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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:13 pm to
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
66682 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Map looks legit to me
It is. Kork is merely a fig.

Maybe the New York titty ring brain trust shouldn't have made brilliant moves like forcing nursing homes to accept infected people.

And of course, party down in Chinatown.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:15 pm to
You’re triggered for a different reason.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

It is. Kork is merely a fig.
I'm just not easily manipulated. I care about the truth, and I point out misleading information whenever I see it. You know, like this board does when liberal media misrepresents the truth (lies).
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Not just the appearance. The guy who made it openly admits to cherry-picking.


Is his map inaccurate?

Also, I can't get to the guy's post. Has it been removed?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:19 pm to
None of this information is incorrect. It’s just not what you like.
Posted by blueboy
Member since Apr 2006
66682 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:20 pm to
Nah, I'd say it's a fair though rough assessment of who behaved most carelessly during the crucial early stages of the virus, and the effects of that behavior.

But you're right. They should have put some yellow and red over in CA. Good catch.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

Is his map inaccurate?
It's inaccurate in the same way that all manipulative representations of information are. The intent is to push a narrative rather than present accurate information.
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:25 pm to
Anybody know why there aren’t any NY numbers up on worldometer for today yet? Don’t they typically have some out by now?
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

It's inaccurate in the same way that all manipulative representations of information are. The intent is to push a narrative rather than present accurate information.


Stop with your silly BS. Just answer the question. Regardless of what his "narrative" is, is the map accurate?
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

None of this information is incorrect. It’s just not what you like.
The same can be said about nearly every "lie" told by the media. It's true, but it's manipulative. You just don't have a problem with this particular case because you agree with the narrative. That's human nature.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11949 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

is the map accurate?


It's accurate in the sort of way that the electoral maps of Presidential results are when you mark them by county winners - like the 2016 election, differences in population density can make a big difference. Here's the map by county:



And then weighted for population which gives a better sense of differences in density:

Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Stop with your silly BS. Just answer the question. Regardless of what his "narrative" is, is the map accurate?
If you want to be this strict about it, then no, it is not. The red is actually 30.4% of the deaths, not 1/3. LINK He didn't do the full 33% because he would have had to paint either a county in CA red, or many more counties in the NE red, and that would not have been as misleading as he wanted.

It is simple to cherry-pick "accurate" data to mislead people. This is a huge problem, not just with this map, but in all media. We shouldn't support it.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:39 pm to
And you do have a problem because you don’t like the narrative that this isn’t that big a deal to the vast majority of the US.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

It's accurate in the sort of way that the electoral maps of Presidential results are when you mark them by county winners


You seem to be suggesting that geography/distancing has nothing to do with the spread of the virus (which is unlike voting).

If you were asked to make a simple physical representation (a map) of the incidence (or mortality) of the virus broken down into 3 contiguous regions - by severity, wouldn't you come up with something close to what this guy did? The mistake he made was not making the regions contiguous.

The "narrative" is obvious and it's accurate. The vast majority of the country has not experienced a "crisis" that warrants much of any of the measures taken.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

And you do have a problem because you don’t like the narrative that this isn’t that big a deal to the vast majority of the US.
I don't want it to be a big deal, and I don't think it's a big deal. Nothing about it is anywhere near the level that I personally think would warrant any kind of widespread shutdown response. It's just not that bad.

But we don't need misleading maps to tell us that. We can take an honest look at the data and draw the same conclusion.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11949 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:50 pm to
My point is why does there need to be 3 contiguous areas? You can make a data visualization a million different ways. At this point the current incidence of the disease and trends up and down is more relevant to public health & political discussions.

Here's the Johns Hopkins map, which won't link here since it's interactive, but it controls for population and gives a better sense of the epidemic that relevant for public health.

Johns Hopkins
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:51 pm
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29128 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

If you were asked to make a simple physical representation (a map) of the incidence (or mortality) of the virus broken down into 3 contiguous regions - by severity, wouldn't you come up with something close to what this guy did?
The question we should ask is "are we trying to convey useful information, or are we trying to elicit a response or emotion?"

Why 3 regions, and why contiguous? Why are we trying to make a huge country with multiple hotspots appear to have only 1 hotspot? What is the purpose of presenting data in this way?
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
67422 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:11 pm to
That map looks like pretty useful information to me. It shows that most of our nation shouldn't be taking the draconian steps we've been taking.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

My point is why does there need to be 3 contiguous areas? You can make a data visualization a million different ways. At this point the current incidence of the disease and trends up and down is more relevant to public health & political discussions.

Here's the Johns Hopkins map, which won't link here since it's interactive, but it controls for population and gives a better sense of the epidemic that relevant for public health.


I think the Johns Hopkins map says the exact same thing as the other map for a person with any level of technical/mathematical acumen. But that's not the "American populous" - show them the JH map and their take away is whatever Don Lemon or Sean Hannity said last.

The more simple map is easier for them to follow - the takeaway being - - - for the vast majority of the country (geographically, which = states/counties), the virus is the same as the flu. Not the same disease, so don't go off on that tangent, but in terms of impact on your community from a health standpoint, it's like a flu.

That takeaway is pretty accurate.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Why 3 regions, and why contiguous? Why are we trying to make a huge country with multiple hotspots appear to have only 1 hotspot? What is the purpose of presenting data in this way?


As far as the 3.8 million square miles that make up the US, there is only one hotspot.

A hotspot on a national level is not the same thing as a hot spot on a regional, state or local level.

There's a hotspot 5 miles away from me (an old folks home), something substantial for my suburb, noticeable for metro-Phoenix, but it's a blip for the state of AZ, and inconsequential for the US.
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