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re: If elections were held today, Biden would annihilate Trump

Posted on 8/16/20 at 8:43 am to
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
74450 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 8:43 am to
Harharhar
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 8:53 am to
Yup, people really fired up bout that Biden-Harris ticket.

Meanwhile:

Posted by Erin Go Bragh
Beyond the Pale
Member since Dec 2007
14918 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:05 am to
It's going to be a very close race. I believe Trump gets to 270 but may not make it to 300.

Trump wins in a close one.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8131 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Serious question. How many polls had him winning in 2016?

IBD and LA Times were damned close to getting it right. IBD had Clinton by +1 nationally (she won by 2) and the LA Times had Trump winning.

Oh, and Trump had a brief lead in August of ‘16 after the conventions.

LINK

National polling is ultimately useless: state polling matters.

At the risk of getting a billion downvotes, Trump was well within MOE in ‘16 and he’s not right now.
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
53677 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:22 am to
I'm not worried.
Posted by TBPland
League City, TX
Member since Sep 2009
1525 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:33 am to
There has been a lot of dumb shite said on here but that may be the worst
Posted by AndyCBR
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2012
8079 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:38 am to
quote:


IBD and LA Times were damned close to getting it right. IBD had Clinton by +1 nationally (she won by 2) and the LA Times had Trump winning.

Oh, and Trump had a brief lead in August of ‘16 after the conventions.

LINK

National polling is ultimately useless: state polling matters.

At the risk of getting a billion downvotes, Trump was well within MOE in ‘16 and he’s not right now.




I question the accuracy of these flawed polls even more than 2016.

It is even more likely Trump supporters are unlikely to be truthful in polls due to potential stigma.

I can’t conceive anyone who voted for Trump in 2016 regretting their vote. He will get an even larger share of the black vote this time. People who aren’t fools understand that without Law and order our society and economy can’t function.
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:42 am to
Today, the president loses. But this year is pretty different. The political process in the next couple months will really get the voters in the battleground states to analyze the candidates, particularly Biden. From everything we’ve seen, Biden will be worse than HRC on a debate stage.

Biden will not be able to avoid a debate! It’s not going to happen. Debates are happening all over the country with social distancing. I just cannot see how any press other than the absolute wackos would be ok with no debate for president of the United States.

That said, I still think the president is the underdog. He’s clearly the better candidate, but as they always say, “it’s tough to beat Santa Claus”. The country is shifting more and more to a nanny state, it’s inevitable. I think it’s close on election night, but mail-in ballots will do him in, my opinion.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78250 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:


I can’t conceive anyone who voted for Trump in 2016 regretting their vote
A few issues for Trump will be lower enthusiasm due to no rallies, Biden not having to expose his shortcommings and older folks who support him shying from voting because of COVID fears.
Posted by Keltic Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2006
21577 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 11:00 am to
ESPN just ran a poll showing 83% of Americans were in support of the social protesting currently going on across America. 800 people polled. 74% were registered Democrats. Point made re said polls. Go ask Hillary about polls if you need further proof of their validity.
Posted by s2
Southdowns
Member since Sep 2016
6278 posts
Posted on 8/16/20 at 2:08 pm to
if Biden is so far ahead in the polls why does the Biden campaign and msm report that Kamaltoe Harris is a moderate and that she will boost the Democrat ticket?

they keep trying to find ways to convince people that they are something other than what we all know deep down who they are.

liberal socialist bent on taking down this country. they are anti-American communist.

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