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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:12 am to
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Port Saint Lucie, FL
Member since Jan 2005
24756 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:12 am to
quote:

Recoveries are going to start sky rocketing as more people get tested because a lot of oeople most likely have it now but they don’t even know it.


I assumed recovery numbers are low because people get diagnosed and then they go home and get better. Once better, there is no protocol to confirm they have recovered.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:35 am to
Thanks for the update Chrom.

Recoveries are now outpacing deaths.

Mortality ratio still below 2% and number of serious cases are stagnant at 10.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:37 am to
quote:

Recoveries are now outpacing deaths.


That's a pretty meaningless observation for an illness that behaves like this one does.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:39 am to
Then why was it hyped so much when SK and Japan were kicking its arse?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111546 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:50 am to
quote:

That's a pretty meaningless observation for an illness that behaves like this one does.


That’s weird compared to your early posts on the virus.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10149 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 7:00 am to
quote:

That's a pretty meaningless observation for an illness that behaves like this one does.

What? Dr.Jekyll meet Mr. Hyde.
Posted by Plx1776
Member since Oct 2017
16243 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 7:05 am to
Well... apparently there're a 100k cases in Ohio alone. According to that one idiot.

So that would mean about 130k cases. Mortality rate would be around .05%
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 7:06 am
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6845 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:28 pm to
Updated stats as of 3/16/20 4:15pm. These numbers are not complete for the day and will continue to climb for the day. I will update later tonight.

Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69313 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:30 pm to
Good news that CFR continues to fall
Posted by GoldenSombrero
Member since Sep 2010
2651 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

I assumed recovery numbers are low because people get diagnosed and then they go home and get better. Once better, there is no protocol to confirm they have recovered.



I'm guessing that the only recoveries documented would be those that are admitted to acute facilities with the illness and are later discharged? To your point, I'm not sure how else they could be captured.
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
14062 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:38 pm to
Requested sticky.

Thanks a lot for this sir
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:38 pm to
It is a lagging indicator but it is good because it means we are doing more successful testing
Posted by uway
Member since Sep 2004
33109 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:48 pm to
4260 active cases and (12) TWELVE (twelve, I said twelve) of th are serious?

.28169 out of 100 cases are serious.

What the f are we doing


At this rate, if we had 100 million cases, that would be 281k serious cases. That would overwhelm our hospitals? We have 800,000 hospital beds. If 2/3 are full already with critical patients, that leaves 266k beds. So we'd have a shortage of 15,000 beds if we had 100 million infected at the same time.
We can't cover that with makeshift hospitals?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111546 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

12) TWELVE (twelve, I said twelve) of th are serious?


Ignore that number. It’s stayed relatively constant while the death count continues to rise.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:52 pm to
I know that number is false just from what I know about the cases in my own state.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6845 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:53 pm to
I don't trust these US Serious case numbers. They are abnormally low. I've seen too many reports in different places talking about critical patients to believe there are only 12 serious cases in the US.

Serious Case %'s from around the world (As of right now):
Worldwide: 6.94%
Italy: 8.02%
UK: 1.39%
France: 6.18%
Germany: .03% Seems very low as well
Spain: 3.09%
Japan: 5.66%
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 4:54 pm
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

gnore that number. It’s stayed relatively constant while the death count continues to rise.


?, as a percentage of known infections the death rate has been declining daily, there is a small blip upward today, but one day does not make a trend.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118862 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:58 pm to
So the doubling rate has gone from 3.3 days, 3.7 days to now 5.9 days for the last three days.

I like the way this is trending. The actions we are taking seem to we working.

As long as that doubling rate continues to increase in terms of days we are on the right path.
Posted by ZIGG
Member since Dec 2016
10146 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:58 pm to
We need to cancel the 2020 presidential election this year as well. We simply cannot take a chance on roughly 100 million people out and about at election booths in one day.

#Cancel2020Election
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

So we'd have a shortage of 15,000 beds if we had 100 million infected at the same time.


80% of the infected will not require hospitalization.
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