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re: DOW charging towards +2000 +10% like a racehorse to the bell. DOW finishes +2113 11.37%

Posted on 3/24/20 at 2:48 pm to
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
35618 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately, I agree. This is textbook dead cat bounce.
Again? The dead cat already bounced.

Not saying it won't go back down tomorrow, but this may finally be the time it begins to stabilize and inch back up.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 2:50 pm to
Nah. This has nothing to do with the virus, the stimulus, or the jobs report.

Monday morning, the federal reserve essentially said "enough, the market will not be allowed to fall below these levels."

You realize that the power of the central bank over this market is complete. If they want to reprice the Dow to 40,000 in six months, they could easily do that.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 2:51 pm
Posted by Carnold1987
Denver
Member since Aug 2014
100 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 2:53 pm to
I truly hope you are right.

However, given the current conditions we have been experiencing, how can one assume the market has stabilized based on no concrete evidence? We can’t keep seeing these type of swings. JMHO
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175897 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:01 pm to
Up 2113 11.37%

Largest point gain ever and 5th largest percentage gain ever.

Largest percentage gain since 1933.
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 3:05 pm
Posted by Perfect Circle
S W Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
7731 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:04 pm to
Stock markets are soaring..

Just wait until earnings season. It will be a blood bath and no amount of stimulus will repair the underlying structural problems which make up global debt problem.

Name one person in history who paid off their debts, while their revenues fell, while they were going deeper into debt.
Posted by auburnu008
I am the bagman
Member since Feb 2010
19544 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:05 pm to
Trump train!
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37610 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

This is textbook dead cat bounce.


End of the month also calls for the pension funds to be reallocated so that will give it a nice bump
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135710 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:09 pm to
Largest % gain since 1933. 2nd largest in history.
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
13429 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Friday is primed for an all time drop, first pay period with millions not getting a pay check and no stimulus in sight


You may be right, but I'd suspect many of those weren't in the market to begin with.
Posted by Carnold1987
Denver
Member since Aug 2014
100 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:13 pm to
Hate to post a link from politico

At this point it doesn’t matter if it is an all time daily gain or loss. The fluctuations in the market today are in line with Cryptocurrency.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129565 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:14 pm to
“Experts” kept saying the floor was around 18000
Posted by LSUBanker
Gonzales, La
Member since Sep 2003
2653 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Again? The dead cat already bounced. Not saying it won't go back down tomorrow, but this may finally be the time it begins to stabilize and inch back up.


I called the dead bounce 2 weeks and knew it wouldn't hold up. This snap back is different b/c of the fiscal stimulus measures. Be prepared to see some very ugly jobless claims and unemployment numbers in a next few months and the market basically shrug it off and continue higher.
Posted by LSUBanker
Gonzales, La
Member since Sep 2003
2653 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

“Experts” kept saying the floor was around 18000


Hope you have an extra "0" on that number, but if they are referencing the DJIA then they're not experts. The experts used SP500. The bear case scenario Ive read is 1800 and base case is 2000-2200 with 2020 year end at 2750. That all can change b/c most companies have deleted their forward EPS guidance.
Posted by the LSUSaint
Member since Nov 2009
15444 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

Up 2113 11.37%

Largest point gain ever and 5th largest percentage gain ever.

Largest percentage gain since 1933.


Yep...honestly, it's just taking back 2 weeks of fears that drove it down. Very very rich cash holders just went back in time and put the money in the market at 2010 prices....knowing thatbit will rocket under trump an this reelection. He has the majic sauce to get it to 30k+, and time is all he needs.
Posted by LSUBanker
Gonzales, La
Member since Sep 2003
2653 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

End of the month also calls for the pension funds to be reallocated so that will give it a nice bump




You and I must have been on the same market call.

Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:22 pm to
He's gonna spike the football, isn't he?
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29856 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:23 pm to
I legit fist bumped my TV like i was rooting on a football game.

i'm way to into this
This post was edited on 3/24/20 at 3:24 pm
Posted by LSUBanker
Gonzales, La
Member since Sep 2003
2653 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Just wait until earnings season. It will be a blood bath and no amount of stimulus will repair the underlying structural problems which make up global debt problem.


Wouldn't you think SP500 down 35% might have already be pricing that in at the moment?

When the market bottomed in March 2009 only half the banks had failed and unemployment was terrible. . Hundreds of bank failures followed for 2+ years and the equity market shot higher during that time.
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
55427 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

He's gonna spike the football, isn't he?


I love the fact this pisses you off.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 3/24/20 at 3:36 pm to
You thought it was great last time
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