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Help me out with the IMHE model that experts are relying on for guidance.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:39 am
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:39 am
7
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:43 am to GumboPot
Its projections are for total deaths including observed deaths (past).
This post was edited on 4/17/20 at 11:43 am
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:45 am to GumboPot
It’s highly volatile.
And while they update it every other day, it doesn’t even match up with the data we have.
And while they update it every other day, it doesn’t even match up with the data we have.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:46 am to GumboPot
quote:
Last updated April 13, 2020 (Pacific Time).
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:55 am to dgtiger3
quote:
Last updated April 13, 2020 (Pacific Time).
This is what I overlooked.
And the IMHE model flattens out after May 1st. There are going to be more deaths by COVID in Louisiana after May 1st despite what the model says.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 11:56 am to GumboPot
They forgot to change the modeling parameters after it predicted Hillary would win the 2016 Election.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:00 pm to GumboPot
shite model is shite...
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:02 pm to The Maj
quote:
shite model is shite...
Speaking of that I hope my local wastewater facility never contracts them to model their future flows
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:03 pm to GumboPot
1141 is just the median projection. The top of the range is 1729.
Our range really has not fluctuated that much in the last three weeks. Hopefully, we are at the decline of our curve so those death numbers will slow down.
Our range really has not fluctuated that much in the last three weeks. Hopefully, we are at the decline of our curve so those death numbers will slow down.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to gthog61
quote:
Speaking of that I hope my local wastewater facility never contracts them to model their future flows
LMAO, talk about an overbuilt facility...
With their model, Auburn, AL would need a facility big enough to handle Metro ATL's current flow...
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:09 pm to Antonio Moss
LINK
I like the ability to look at County data on the basis of infection rate acceleration on this website. Looks like the new case peak is well in the rear view for Louisiana. And there’s no hot spots which are getting infections reported at a faster rate than they were previously.
I like the ability to look at County data on the basis of infection rate acceleration on this website. Looks like the new case peak is well in the rear view for Louisiana. And there’s no hot spots which are getting infections reported at a faster rate than they were previously.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:12 pm to GumboPot
found a picture of it
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:13 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
They forgot to change the modeling parameters after it predicted Hillary would win the 2016 Election.
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:17 pm to the808bass
Yes.
Got a little worried about EBR last week. We overtook New Orleans in terms of our R(0) and we are the largest parish in the state by population but our hospital/ICU numbers stabilized quickly and they started to decrease.
Got a little worried about EBR last week. We overtook New Orleans in terms of our R(0) and we are the largest parish in the state by population but our hospital/ICU numbers stabilized quickly and they started to decrease.
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