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re: Electoral College Predictions
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:41 pm to deltaland
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:41 pm to deltaland
Honestly, due to certain states' handling of COVID and other factors, I think the following changes happen.
Arizona flips blue
Nevada, Minnesota and New Hampshire flip red
Maine is split
That would put the EC split at 315 to 223
Arizona flips blue
Nevada, Minnesota and New Hampshire flip red
Maine is split
That would put the EC split at 315 to 223
1
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:43 pm to Elleshoe
quote:
Why are some of you so convinced Trump is going to lose? He’s going to win by a bigger margin than 2016. Biden ain’t exciting the dem base
I am not convinced he will lose but I am sympathetic to the concerns of outright voter fraud this year, coupled with marginally shifting demographics.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:25 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:40 pm to GeneralLee
Think this pretty much matches up with mine
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:43 pm to unotiger21
I got Trump winning all the states he won in 2016 plus adding NH and MN to his column. 320 electoral votes
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:48 pm to unotiger21
It's going to be very very close again, but the President Trump wins it.
This post was edited on 5/11/20 at 8:51 pm
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:50 pm to Pisco
Yeah, I don't see how he loses MI with Half Whit in charge and PA with Biden's anti fracking stance.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:58 pm to BuckyCheese
quote:
Yeah, I don't see how he loses MI with Half Whit in charge and PA with Biden's anti fracking stance.
La elected a trial atty governor twice.. even with ridiculous insurance costs, atty ads every 5 mins on TV and no industry other than oil and gas.
Never underestimate the ignorance of the voter.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 9:19 pm to ShermanTxTiger
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona all go blue this time around.
Dems expand lead in the house due to redistricting.
The decline of the country accelerates. Trump slowed it down a little, but the dem machine keeps chugging toward total power.
Dems expand lead in the house due to redistricting.
The decline of the country accelerates. Trump slowed it down a little, but the dem machine keeps chugging toward total power.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 9:44 pm to RolltidePA
I agree. The GOP will never have a house majority again due to redistricting and demographics. Senate might be close for awhile, but will probably be Democrat from now on. Trump did slow the tide, but the Blue takeover is inevitable.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 10:31 pm to unotiger21
I'm predicting riots.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 10:36 pm to BuckyCheese
I think PA will be close, if Trump loses PA it will be <1%. Trump winning MI in '16 was really a fluke from tons of people staying home in Detroit. I doubt that happens again. But hopefully Trump has enough coattails in Michigan to help get James get that senate seat that we desperately need.
Posted on 5/11/20 at 11:21 pm to Elleshoe
quote:
Biden ain’t exciting the dem base
Voting by mail is though.
Just sayin'
Posted on 5/12/20 at 5:30 am to Dale51
If it wound up 270-268 for Trump and he lost the popular vote, I have no doubt the Dems would flip two electors and win.
Posted on 5/12/20 at 5:35 am to unotiger21
I pray that Trump wins but make no mistake about it..the Dems are going all on on 2020 and will pull out all stops, cheat and lie to beat him. Its going to be tough but if Trump wins it will be by a narrow margin.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 6:55 pm to Elleshoe
Figured I’d bump my thread from a few weeks ago and see how you guys see things shaking out now?
Posted on 6/1/20 at 6:58 pm to tketaco
quote:
I'm predicting riots.
good call
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:00 pm to unotiger21
I figure Trump gets the same states from last time plus Minny (10) Maine (at large, 2) and New Hampshire (4)
So that puts the total around 330.
So that puts the total around 330.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:02 pm to teke184
Not that this means a damn thing but I saw the betting odds have swung to Biden just now.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:03 pm to unotiger21
It means money got placed, not that it stays there.
Liberal money men probably throw bets out there on this shite to shift the line.
Liberal money men probably throw bets out there on this shite to shift the line.
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