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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 5/11/20 at 2:33 pm to
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
36378 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 2:33 pm to
quote:


The cooking of the books has ended


I'm thinking that as well. The news breaking about Brix, whom people seem to genuinely like, lashing out internally with frustration about it may have struck a nerve.

At least one thing is clear, the CDC needs a massive overhaul after this. Whether intentional or not, they have absolutely botched the statistics on this one. The reality is we will never know how bad it really was.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

The reality is we will never know how bad it really was.


We may know in 2022. January.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Today's Case and Death numbers look abnormally low for this time of the day. Typically Mondays are from Sunday.
I can’t figure out that is going on with New York. For example, they have 103 total deaths listed for Sunday and Monday, but New York City alone added 122 deaths in Sunday alone (haven’t updated for Monday yet).
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 2:49 pm to
They subtracted deaths over the weekend.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

They subtracted deaths over the weekend.
And they appeared to have made a mistake. Here is what was reported:
quote:

NOTE: Data for New York today reflects a -147 reduction in the number of probable COVID-19 deaths reported by New York City
I have probable deaths going down by 149, but I think they failed to account for is that “confirmed deaths” went up by 271, presumably as a result of probable deaths being “confirmed”. That’s a net difference of 122 more deaths on Sunday, instead of 147 fewer deaths.

So by my calculation, they show have had 310 deaths listed in New York on Sunday instead of 41.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
129624 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 3:03 pm to
You’re ascribing a process and attempts at accuracy to them. I think that’s bold.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

You’re ascribing a process and attempts at accuracy to them. I think that’s bold.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 4:43 pm to
Almost 400K tests today, which is a new high by almost 50K. The % positive rate for today is 4.5% for 17.6K positive results.

Baring some data reporting f*ckery, It looks like we might be entering a sharper downward trend.
Posted by BamaPig
Gulf Coast,Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
1314 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

The cooking of the books has ended.


And some sky screaming bitch downvoted


Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:28 pm to
Fewest new cases since March 26th, and the most tests in a single day ever.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8289 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:33 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

NOTE: I added a little section to show Week over Week comparables at the bottom of the data grid.











Posted by Jrv2damac
KS
Member since Mar 2004
73514 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:07 pm to
1.3%


I’m getting drunk to celebrate
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25255 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 8:49 pm to
Hmmmm, what's going on? New York decide not to report or what? Happy if correct!
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 9:06 pm to
Brix called people out for their fake numbers and now the numbers are falling off of a cliff.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35406 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

Hmmmm, what's going on? New York decide not to report or what? Happy if correct!
NYC didn’t update their data until after Worldometer closed the reporting of the day, AND they subtracted 147 deaths from NYC on Sunday despite a 122 death increase.

Altogether, NYC alone had 445 deaths over the last 3 days of updates, but Worldometer added 296 for New York in total. I suspect that they are missing up to 592 deaths (445 plus the 147 subtracted) due to NYC alone.
Posted by BamaPig
Gulf Coast,Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
1314 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 9:42 pm to
I'll hold my celebration for 24 hrs. and hope Tuesday doesn't bring bad news

Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29311 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 7:47 am to
quote:

I'll hold my celebration for 24 hrs. and hope Tuesday doesn't bring bad news


The Tuesday spike is expected. Don’t let that deter you from the downward trend.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 8:00 am to
off topic but I went out to eat yesterday since it was the first day a restaurant could open in alabama

paper tablecovers thrown away after each patron and disposable menus

I pondered why we don't do that for every flu season
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
96134 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 8:04 am to
quote:

The Tuesday spike is expected.


I think our mental model is flawed on this - the OG Tuesday spike on April 7th quickly became a late week spike the last few cycles.

For new cases, the reported peaks (however much accuracy you ascribe to any of these datasets) since April 10th were, April 17th (Friday), April 24th (Friday), May 1st (Friday) and May 7th/8th (Thursday/Friday).

Good news - we're now into new case numbers we haven't seen since late March.

quote:

Don’t let that deter you from the downward trend.



At this point, I'll take it.
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29311 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

I pondered why we don't do that for every flu season


We probably will moving forward. Lots of behavior changes are going to happen.
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