just plain combustion processes like a car/jet.
3) How much energy does it take to mine, transport and maintain the coal yards. They require constant turning, especially in summer, to prevent fires.
4) How much energy does it take to extract the NG, process it, clean it, and transport it? This requires taking into account pipeline energy costs/construction and construction energy costs for building power plants for that matter.
5) If we start talking solar or wind, forget about it. They don't compete in the whole lifecycle world.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23141 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:10 am to
quote:

My point is that entropically speaking your gas engine loses far more energy as waste than your local power plant does.


Are you considering transmission line loss?
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:14 am to
quote:

Let's just jump to nuclear fusion.

Seriously that's the holy grail.


Fusion is a nice technology but it is already obsolete. Zero point energy has been used by previous civilizations and the military has been using it for a few decades (see wikileaks emails).

The basic concept for zero point energy is that all time and space in the universe is connected. The medium by which they are connected is a dimension that essentially houses energy for the universe. You can build small devices that tap into this energy that can transport massive amounts of energy in just about any form you wish (AC, DC, etc.). This is better than fusion, even cold fusion, because it requires no fuel and no real process.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:16 am to
quote:

I've said it twice, ultracapacity supercapacitors. No exotic or toxic metals required, electrolyte is just polymer, everything required can already be mass produced


energy density and material costs are still an issue for capacitors. organic batteries at this point appear to be a more likely solution.
Posted by germandawg
Member since Sep 2012
14135 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:17 am to
quote:

That may answer part of your question, but I agree anything Honda makes is going to be well engineered from screws to paint.


The Ford was an SUV and it was HEAVY...and VERY expensive relative to its non hybrid counterpart....if you've ever drive a diesel excursion it lumbered around worse than those behemoths. The Saab was a little sedan and was sloooowwww....the ford was about a 2005 and the Saab a 2016 rental.

I have been convinced that Honda makes the best small engines EVER. I've had one bad experience with a Honda outboard on a small panga in Costa Rica so I have always dismissed Honda out of hand as an outboard....but I have a big water duck boat that I have no use for but needs repose ring and I am going to consider Honda when I start shopping. This CRV has me convinced that they are worth a look....
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98470 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 7:24 am to
quote:

I have driven a hybrid ford and a Saab hybrid and neither got that kind of mileage, they were both very expensive, and they didn't perform near as well as this little Honda


Ding.

Max-efficiency internal combustion engine beats the shite out of hybrid or pure electric every time in terms of TOTAL vehicle range and utility.

Best the best Tesla (the "gold" standard) can do is +/- 300 miles, and that's assuming optimal conditions and driving. It gets really fricking cold, you are halving that range (at best). Plus, you need a nice chunk of time to fully recharge (versus filling the tank).

Your CRV probably has at least a 16.5 gallon tank. at your 39 mpg (avg, BTW), that well over TWICE the range of the Tesla, and takes about 5 minutes to fill up (as well as doesn't lose efficiency in hot/cold weather).

And, as somewhat acknowledged, throwing 250+ million cars onto the electrical grid overnight would present HUGE fricking problems.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89480 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 9:03 am to
Meh - probably more than a smidgeon less.

Why? Economy of scale. It is easier to produce electricity in bulk at powerplants, generally, than it is to refine gasoline from inputs. Secondly, while not zero, there will be a negligible cost to transport that electricity to the point of charge for all these newly created electric cars in your hypothetical. I mean, you won't have thousands of tanker trucks hauling refined gasoline around to thousands of gas stations. That alone will save quite a bit of energy (and put a bunch of good ole baws out of work, to boot).

It would also accelerate, I think, conversion of homes to solar power. Again, why? Because it's one thing to drop that money to supplement your home electric bills. It may make more financial sense if it's replacing your electric bill AND gasoline bill. In the aggregate, that may also reduce overall energy consumption.

But, hey, it is an academic exercise, so I could be all wrong. The shift to oil->electrical plant->grid from oil->refinery->gasoline might not yield significant efficiency. That increased demand which will have to be met to charge electric car batteries (which will be pretty significant).

This post was edited on 9/13/17 at 9:06 am
Posted by keks tadpole
Yellow Leaf Creek
Member since Feb 2017
7573 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Are you considering transmission line loss?


Super-conductive materials at ambient temperature is the Holy Grail of energy generation efficiency.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Super-conductive materials at ambient temperature is the Holy Grail of energy generation efficiency.


The holy grail is eliminating the need for transmission and being able to generate in a distributed fashion.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
45986 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 9:30 am to
quote:

I have nothing to back it up on but my gut says no. Just swapping out the order of input imo. Would it produce less pollution?


Almost the correct answer. Energy consumption remains at the same level, pollution is exchanged from C02 to all the extremely hazardous materials used to manufacture high tech batteries. Y'all know that shite is going to find it's way into the ecosystem at some level, not unlike the nuclear waste sites. There will be some real challenges dealing with all the heavy metals/material that's used to manufacture this "green" alternative.
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14479 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 10:05 am to
don't forget loss over transmission lines
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa
Member since Aug 2012
13489 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 10:09 am to
quote:

I think you are going to see boat engines turn over to electric power sooner as boats are great for solar, wind, and even hydro energy already.



I wouldnt trust that for a long time. I have a friend who has a 3 year old Bad Boy Buggie and that piece of shite battery will die at the exact moment he is the farthest away from the camp house. Meter says fully charged then bang it goes dead.

Maybe for a little boat on a pond, but no way would I go out very far with an electric boat.

However I will say the last time I was in Jost van Dyke we were on a sail boat that had solar panels to charge a set of batteries that ran the refrigeration and electronics. It worked well and I was impressed, however we never were out of sight of land. He did however have a small diesel engine that could do it if the solar failed.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 10:24 am to
quote:

No. You still need to charge those cars with energy that is created using petrol fueled plants.


The logic is that a power plant is more efficient than 2 million mini power plants (cars).

So overall, you would be increasing efficiency.

I'm not a scientist or in any of these industries so I'm merely passing this along.

ETA: Just noticed this thread is 5 pages. Nevermind
This post was edited on 9/13/17 at 10:25 am
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
19670 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 11:44 am to
quote:

energy density and material costs
the new polymer technology looks like it solves that. Read this article LINK, the gains come from replacing the electrolyte with a conductive plastic derived from soft contact material. It shows the ability to boost energy density somewhere between 1000-10000x (depending on how well it scales up). Current supercapacitors have energy density of 5 watt-hours/kilogram, whereas lithium batteries have 100 watt-hours/ kilogram. That's still very low compared to gas, but with other efficiency technologies it lets current electric cars go 250-300 miles/charge. Even at the lowest projected increase that puts these new supercapacitors at 5000 watt-hours/kilogram. This let's you either drastically reduced the size and weight of the power pack, drastically increase range with same weight per pack, or use this in much heavier applications like trucking. And unlike lithium batteries it can go to fill charge in a few minutes instead of all night, effectively removing the barrier to widespread adoption of electric vehicles, convenience. If it turns out to be 10000x, then you have energy budget to spare for the same weight for things like ac and heating. Again, this is all dependent on taking lab results into a manufactured product, but it looks very promising. A company, SuperCapacitor Materials Ltd, has been formed to develop it into products, first application will likely be cell phones, laptops. Imagine getting a full days charge in a few seconds.
This post was edited on 9/13/17 at 11:51 am
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 11:52 am to
I'm fully aware of what the capacitor industry is trying to get to. We'll see how it goes. Caps are very dangerous as are all concentrated electrical storage means (batteries) and with the electric cars blowing up in wrecks, I'm not sold on it being a great idea even with super caps or organic batteries.

Also, charging anything at those rates isn't realistic given the current conductor technologies. Having to use superconductors for charging introduces a whole heap of new problems to consider.

But that is probably just the EE in me talking.
This post was edited on 9/13/17 at 11:54 am
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28703 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 11:59 am to
quote:

ETA: Just noticed this thread is 5 pages. Nevermind
That's alright, nobody is really reading the thread. It has been mentioned no fewer than five times that we shouldn't forget about energy loss in power lines. Does nobody realize that electricity transmission efficiency is around 94% on average? That's pretty fricking good, and it's not really a point to be harping on in this discussion.

The point the anti-electric crowd seems to miss is the cost of input fuels. If we stick with ICE vehicles, we will be pumping oil and paying the cost for every gallon we burn. Whereas, with an electric vehicle, the "fuel" can come from sources with unit input costs of zero. Yeah, we will be burning coal/NG/etc. for a long time, so some fuel input costs will remain for a while. But electricity can be generated in numerous ways, and many of them have zero fuel or input costs. Solar, wind, hydro, tidal, thermo, etc. Why is it such a bad idea to diversify our energy sources? Producing a product with zero input costs is a very attractive proposition, and all it will take is some investment in technology to lower plant production costs or improve efficiency to make them competitive with cheap fossil fuels over the long run. Or we can just wait for fossil fuel prices to rise to the point that alternatives are competitive.

Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
19670 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Caps are very dangerous as are all concentrated electrical storage means (batteries) and with the electric cars blowing up in wreck
unlike carrying around 20+ gallons of highly flammable and explosive petrochemicals? Making it safe to use is just a matter of engineering effort. They already use supercapacitors for electric buses in China, they just have to charge every few stops.
This post was edited on 9/13/17 at 2:09 pm
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14479 posts
Posted on 9/13/17 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

Does nobody realize that electricity transmission efficiency is around 94% on average?


Two things- The numbers I saw said around 10% once you include distribution.

Second, that is what it is like now. I have to imagine that loss would get worse if you start charging EVERY CAR in american through the grid. Though maybe not if people charge their cars at night?

Of course, we would have to take out the costs of transporting fuel to stations too.

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