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FrenchToast
LSU Fan
The French Kitchen
Member since Jan 2016
1786 posts

Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
Tim Pool - YT

Yeah, it's just a YT video... but is this even realistic, 520 in the electoral college?


MrLarson
Auburn Fan
Member since Oct 2014
31145 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
Seems like their hostile takeover of the Dem Party didn't work out like they thought it would.

I hope Alex Jones goes and trolls them again on election night if Trump wins in a landslide.


SCLibertarian
South Carolina Fan
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
18798 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
There are 10 states that would vote for anyone but Trump.


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270
Bham Bammer
Alabama Fan
Member since Nov 2014
9013 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
I mean, California alone has like 55 electoral votes, right? And they would vote for Fidel Castro over Trump.

Bernie would get slaughtered but the DNC isn't going to allow that to happen. Bloomberg is going to get the nomination and in all honesty probably gives Dems their best chance.

Like it or not there are a lot of people looking to vote for anyone but Trump.


bstew3006
LSU Fan
318
Member since Dec 2007
5741 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

Seems like their hostile takeover of the Dem Party didn't work out like they thought it would.


The NUTS are running the NUT HOUSE....yet the media thinks the DEMS are perfect and GOP has gone rogue


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30
PEPE
Member since Jun 2018
6497 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
People don't fully grasp how far gone many states are.


Kafka
USA Fan
I am the moral conscience of TD
Member since Jul 2007
103395 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

but is this even realistic, 520 in the electoral college?
only possible in a three person race, and even then highly unlikely


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dpd901
LSU Fan
South Louisiana
Member since Apr 2011
6221 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
If Bernie gets screwed, he’s going 3rd party. He won’t win either way, but a 3rd party run keeps him relevant for a few more months and will load his coffers for the rest of his twighlight.


BuckyCheese
Wisconsin Fan
Member since Jan 2015
10530 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
The Bern going third party would be glorious.

He's too much of a pussy to do it though. And the other dems really are not that different from him if you look at their policies versus just listening to what comes out of their mouths.


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30
Bham Bammer
Alabama Fan
Member since Nov 2014
9013 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
That would be hilarious but he won't do it.


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tigeraddict
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
7970 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

And they would vote for Fidel Castro over Trump.



they would vote Hitler over "literally" Hitler (aka Trump)......


the logic of the progressive mind and the infection of TDS....


TheFonz
LSU Fan
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
12642 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

Bloomberg is going to get the nomination and in all honesty probably gives Dems their best chance.


I have a feeling that you are right about this. One great consolation is that if Bernie gets screwed again, a lot of his supporters will just stay home on election day and not vote at all.


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30
KCT
LSU Fan
Wuhan, China
Member since Feb 2010
30750 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
The only think this dude is missing, and it isn't a small thing, is that the country was 85% white 8n 1972. Sadly*, the percentage of whites is now more like 65%.

That being said, I still think Poole's point is valid. Trump is going to open up a can of whoop-ass on these anti-American, left-wing kooks.


* I say it's sad that America is no longer 85% white because, well, it was simply a much better country then. As minorities have increased, we've seen complete fools like AOC and Hank Johnson elected to run (ruin?) the government. Just look at the Congressional Black Congress. They have about 45 members or so, and not a single member is worth a shite.

Not to mention the fact that the reason California doesn't elect Governors like Ronald Reagan anymore is because of the mass influx of minorities. They swing elections in favor of white scumbags like Jerry Brown and Gavin Newsom.


Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
72095 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

is this even realistic, 520 in the electoral college?


I don't see how Dems lose any of approximately 10 states, starting with huge EV states like California and NY. Throw in a few other guaranteed states (even for Bernie), and a Democrat has a hard floor of well over 100, probably closer to 135 EVs.

That is also true on the R side, with Texas and the Deep South giving a Republican a hard floor of about 90 or so.

The days of 1972 and 1984 are over. Even Clinton's 70% share of the EC in 1996 would likely be unheard of in 2020. However, if Trump bumps up just 20 to 25 EVs over his 2016 numbers, that will be in 60% range and good enough for bragging rights. BHO was the first 2-term guy to win with a dip in the EC since FDR in 1940 and again in 1944 (and, to be completely fair, those were his 3rd and 4th rodeos, not second).

That was the trend, though - as both Clinton and W. had only modest bumps in re-election EVs (9 and 15 respectively).







thejuiceisloose
UNO Fan
U.S. and A
Member since Nov 2018
289 posts
 Online 

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
There is no way he could get 520. He might get 300 again but that's it


UAinSOUTHAL
Alabama Fan
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
1741 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
Can wait to see all those states that voted for that Popular Vote interstate pact think twice about it after Trumps landslide. They would not be too happy about having to give their votes to Trump.


Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
2470 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
This is the same kind of fear mongering Republicans tried to use against Trump.

It won't work.

I hope Trump's team doesn't underestimate any candidate though.

Don't be Hillary.



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Centinel
Alabama Fan
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2016
23439 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
Let's be honest. The dem nominee, no matter who it is, could get up on stage in a Klan robe, rape a small boy, then rape a horse, then bathe in the blood of a few infants, lynch a few black people, bring back slavery for all minorities, then recreate a stirring rendition of "two girls, one cup" and left wing whackadoodles would still vote for them over Trump.

This post was edited on 2/14 at 10:22 am


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Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
72095 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

He might get 300 again but that's it


I think 330 to 340 is possible, but overall your sentiment is correct. Ds and Rs have a relatively hard ceiling in the mid 300s in the current political climate.

The last guy to crack 400 EVs was George Herbert Walker Bush and he was under 175 in just 4 years. :letthatsinkin:



Sidicous
LSU Fan
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Aug 2015
10326 posts

re: Democrats Fear Historical 2020 DEFEAT, Trump Could Win 520 Electoral Votes
quote:

Bloomberg is going to get the nomination and in all honesty probably gives Dems their best chance.
That's short sighted. They have a minimal shot even with Bloomie. He's just not up to it. The entire Dim side is under performing and their low expectations are showing.


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