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Started By
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Posted on 8/5/19 at 3:46 pm to Zach
quote:
Yes, the NYT has been saying that every week.
For 3 years.
More recently you're starting to see many others talk about it
quote:
The spread between three-month and 10-year Treasury yields — a relationship known as the yield curve — on Monday inverted to its widest level since 2007.
At its most extended point, the spread reached -32 basis points. That's a worrisome sign for economists and traders alike, considering such an inversion has preceded every US recession of the past 50 years.
Business Insider article from Today
Posted on 8/5/19 at 3:49 pm to deltaland
quote:
shite is getting bad. The Dow is tanking and China announced it will buy 0, nada, zip in agriculture products from the US. This hits hard at Trumps most reliable states along with many in the upper Midwest he barely won.
China is getting desperate and tanking the yuan. Don't be dumb.
quote:
The yield curve is showing signs of a major recession coming.
The yield curve is so manipulated from QE, the reason it's even an indicator(expectations of short term return vs long term return) to begin with has been completely undermined. Be honest. Do you know why the Fed's "balance sheet" has suppressed long term rates? Do you know why the yield curve is an indicator of a recession?
The underlying fundamentals of the economy from deregulation and tax reform are so strong, we are basically in the 2nd inning.
quote:
If Trump doesn’t get this fixed he may not win in 2020.
Lolz.
quote:
China won’t play ball until after the election.
True, and the amount of supply chain that will leave them in the next year and a half will be better for the global economy. Good.
quote:
Trump either sticks with the trade war and hopes the people can see the long game or he bends the knee to China.
Just stick to talking about Mississippi.
Posted on 8/5/19 at 4:23 pm to deltaland
The Dow had a bad day down 2.9% today, still up 10.5% for the year. We were up almost 1,000 pts since the start of the trade war. This is a bad day not the start of the boogey man coming home to rest.
The yield curve? At what range? There is no one yield curve it is based off inputs. With the interest rate cut of course the curve is going to flatten.
The bigger question is why are so many people hoping for a recession just to get Trump out of office.
The yield curve? At what range? There is no one yield curve it is based off inputs. With the interest rate cut of course the curve is going to flatten.
quote:
Do you think voters will stick with Trump if the trade war plunges us into recession?
The bigger question is why are so many people hoping for a recession just to get Trump out of office.
Posted on 8/5/19 at 4:34 pm to Bunyan
quote:
You also said Trump was likely done politically due to Mueller's press conference, sooo

Posted on 8/5/19 at 4:36 pm to Northwestern tiger
quote:
Unlike the Chinese, most Americans are not patriotic enough to make the short-term sacrifice for a better future.
Well the Chinese citizens don't really have a choice do they? You think their leaders care if some of them starve because they aren't getting food from us?
Posted on 8/5/19 at 4:44 pm to deltaland
If Trump stopped all trade with China their economy would collapse in 2 weeks
Posted on 8/5/19 at 6:13 pm to deltaland
The Dow is down today, elect a democrat and implement socialism!!
Chicken Littles are the worst.
Chicken Littles are the worst.
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