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re: Every network has a segment boasting how great the economy is doing.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 4:34 pm to Pu2kph0
Posted on 12/24/23 at 4:34 pm to Pu2kph0
quote:
Go to the grocery store. Try to buy a car. Try to buy a house. Try to go on a vacation.
Did all of that this year. It’s not as difficult as you are pretending.
2
Posted on 12/24/23 at 4:37 pm to Rebel
quote:and S&P? Those are pretty big economic "other thans." Dow/S&P are pretty solid economic measures. One could argue importance of the Russell, but I suspect it will come along 2024Q1 as well. Technical economic indicators are not driving perception. Higher prices are.
Other than the Dow
Posted on 12/24/23 at 4:41 pm to Tactical1
quote:Good for you.
Did all of that this year.
quote:That is not something you know, at all. "Difficulty" is inversely proportionate to disposable income.
It’s not as difficult as you are pretending.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 5:06 pm to Rebel
quote:there are cheaper ways to kill your self than mainling cane sauce.
The part where a 3 tender box from Canes is 27 dollars, 37 if you get a drink.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 5:09 pm to crewdepoo
quote:
there are cheaper ways to kill your self than mainling cane sauce.
.....and yet, here you are.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 5:25 pm to crewdepoo
Imagine being so objectively dishonest it makes you stump for the Biden Regime just because they have a D next to their name just as you do.
That’s why this country is cratering. Dems will literally defend there side until it puts them in the grave.
That’s why this country is cratering. Dems will literally defend there side until it puts them in the grave.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 5:32 pm to GBPackTigers
quote:what have I been dishonest about?
Imagine being so objectively dishonest it makes you stump for the Biden Regime just because they have a D next to their name just as you do
Posted on 12/24/23 at 7:54 pm to NC_Tigah
I believe the market is artificially inflated right now.
If the Fed doesn’t cut rates and earrings calls miss, there will be a huge correction.
Buffet just sold a lot of stock. He is not one to sell if the market is going to rise.
If the Fed doesn’t cut rates and earrings calls miss, there will be a huge correction.
Buffet just sold a lot of stock. He is not one to sell if the market is going to rise.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 8:30 pm to Tactical1
Imagine being this naive
Posted on 12/24/23 at 9:25 pm to Rebel
quote:
Buffet just sold a lot of stock. He is not one to sell if the market is going to rise.
A huge amount of stock.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 9:29 pm to LSURussian
quote:
In your opinion what part of today's U.S. economy is bad?
Young families starting out can’t buy a house. That’s a pretty big deal.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 11:04 pm to loogaroo
quote:How is that attributable to a bad econonmy? That sounds more like a housing shortage.
In your opinion what part of today's U.S. economy is bad?
Young families starting out can’t buy a house. That’s a pretty big deal.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 11:06 pm to Pu2kph0
quote:Put 3 under contract this week…
Try to buy a house.
Posted on 12/24/23 at 11:53 pm to loogaroo
No softer landing can be seen right now than going to Commander’s Palace for lunch with your wife and walking out $350 dollars lighter.
Posted on 12/25/23 at 2:04 am to Broke
quote:
OK this is how I remember it. Every inverted yield curve doesn't spawn a recession. But every recession has been accompanied by an inverted curve. Technically it's an inaccurate statement but not by much.
The Federal Reserve disagrees.
quote:
We look specifically at the difference in yield between Treasuries maturing in one year and those maturing in 10 years. Using that definition, every U.S. recession during the past 60 years has been preceded by a yield-curve inversion, and every significant, sustained inversion but one has been followed by a recession (Chart 1). In the single exception, during the mid-1960s, the economy’s growth slowed sharply, but fiscal stimulus prevented a downturn.
When comparing the 10-year to the 1-year, there was one inversion (the mid-60s) that did not result in a recession and that is specifically caveated as not happening due to stimulus spending. Comparing the 10-year to the 2-year, every single recession (since the 2-year first came online in the early-mid 70s) has been preceded by an inversion. What we've also seen is that the recession usually happens within 6-12 months after the rates revert or nearly revert.
This is also true when we compare the 10-year to the 3-month.
While nothing is perfect, the yield curve inversion is about as accurate a predictor of an upcoming recession as there is.
Posted on 12/25/23 at 2:11 am to crewdepoo
quote:quote:
The inverted yield curve disagrees. Strongly. (and it has a perfect record in predicting recessions) This landing will be about as soft as inflation was transitory.
ok. You must be an expert.
No, I'm just not a mindless simp.
Feel free to bookmark this post so you can come back to it in a year.
Posted on 12/25/23 at 5:50 am to loogaroo
Nope.
Posted on 12/25/23 at 6:26 am to llfshoals
quote:
Put 3 under contract this week…
Talk about taking things too literally
Posted on 12/25/23 at 7:16 am to crewdepoo
quote:
crewdepoo
She’s always all-in and always wrong. It’s science.
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