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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:30 pm to
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21785 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:30 pm to
I clicked on a button that shared at least one person's full name. Obviously I am not going to ask if it was you, but just something to be wary of. One way to get around it would be to create a google account just for the sole purpose of posting these. I will leave it to you if you want to go that far.
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1794 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:39 pm to
Chrome,
On the link, data table is viewed but graphs are blank. If easier just go back to posting the image. We should all be able to zoom our screen to read.

And to everyone else, echoing what NY said, the real numbers will be determined retrospectively, so don’t get caught up in the day to day changes as the incubation period is so long and varied trends over 5-7 days will be more informative (this is something I have to remind myself as well).
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:40 pm to
Initials BH?
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1794 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:41 pm to
Do you mind sharing his age with us? Sounds like mid career guy near his prime. Just curious
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129621 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:46 pm to
He’s over 60.
Posted by Nawlens Gator
louisiana
Member since Sep 2005
5963 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:48 pm to

Chromdome : Well done sir! have an upvote. That link works great for me and your efforts are greatly appreciated!

GOOD JOB!

Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1794 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 12:59 pm to
I understand the comparisons with seasonal flu, but would like to remind everyone the rates you see today with the flu are with an extensive and effective vaccination program in place and commercially available, effective anti-virals.
Sitting here today with COVID, we have neither of those 2 measures in place and the CFR in certain subgroups is near or over double digits.
We all are hoping in 2-3 years time this is thought of as another seasonal virus, but during this acute period, where the CFR is evolving, we just ain’t there yet.

Really sad scenario is in a few years time the new CFR is really low because it already killed most of the susceptible population.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:02 pm to
This is the first test run of the new tracker that I have shared on Google Drive.

Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

There are a lot more graphs available at the link above









This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 1:06 pm
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21785 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:02 pm to
Yes sir.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96134 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Initials BH?


Assuming that is even you, it is a supremely common name, but I also saw "Chromedome" as the Google account name, so just keep using that and you should be fine.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:10 pm to
Does anyone know how to make images appear side by side on PT to consume less real estate?
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1794 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:12 pm to
That stinks. If he is in NY hopefully he is early enough to access uncompromised care.
Also, the anti-malaria drugs have their on issues/ side effects, and without good data it’s anyone’s guess whether to use or not.
Prayers and happy thoughts to him.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129621 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:12 pm to
On the daily growth rates, are we seeing regional outbreaks affecting the growth percentage rates?

IOW, the outbreak in Washington is fading up until the 16th and then New York kicks in?

Could we see spikes in that data as regional outbreaks continue? Probably.
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 1:14 pm
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129621 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:16 pm to
The short version is that his hospital is not a hotbed of Covid 19 activity in the big picture of things. So I feel good about the ability of the hospital to focus their efforts on him.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21785 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

IOW, the outbreak in Washington is fading up until the 16th and then New York kicks in?


This is what I was getting at yesterday. I would love to see individualized data long term. At the moment I can only see individual states for today and yesterday.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63849 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Could we see spikes in that data as regional outbreaks continue? Probably.
With so much regional testing focus going on it’s hard to tell.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:04 pm to
I have added a couple of tabs to the tracker to show Italy's progression. I can't find any historical data for Italy's serious cases if you come across that let me know.

It has the same graphs as the US.

I plan to do the same for the UK, Germany, and Spain as I have time.
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 2:05 pm
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12957 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:20 pm to
What happened to the logarithmic graphs?
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:26 pm to
They should be there, scroll down the page?
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1794 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:59 pm to
Adding a useful link here. I had not seen it posted in this thread but anticipate this group may appreciate these numbers.
Look at page 19 for the US model.
It is probably the best graphic I have seen to illustrate what the surge (peaks) could be and the lack of capacity at present (red line). So this is why they are talking about new tent cities and respirators being made by Tesla/GM.

LINK
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