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Does the election simply come down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:09 pm
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:09 pm
Does anyone agree that the election simply comes down to these 3 states?
14
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:10 pm to unotiger21
Minnesota could actually be in play. In 2018, there were 3 CD's that went from blue to red. We had 2 of them, including my own Pete Stauber.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:12 pm to Ag Zwin
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/12/21 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:13 pm to unotiger21
I’d say it will come down to those 3
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:21 pm to unotiger21
quote:
Does the election simply come down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan?
Is Florida a lost cause? I mean, I know they are bad, but are they THAT bad?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:27 pm to unotiger21
I don’t think there’s any doubt
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:28 pm to unotiger21
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Michigan
North Carolina
Florida
New Hampshire
Georgia
Iowa
Arizona
Pennsylvania is ground zero in this election. Biden’s going to be strong here. If Trump loses PA and MI he has to run the table on the rest of the state’s to tie at 269. Trump wins PA then Biden can still stop him with WI, MI and AZ.
Imo Arizona is going to heavily contested. Trump can’t win without it probably. That’s why Arizona needs to be on that list.
Wisconsin
Michigan
North Carolina
Florida
New Hampshire
Georgia
Iowa
Arizona
Pennsylvania is ground zero in this election. Biden’s going to be strong here. If Trump loses PA and MI he has to run the table on the rest of the state’s to tie at 269. Trump wins PA then Biden can still stop him with WI, MI and AZ.
Imo Arizona is going to heavily contested. Trump can’t win without it probably. That’s why Arizona needs to be on that list.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 5:30 pm
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:28 pm to unotiger21
There's plenty more swing states. Arizona, New Hampshire, and Minnesota are some others.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:28 pm to unotiger21
assuming Texas doesn't go blue 
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:33 pm to Brosef Stalin
I guess I shouldn’t just assume Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina are going red. Son of a bitch I’m going to be nervous on election night
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:37 pm to TOKEN
One other thing McSally is going up against Mark Kelly.
Kelly has an average of +7 on McSally. Going to need a lot of Kelly voters to also go with Trump. McSally is probably losing her seat.
Kelly has an average of +7 on McSally. Going to need a lot of Kelly voters to also go with Trump. McSally is probably losing her seat.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:37 pm to unotiger21
Florida will always be in play.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:42 pm to TOKEN
Biden is against fracking.
He won’t win PA.
He won’t win PA.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:42 pm to Ag Zwin
quote:Florida is a lost cause for the Dems. It will stay with Trump no doubt
Is Florida a lost cause? I mean, I know they are bad, but are they THAT bad?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:43 pm to TOKEN
quote:
Pennsylvania is ground zero in this election. Biden’s going to be strong here. If Trump loses PA and MI he has to run the table on the rest of the state’s to tie at 269. Trump wins PA then Biden can still stop him with WI, MI and AZ.
Imo Arizona is going to heavily contested. Trump can’t win without it probably. That’s why Arizona needs to be on that list.
I’m not sure why Iowa is included. Iowa and Ohio are Red just like Colorado and Virginia are Blue now.
Putting Georgia on there without Texas is rather pointless as Trump will win Georgia by more points. Same for North Carolina.
Arizona will go trump. Ducey fricking destroying his candidate by 10 points in 2018 McSally is just flat awful as a candidate and for some reason folks visually tie her race into Trumps.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:43 pm to TeLeFaWx
Going to be much closer in Florida with Biden
So will North Carolina
Biden is much stronger opponent across the board than Bernie. It’s no wonder Trump was pulling for him. Question remains, does Biden have the chops to go head to head with Trump in debates.
So will North Carolina
Biden is much stronger opponent across the board than Bernie. It’s no wonder Trump was pulling for him. Question remains, does Biden have the chops to go head to head with Trump in debates.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:46 pm to unotiger21
yes I think so
also, we have a real shot to take Colorado or Nevada back I think
maybe even pick up Minnesota
also, we have a real shot to take Colorado or Nevada back I think
maybe even pick up Minnesota
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:47 pm to Ag Zwin
I have some decent political connections on both sides in Florida. Everything I am hearing is that republicans will trounce in that state come November
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:49 pm to Magician2
quote:
I’m not sure why Iowa is included. Iowa and Ohio are Red just like Colorado and Virginia are Blue now.
Putting Georgia on there without Texas is rather pointless as Trump will win Georgia by more points. Same for North Carolina.
Arizona will go trump. Ducey fricking destroying his candidate by 10 points in 2018 McSally is just flat awful as a candidate and for some reason folks visually tie her race into Trumps.
I don’t think you can be so sure with Covid-19 and Trumps low approval ratings. There are so many variables alive that it keeps all these states in play including Minnesota. Yes, whose to say Biden doesn’t bomb or some other shoe doesn’t drop.
One thing I know is that McSally won’t be back and neither will Jones over in Alabama.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 5:49 pm to unotiger21
Trump needs 2 of these 4 to win:
Arizona (lean red but changing demographics show it competitive)
Wisconsin (would say lean red to toss up)
Penn (toss up)
Michigan (toss up/lean blue)
He will hold florida, Ohio, and NC
He could take New Hampshire but not really an effect state.
Arizona (lean red but changing demographics show it competitive)
Wisconsin (would say lean red to toss up)
Penn (toss up)
Michigan (toss up/lean blue)
He will hold florida, Ohio, and NC
He could take New Hampshire but not really an effect state.
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