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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:18 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124786 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

The more testing the better


Yes. But it is driving home how fast it’s spreading. These are symptomatic cases where the tests are coming back. So there’s a lag time there. Someone I know got tested on Saturday and they’re expecting a positive for the virus back per the doc. But they were waiting on the results as of yesterday.
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11276 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:23 pm to
Spain and Italy are getting crushed... our infection rate vs 1 million is impressively low
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124786 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:24 pm to
We will be catching up. The number to watch now is deaths. When we get a couple weeks out, we’ll see how mitigation has gone a little more clearly.
Posted by PrinceVegeta
Fourchon Beach
Member since Nov 2014
474 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:25 pm to
quote:


Spain and Italy are getting crushed... our infection rate vs 1 million is impressively low


We just got our infrastructure for mass testing up and running. This will change drastically in the next couple of days unfortunately. If you read you local state health department updates you will see each state as several hundred testing kits “pending.” I like that our “positive” rates are slowing down. That’s a percentage and not a total. It’s an optimist sign we our slowing this thing.
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3130 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Spain and Italy are getting crushed... our infection rate vs 1 million is impressively low

We’re insulated by population density, early travel bans, and having above average cultural health standards. Also, we have the best medical care in the world, so the death rate will naturally be lower as well.

Still, it’s good that the virus doesn’t have an H1N1 mortality rate, or we’d have Katrina things happening all over the country.
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6155 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:27 pm to
What happened to the %growth per day chart?
This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 12:28 pm
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
36925 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

The US also has FIVE times the population of Italy. So while the raw number of cases look the same, the proportional number of cases in the US is unbelievably small
It is the rate of spread that matters. A smaller population will just peak earlier.

We are fortunate in the US that we were able to identify the people who "imported" the virus while Italy had trouble tracking them down before community spread went wild.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7921 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:48 pm to
Updated again, added a couple of new graphs




These are not final numbers for today.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7921 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:49 pm to
The Growth Rate Charts really aren't accurate until the end of the day when the final numbers for the day are in.
Posted by JawjaTigah
On the Bandwagon
Member since Sep 2003
22860 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 12:50 pm to
How much of the continuing uptick in numbers of cases can be attributed to more testing, versus actual increases in the disease spread? Not a gotcha question. Really wondering out loud.
Posted by jawnybnsc
Greer, SC
Member since Dec 2016
5862 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:09 pm to
Can you add the cases/MM pop rate?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124786 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:18 pm to
I’d guess symptoms + some social history (travel or contact) is driving the testing still. So it’s probably a good portion the spread of the disease.

But with the greater spread, it’s probably easier to qualify for testing because there’s a greater likelihood that you’re exposed.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:19 pm to
our institution is basically all clinical criteria now, a complete 180 from just a week ago.

symptoms -> social history -> test

or

symptoms -> flu rule out -> physicals signs (imaging) -> test
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124786 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:20 pm to
Good.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:22 pm to
we're about to have to write a policy on what to do with people who saw these patients first

right now, ID wants the ER doc/nurse who initially saw the patient to sit home for 14 days

thats about to be operationally impossible
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
124786 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

right now, ID wants the ER doc/nurse who initially saw the patient to sit home for 14 days thats about to be operationally impossible


We were toying with something like that. But it’s over with about the fifth patient. And what happens while waiting for testing turnaround?

My daughter is working in the clinic at med school and her classmates were freaking out about potentially seeing positive patients. I told her to tell them to all drop out of med school. She didn’t, sadly.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

My daughter is working in the clinic at med school and her classmates were freaking out about potentially seeing positive patients. I told her to tell them to all drop out of med school. She didn’t, sadly.


I keep telling some of my coworkers we signed on for this, we accept the risk. its part of healthcare and our duty

I take my temp before I go to work and when I get home every day

This post was edited on 3/17/20 at 1:30 pm
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Someone I know got tested on Saturday and they’re expecting a positive for the virus back per the doc.


Curious, is that person symptomatic and what is their severity?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94647 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Also, we have the best medical care in the world


Since I know there are many in the field who post in these threads and with whom I have had friendly arguments with at times, so I just want to say:

You guys and gals are beasts. Legendary health care providers that are the envy of the planet.
Posted by bfniii
Member since Nov 2005
17840 posts
Posted on 3/17/20 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

So what about Italy?
not analogous to the us and i listed several reasons why. but i get that you're being coy
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