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re: Federal Debt Is Soaring. Here’s Why Trump and Harris Aren’t Talking About It.

Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:23 am to
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Slash Social Security and Medicare spending


That happens automatically. You’re getting warmer.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:25 am to
quote:


What was the inflation rate under his admin?

It was normal post-2009 crash inflation rates

quote:

He spent plenty before 2020

Yes and this was intentional to reverse the deflationary effects of the 2009 crash, which started under GWB technically, but really got going under Obama.

The reason we're facing massive stagflation (not just inflation) is not addressing the actual issues for a decade. We intentionally created inflation to offset the deflation that we feared so much.

The problem was this charade could have kept going so-so for a while without major issues as long as a major system-disrupter didn't occur....but then we had Covid. Trump and Biden printed insane amounts of money and now this out-paced the deflation enough to create net inflation.

The problem is that we now had to raise rates to cut off potential hyperinflation, which is moving us more to an economic normalcy, so now we have to pay the piper finally for the post-2009 deflation WHILE having massive debt (now with interest rates that weren't anticipated when printing the debt initially) WHILE facing inflation.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:25 am to
quote:

You cant ever answer the question

I answered the question, but your question doesn't account for the whole picture.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98007 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:27 am to
quote:

I answered the question,


I was talking to cucker

quote:

It was normal post-2009 crash inflation rates


Exactly. Yet ppl are always crying
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:29 am to
quote:

Exactly.

2020 changed things. Biden doubled down in 2021.

You just choose to ignore this and that the inflationary effects lag behind the monetary policy.

quote:

Yet ppl are always crying

Because Trump's Covid spending caused inflation. Biden's ensured we would have more years of inflation. We still may not even be feeling the effects of Biden's spending yet.
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Because Trump's Covid spending caused inflation. Biden's ensured we would have more years of inflation. We still may not even be feeling the effects of Biden's spending yet.


In the most sadistic evil way possible, China’s global response from the release of a luke warm bioweapon like Covid with zero consequences was nothing short of brilliant.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:41 am to
quote:

In the most sadistic evil way possible, China’s global response from the release of a luke warm bioweapon like Covid with zero consequences was nothing short of brilliant.


China was absolutely butt fricked by Covid and it's accelerating their economic collapse.

So speeding up their downfall was brilliant to you? I never have heard suicide described that way.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:43 am to
quote:

There is only one solution. Who’s willing to say it?


Stop passing Nancy Pelosi continuing resolutions?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:48 am to
quote:

China was absolutely butt fricked by Covid and it's accelerating their economic collapse.



China is always on the verge of economic collapse because the command and control type of government they have stifles innovation and ambition. Most people there expect to be slaves to the government. When capitalism sneaks in, the CCP quashes it.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16401 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:51 am to
quote:

No one in Gov is Conservative and you voted them all in


Mmm
No, I didn’t vote them all in

Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:54 am to
quote:

China was absolutely butt fricked by Covid and it's accelerating their economic collapse. So speeding up their downfall was brilliant to you? I never have heard suicide described that way.


What? China will starve 50% of their population and steal the entire globes IPR before they collapse. China isn’t collapsing. Chinas release of Covid was evilly brilliant
This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 8:57 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:57 am to
quote:

China will starve 50% of their population and steal the entire globes IPR before they collapse.

They're already facing collapse.

Did you not see the recent report on decreasing global demand of oil? The biggest issue was decrease in Chinese demand. That signals economic decline.

We also have the removal of some of the based of their real estate house of cards, which will accelerate during this recession.

This is also ignoring their demographic time bomb that can't be fixed.
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:02 am to
quote:

They're already facing collapse. Did you not see the recent report on decreasing global demand of oil? The biggest issue was decrease in Chinese demand. That signals economic decline. We also have the removal of some of the based of their real estate house of cards, which will accelerate during this recession. This is also ignoring their demographic time bomb that can't be fixed.





[quote]They're already facing collapse. Did you not see the recent report on decreasing global demand of oil? The biggest issue was decrease in Chinese demand. That signals economic decline. We also have the removal of some of the based of their real estate house of cards, which will accelerate during this recession. This is also ignoring their demographic time bomb that can't be fixed.


Yeah it’s hard to find cheap slave labor these days

But based on all these known metrics listed above, these experts must have a timeline for their impending collapse correct? When is that?
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59245 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

They don't have to fix it. Just slow it the frick down. That would be a victory.

Neither candidate wants to do that.


What they want is irrelevant in this instance, it's that they can't.

To balance last year's budget, it would have taken a cut to total spending (electricity for federal buildings, pay to everyone from President to p/t janitor, VA budget, Social Security, etc) of nearly 30%. To narrow the scope of cuts to just certain programs or cost centers means those items would be cut even more, the largest of those are Social Security, Debt Servicing, Medicare and Defense (in that order).

Cutting debt servicing would just make things worse so that's out. Cutting SS or Medicare would mean anyone voting for it would lose their next election. Cutting Defense could be done if we were to abandon our role as "world police" and shut down every foreign base, but that would be only a drop in the bucket (maybe $400B?) if we're talking about slowing down deficit spending for this year (which will likely come close to $3T at current levels of spending).

Without getting enough members of Congress willing to sacrifice their political seats in order to help the country get back onto a fiscally stable track, what a President or candidate wants is irrelevant as you will never get enough members in Congress willing to make such a sacrifice.
Posted by Screaming Viking
Member since Jul 2013
5713 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Slash Social Security and Medicare spending


And how would one do that today?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

And how would one do that today?


Just reschedule the welfare benefits by decreasing them across the board.

Decrease SS outlays and Medicare funding.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476619 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Yeah it’s hard to find cheap slave labor these days

China was already losing that battle. They're not longer the focus for lower-level manufacturing and are losing market share.

And market rates in poor countries isn't "slave labor". That's Communist bullshite. It's a necessary step in their economic development. You skip the step and it thwarts true economic development (see: Russia).

quote:

these experts must have a timeline for their impending collapse correct? When is that?

How would they know this? What a silly question/standard.

Let me know all the experts within the US (outside of this website) who called/timed the 2009 Housing crash correctly. And we had active markets/data to judge, unlike fake numbers being produced by an authoritarian government.
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:13 am to
quote:

Just reschedule the welfare benefits by decreasing them across the board. Decrease SS outlays and Medicare funding.


That’s certainly one way to do it. I’d go another route.
Posted by ItNeverRains
Offugeaux
Member since Oct 2007
28166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Let me know all the experts within the US (outside of this website) who called/timed the 2009 Housing crash correctly. And we had active markets/data to judge, unlike fake numbers being produced by an authoritarian government.


While I agree not every country has the honest economic transparency of a true capitalist country like the US, certainly there are some experts out there somewhere with an inkling of CCP true GDP and projecting outward have a educated guess of their demise?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98007 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 9:22 am to
quote:

2020 changed things


No way. And every single person would have reacted the same

quote:

Because Trump's Covid spending


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