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Started By
Message
GOP has a 156,694 #ElectionDay ballot lead so far in FL in real time reporting
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:26 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:26 pm
Again, this link is covering it all... including good new, bad news... and yes... MELTS
LINK
quote:
As of 4 p.m. in the counties reporting in real-time (see previous tweets for list): GOP has a 156,694 #ElectionDay ballot lead. Overall turnout is GOP +2.02 with a 138,333 ballot lead.
LINK
10
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:31 pm to Jjdoc
hugeee likes Trumps D***
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:34 pm to Jjdoc
And as is tradition, Broward County will be the last to report due to a last minute batch of previously undiscovered votes.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:34 pm to Jjdoc
GOP+2 is red wave territory
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:35 pm to Lsuhoohoo
There’s a Subaru sitting in the parking lot of the precinct weighted down with boxes of ballots right now.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:36 pm to Jjdoc
quote:
GOP has a 156,694 #ElectionDay ballot lead so far in FL in real time reporting
Gerrymandering
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:37 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Yup. I have no doubt they are going to "find" thousands of absentee ballots around midnight tonight.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:38 pm to Jjdoc
And people like me are about to end our work day and go vote.
More votes for Republicans.
More votes for Republicans.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:38 pm to Jjdoc
Murica 
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:38 pm to Jjdoc
You failed to mention this part in your link.
quote:
Top Republicans sounding nervous at this point in today, estimating they are up “only” about 100K ballots on Democrats. Republicans want to be up about 200K by time polls close.
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:40 pm to Jjdoc
**Election Day** turnout, not total turnout. GOP needs at least a 200,000 ballot win today to feel even hopeful.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:41 pm to BeYou
quote:
Top Republicans sounding nervous at this point in today, estimating they are up “only” about 100K ballots on Democrats. Republicans want to be up about 200K by time polls close.
Yeah, what’s up with that quote? GOP is way ahead of 2016 but top republicans are nervous?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:43 pm to mmmmmbeeer
quote:
Election Day** turnout, not total turnout. GOP needs at least a 200,000 ballot win today to feel even hopeful.
Can you explain this to me like I am 6? I thought dems have a 30K lead in EV, way down from 2016 when Trump won by 100K.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:44 pm to mmmmmbeeer
There's always a huge surge of Republican votes after 5:00 pm.
If the current lead is 150k at 4:00 pm, it will be well over 200k by time the polls close.
If the current lead is 150k at 4:00 pm, it will be well over 200k by time the polls close.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:44 pm to uscpuke
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I am 6? I thought dems have a 30K lead in EV, way down from 2016 when Trump won by 100K.
There's a Sedan parked somewhere in Broward county with 225k Democrat votes... they just need to see how many they need to "find" around midnight tonight
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:47 pm to uscpuke
quote:
Can you explain this to me like I am 6? I thought dems have a 30K lead in EV, way down from 2016 when Trump won by 100K.
They haven't revealed what those early votes are, just the party the voters are registered with. Nearly 20% of early votes were independents which, based on polling data, will be won by Dems. Of the GOP ballots, there are fears Trump will earn less than 80% as there will be a lot of crossover given his lack of popularity. Meanwhile, Dem ballots will be well over 90% for dem candidates.
This is why they want at least 200,000 advantage today to feel hopeful, they know that the early vote was recordbreaking and history says they will break against the GOP.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:49 pm to Jjdoc
quote:
GOP has a 156,694 #ElectionDay ballot lead
Keeping track of how many ballots need to come out of the trunk at the 11th hour for the Democrats.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:50 pm to mmmmmbeeer
I really appreciate the response. I don’t buy it for a minute that GOP voters will abandon trump, but at least I get the context of the tweet.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:52 pm to mmmmmbeeer
quote:
there are fears Trump will earn less than 80% as there will be a lot of crossover given his lack of popularity.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:56 pm to mmmmmbeeer
Dems were up 30k votes from EV, but what about mail-in/absentee ballots?
Last I heard Reps were up significantly in those.
Either way, 157k - 30k = 127k lead for Reps at 4pm. And this is when Reps really start hitting the polls.
Last I heard Reps were up significantly in those.
Either way, 157k - 30k = 127k lead for Reps at 4pm. And this is when Reps really start hitting the polls.
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