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re: Electoral vote shift forecast due to population changes

Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:31 am to
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
77304 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Stop counting illegals or at least deposit prior to 2030 census and that map will change a lot more.

10M illegals off the board would result in a +13 seat swing for the GOP.
Posted by FLTech
he/won
Member since Sep 2017
28088 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:33 am to
By them importing all of those people it actually backfired on the democrats in a tremendous way! This is great!
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
475974 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:33 am to
This is old news. That migration is starting to reverse.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24740 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:34 am to
Would be worse for the blue states if the census was run by the law.

The blue states got to count non-citizens in their total.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51660 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:48 am to
Austin proper is generally operating at a different beat than the rest of the state, you must admit.
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
9501 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:50 am to
And now you see one of the many reasons to import 50 million people in four years.
Posted by SoFlaGuy
Fort Lauderdale
Member since Apr 2020
3154 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 8:51 am to
quote:

counting illegals in the census was supposed to stop this from happening


This. This is why they opened the border. It blows my mind that most people don’t get this. It wasn’t for illegals voting as much as the census counting bodies, not status.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
14458 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:19 am to
As long as Texas stays in the fold, and I expect it will, this means that the Dems will be playing madly searching for electoral scenarios and playing defense in every election rather than the GOP. No more of this hoping we can pick off a "blue wall" state to win.

The Dems will have to not only focus on holding the blue wall (unlikely as it looks like Pennsylvania is moving red) and Nevada, but they will have to allocate resources to GA AND NC to hope to snag one of those while trying to defend their own turf. Sounds familiar doesn't it?

Not to mention that they have concerning trends in Maine, NJ and Minnesota.
Posted by mauser
Orange Beach
Member since Nov 2008
26821 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:28 am to
They Supreme Court gerrymandered a district in Alabama to specifically give blacks a Representative. It's a thin band that runs from Mobile through Montgomery and Tuskegee to the Georgia state line.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50522 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:29 am to
Every state that loses votes is blue or sometimes blue, and every state that gains votes is red.

That, folks, looks like a good thing.
This post was edited on 6/2/25 at 9:30 am
Posted by TigerBaitOohHaHa
Member since Jan 2023
2044 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 9:39 am to
frick Yeah!!

Posted by Red_and_black
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2014
748 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 10:12 am to
Its been going on for 50 years and its changing now? That BS even the latest data shows more migration to Southern states than to the West, Midwest, and NE all combined.

And if blue states are experiencing a percentage change increase in itty bitty states vs the TX's Fla's, Ga's and NC's of the world Big F*in deal. Its total migration numbers that matter.

And Cal, NY and Ill still sputter at best.

Dont assume you know everything because this post proves you dont.
This post was edited on 6/2/25 at 10:15 am
Posted by BTROleMisser
Murica'
Member since Nov 2017
13239 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 10:50 am to
quote:

ad to think that Ga is a swing state


Atlanta and Athens gonna' Atlanta and Athens.
Posted by Bourre
Da Parish
Member since Nov 2012
23882 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 12:01 pm to
Wait till we stop counting illegal aliens in the census
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
23591 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 1:04 pm to
Alot of folks leaving California.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
13091 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Is Texas still turning blue?


Funny but electoral vote allocation depends strictly on population, be they Democrats or Republicans.
Posted by TTOWN RONMON
Member since Oct 2023
1627 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 1:07 pm to
If the illegals are not counted they will lose more than 4, probably 8-9, 7 of their votes are by way of illegals being counted in the census.
Posted by FATBOY TIGER
Valhalla
Member since Jan 2016
13090 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 1:45 pm to
No shite!
Posted by fwtex
Member since Nov 2019
3393 posts
Posted on 6/2/25 at 2:18 pm to
Trump should push excluding non citizens again. If not exclude them, make it so that they are counted but as a separate group.
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