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Germany: Exit Poll Released in critical Saxony-Anhalt State Election

Posted on 9/6/26 at 11:55 am
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 11:55 am
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:02 pm to
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quote:

The AfD is leading with a staggering 44.5% of the vote, compared to Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s party at just 18.5%!
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
105314 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:03 pm to
I’m not familiar with German state elections but is this a parliamentary style election?

If so, AfD may get frozen out of the government because none of the other parties will collaborate with them.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481820 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

I’m not familiar with German state elections but is this a parliamentary style election?

If so, AfD may get frozen out of the government because none of the other parties will collaborate with them.


You are correct. I just read an article that their most likely coalition partner is a left-wing populist party

Also this is just one state in Germany and they don't have much power in Germany's Parliamentary system.
This post was edited on 9/6/26 at 12:05 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

I’m not familiar with German state elections but is this a parliamentary style election?

If so, AfD may get frozen out of the government because none of the other parties will collaborate with them.
quote:

Yes, German state elections (Landtagswahlen) operate under a parliamentary system.Voters elect members of the state parliament (Landtag). The Landtag then elects the Minister-President (the head of the state government), who forms the cabinet. The government depends on the confidence (or at least tolerance) of a majority in the Landtag. This is the same basic model used at the federal level for the Bundestag and Chancellor.

en.wikipedia.org

Seats are allocated mainly by proportional representation (with a 5% threshold for parties to enter, plus some directly elected constituency seats). Absolute majorities for a single party are rare, so governments are normally formed through coalitions or, less commonly, minority arrangements.On AfD and potential exclusion from government

Yes—that is the key dynamic here. The other established parties (CDU, SPD, Greens, Left/Die Linke, and others) have long maintained a formal refusal to enter coalitions with the AfD at the state level (often called the Brandmauer or firewall). This policy has held in previous state elections.As a result:AfD can form a government on its own only if it wins an absolute majority of seats in the Landtag (so it can elect its own Minister-President without needing partners).

Without that, other parties can try to form a majority coalition among themselves, or elect a non-AfD Minister-President (in later voting rounds a simple plurality can sometimes suffice).

In the current Saxony-Anhalt projections (AfD around 44–44.5%), whether AfD reaches an absolute seat majority depends heavily on which smaller parties clear the 5% threshold and the final seat distribution. Early calculations have shown AfD short of a solo majority in some projections (e.g., around 39 seats when the threshold for a majority is higher), while combinations involving other parties remain possible. The BSW has been more open to limited cooperation or tolerance in some scenarios, but the mainstream parties have ruled out coalitions with AfD.


Final results and exact seat counts will clarify the options in the coming hours/days, after which coalition talks (or attempts at a minority government) would begin.

2 web pages
This post was edited on 9/6/26 at 12:10 pm
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
67037 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:16 pm to
The globalists will find a way to frick them and retain control.
Posted by Padme
Member since Dec 2020
10157 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

AfD may get frozen out of the government because none of the other parties will collaborate



Like MAGA, but it’s a step in the right direction.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:25 pm to
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
17694 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:40 pm to
They also had a 23% increase in voter participation.

That's what the right needs.

Bring your friends.
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
17694 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Co-leader of Germany's Left Party Heidi Reichinnek said her party will not cooperate with the AfD in the wake of the Saxony-Anhalt elections under any circumstances.


Leftist are so childish.

quote:

"We will do our best to prevent the AfD from reaching a position of power, but we cannot do this on our own," Reichinnek told German public broadcaster ARD, while also calling all other parties to keep up the so-called "firewall," the policy of excluding any political cooperation with the AfD.

"Many people here are scared, people with migrant backgrounds, queer people. I'd like to tell them: You are not alone," 



DW.com
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481820 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Germany's AfD wins Saxony-Anhalt election, becoming first far-right party to take power at state level since World War II.


Consider me shocked that "BRICS News" doesn't understand what it's discussing
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Consider me shocked that "BRICS News" doesn't understand what it's discussing



I disagree with the far-right label as well
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
34309 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

SlowFlowPro


While you are in here posting.... Are you doing alright?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
117544 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 1:12 pm to
All the others will firm a coalition to prevent them from forming a government.
This post was edited on 9/6/26 at 1:16 pm
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
56381 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 1:16 pm to
Sehr Gut !!

(germans)
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
17694 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 1:44 pm to
Sehr schon!
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
49887 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 1:45 pm to
Now, how will the vote get rigged or even better, they pull something like happened in France, where everyone lined up to take down the vote of the people?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481820 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

Are you doing alright?

Yes fine. Why?
Posted by JimEverett
Member since May 2020
2668 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

All the others will firm a coalition to prevent them from forming a government.


There is a party - BSW - that broke from the communist party a few years ago and became a far-left nationalist-type party. They are teetering on 5% of he vote and most analysts think they will get 5% or a little more. The reason that is important is because 5% gets you seats.

If they do not make 5% then AfD will have an absolute majority.

It ges interesting if they do make government. The BSW, while left wing, is odd among German parties because they do not believe in excluding Afd from government as a rule.
But, the leader of the party has said the party will not vote for the AfD but rather a "non-partisan" leader, and that the AfD would be included (whatever that really means?)
But she has also said that if no Minister-President is elected in first two votes then the party will abstain in round 3 - where only a plurality is needed, hence the Minister-President would be AfD.

Making this even more complicated: there is no deadline for the parties to vote in a first round. So, they could conceivably delay a vote for a long time - again, assuming BSW actually clers the 5% hurdle.
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