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re: Feels like Trump/Vance have blunted Kamala’s momentum

Posted on 8/15/24 at 11:10 am to
Posted by lsusa
Doing Missionary work for LSU
Member since Oct 2005
6199 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 11:10 am to
quote:

You can see from the frequency of Trump rallies and the crowd sizes at those rallies that he's got the upper hand, but until the MSM is forced to report on it, or anything other than glorifying the democrats really, then you wouldn't know it


Throngs of “independent” and “undecided” voters are not flocking to Trump rallies. These are people who are already Trump supporters. Attendance at rallies is not indicative of the overall voting public.

And the media is reporting on the rallies, that Trump fills his speeches with insults and conspiracy theories instead of sticking to the economy and policy. He also hasn’t helped himself by sharing “fake news” stories about AI generated crowds for Harris or his helicopter crash with “Willie Brown” where he “bad mouthed Kamala in his dying declaration”. Focusing on Kamala’s “blackness” and Walz military record are going to be losing issues outside the “base”.

I still say that there are lots of ebbs and flows in campaigns. Trump was riding high after Biden’s debate disaster, the assassination attempt and the convention. But he made a mistake in picking Vance, and then was dealt a huge blow when old man Biden dropped out - opening up the big news cycle boost for Kamala.

There is still a lot of time left, but I would say that he hasn’t blunted her momentum, it’s just slowed as part of the natural news cycle and it will bump again after the convention.

How he reacts after that - pointing out her lack of her own accomplishments and trying her to Bide, staying on message, pointing out that she choose to pick a liberal VP instead of going moderate as reflective of where she wants to go…that’s his way forward.
Posted by Swamp Angel
Somewhere on a river
Member since Jul 2004
9690 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 11:14 am to
quote:

The MSM still fawns over “Ret Command Sgt Major” Walz and focuses on his 24 years of service, trying to debunk his stolen valor.


I'm beginning to look at it a different (and, I believe, more accurate) way. Those 24 years of "service" were obviously little more than 24 years of collecting another government pay check with no intentions of fulfilling the duties and obligations of that position.
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
6945 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 11:26 am to
quote:

They won't blunt her momentum until the day after the DNC - They haven't even started blunting anything about this woman and the Democrat party.

The official race for the Trump campaign begins the day after the DNC. They have purposely not spent that much money yet.

They are going to relentlessly "Shock and Awe" Harris and the entire democrat party after the DNC. It's going to be so relentless that it will make her and her supporters want to quit. It's going to be amazing to watch.

She will get another Sugar High after the DNC - She will get a bump in the polls (The Trump campaign is well aware of this) - then a week or two after the sugar high, they unload. The Trump campaign is filled with Alphas and winners - they will do everything they can to expose this fraud woman and they will not stop until her and her campaign starts waving the white flag. That campaign and entire party is about to have a very brutal stretch.


I believe you are accurate. The DNC can't come and go fast enough, then the fireworks will begin. I think Trump is also waiting another few weeks until he gets the benefit of recency bias. If they hammer Kamala on everything too early, people will forget about the policy failures. Get it in heavy and hard close to the election and it will be fresh on everyone's minds in the ballot box.

The left has a way of changing tactics successfully. They historically have caught republicans off guard and unprepared. I'm very hopeful Trump is pulling their same stunt against them but time will tell.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
24894 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 11:58 am to
The Dems know that Kamala cannot beat Trump. It's the down ballots they are scared to death of losing. Trump and his team knows this.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
21346 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 12:03 pm to
I question how much actual "momentum" Harris picked up......
No doubt the momentum narrative increased spewed by the MSM, but that's not the same as real momentum.
Posted by SelaTiger
Member since Aug 2016
21247 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 12:04 pm to
It didn’t feel to me like she ever really had momentum. Media just trying hard to pick her up and ignite something.
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18500 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Even CNN (Berman and others) have started asking why she won't do an interview or answer questions.


She and Dems hid Biden. We saw why.

They should be scorched for doing it with Kamala now.
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 12:30 pm to
Honeymoon is over and a lot more polls are favoring Trump. Kamala “chicken shite” Harris will get another boost after the democratic convention that will last about 2 weeks. After that, Trump will win in a landslide.
Posted by lsusa
Doing Missionary work for LSU
Member since Oct 2005
6199 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

The Dems know that Kamala cannot beat Trump.


I don’t think the Democrats are relying on “Kamala beating Trump” as much as they are relying on “Not Trump” beating Trump. It’s a referendum on him.

The key is having someone who simply appears viable as an alternative,
which Biden no longer was due to his age - which would have kept people from turning out.
Posted by SCwTiger
armpit of 'merica
Member since Aug 2014
6879 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

That campaign and entire party is about to have a very brutal stretch


quote:

It's going to be amazing to watch.


I like the way you thank.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93453 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:47 pm to
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
80042 posts
Posted on 8/15/24 at 3:48 pm to

August is Kamala's especially with the convention.

This tide will begin to retreat in September and October.
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