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re: Bill Cassidy confirms he's interested in running for Louisiana governor next year

Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:32 pm to
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27608 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Who is the big group that you envision is going to be Cassidy's "camp" in this scenario?


I do think Cassidy is an interesting candidate here. Here’s the main reason why: While his chances of actually getting into the runoff are very low, if he were somehow able to make it, his chances of winning the whole thing are pretty darn good, granted based off the other runoff candidate.

Cassidy vs Landry: Democrat base ain’t crossing over to vote for Landry; and there’s going to be that anti-Vitter camp faction of the GOP who would rather a GOP Governor Cassidy.

Cassidy vs a Sharon Broome/Cedric Richmond Democrat: Going to be very tough for Republican voters to stay home with these Dem alternatives on the table, and even tougher to vote for the Dem to spite Cassidy.

Cassidy could lose in a runoff vs a Gary Smith or Butch Gautreaux type Democrat, though.

However, all that said, I don’t see how he has the necessary base to make the runoff. His ability to win (and probably easily) in those two above runoff scenarios has him winning because one side or the other views the other option as horribly extreme.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26368 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:37 pm to
Agree with all that.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109735 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:44 pm to
quote:


Cassidy vs Landry: Democrat base ain’t crossing over to vote for Landry; and there’s going to be that anti-Vitter camp faction of the GOP who would rather a GOP Governor Cassidy.



I just can’t figure out who these people are. Certainly not in any sizable numbers.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40010 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:45 pm to
That f’er better not get elected.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26368 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

I just can’t figure out who these people are. Certainly not in any sizable numbers.



I think this board would call them the RINOs of the party. I'd call them more center leaning Republicans.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
109735 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:56 pm to
quote:


I think this board would call them the RINOs of the party. I'd call them more center leaning Republicans


You think Louisiana has a huge number of these?

It doesn’t, not within the national understanding of it.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
86264 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Well everybody voted for him in 2020


Well I didn’t. I know other conservative libertarian types that didn’t either.

Just saying, stop voting just because they have an R. We have to stop this.
Posted by Tchefuncte Tiger
Bat'n Rudge
Member since Oct 2004
62744 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

“They’ve seen what I’ve done on the bipartisan infrastructure bill, see what I did on COVID relief in December” 2020, Cassidy told Politico on Tuesday. “They obviously see I’m trying to do good things for the state. And they like it.”


Does this man live in a bubble? Has he seen recent polling data that show he's not very well liked in the state? Has he seen polling data showing unfavorable opinions of him are greater than favorable? Does he really think Richard Lipsey can buy him the Governor's Mansion?
Posted by Wee Ice Mon
Member since May 2014
1822 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Bill Cassidy


Dr Bill will be even worse than Edwards when the next pestilence is released.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
15031 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 1:43 pm to
Ha he’s got zero chance.
Posted by WeagleEagle
Folsom Prison
Member since Sep 2011
2519 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 2:22 pm to
Y’all are kidding yourselves. If he actually runs he knows he has the support to win.
Posted by Catahoula20LSU
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
2877 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 2:38 pm to
He should not waste his time or money. Period.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27608 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

not within the national understanding of it.


States like Texas and Florida, Republicans can nationalize local and state elections to their advantage.

In Louisiana, they can’t. 2003, 2015 and 2019 Gubernatorial races are proof of that, as are many local elections.
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
37718 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

when Trump made fun of thr cerebral palsy guy

Thanks for announcing how stupid you are.
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
37718 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

If he actually runs he knows he has the support to win.

Just like he knew it would be a good idea to piss off his voter base.
Posted by White Bear
OPINIONS & A-HOLES
Member since Jul 2014
17270 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

a Sharon Broome/Cedric Richmond Democrat
This is actually the near future.
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 3:42 pm to
I'm interested in Bill Cassidy choking on a dick
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
62010 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 4:03 pm to
If my only choice is Cassidy and some liberal Democrat, I will simply not vote. I’ll never vote for this man.
This post was edited on 3/31/22 at 4:04 pm
Posted by ThePTExperience1969
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Apr 2016
13360 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 4:41 pm to
Not voting for him
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
31885 posts
Posted on 3/31/22 at 4:44 pm to
Is he openly going back to the Democratic Party, where he rightfully belongs? He might be able to win after Billy and Landry bloody each other up in the primary. Running as an R? Zero chance. I’d vote for the fat slimeball before Cucksidy
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