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Biden will lose tens of thousands of votes each in MI, WI, and PA
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:29 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:29 pm
Due to colleges in these Dem run swing states being “ghost towns”. I alluded to this in my exceptional Marquette Law School WI poll thread earlier, and it’s nice seeing the great Larry Schweikart confirm it.
Up to (or maybe exceeding) 20K fewer votes from liberal stronghold counties in WI, MI, PA and probably at least 20K fewer in MN OH and IA. The eventual numbers could actually be much, much higher.
Up to (or maybe exceeding) 20K fewer votes from liberal stronghold counties in WI, MI, PA and probably at least 20K fewer in MN OH and IA. The eventual numbers could actually be much, much higher.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:52 pm
14
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:32 pm to SirWinston
I am sure there will be a marked decline in votes for those specific counties, but I am not sure it will translate to that amount of less votes.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
I get the feeling that this redistribution of the student vote would impact the House races moreseo than POTUS.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
I get the feeling that this redistribution of the student vote would impact the House races moreseo than POTUS.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:33 pm to SirWinston
When I was in school I never voted in the location of my school. I absentee voted back home. Not sure how this tracks. Wonts those kids just vote absentee?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:37 pm to Indefatigable
quote:I think the point is that younger folks generally don't vote in large numbers, with college voter drives being an exception given the captive audience. In 2020 those largely aren't a thing.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are mostly public state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:37 pm to SirWinston
I feel like most college students vote in their home state not in the state they are going to college in though?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:38 pm to SirWinston
Dims displaced young voters all over the country with the COVID bullshite. College campuses, high tourism and entertainment areas, Las Vegas, etc.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:38 pm to jlovel7
quote:
I absentee voted back home. Not sure how this tracks. Wonts those kids just vote absentee?
Well, it all depends on their motivation to vote... many of them would have followed the crowd to vote at school... at home, who knows...
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:39 pm to SirWinston
One thing that could be taken into account is the voter enthusiasm that you see when other college kids are around other college kids. They might be less inclined to go vote living with their parents?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:39 pm to Eric Nies Grind Time
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 10:42 am
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:40 pm to SirWinston
Are these college kids who didn't enroll this year?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:41 pm to SirWinston
How many college aged kids actually get their voter registration changed to their college town? I didn't know a single a person that did this while i was in college.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:41 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
A lot of these states allowed instant registration OR they would have encouraged all Dem students to change their registration to the swing state back in August. None of that is happening this cycle.
So kids from NY or MA attending Penn State or Pitt or Carnagie Mellon would have been activated and changed registration from their safe blue states to these key swing states when they arrived on campus in August and then would have voted en masse on campus either early or on Election Day.
So kids from NY or MA attending Penn State or Pitt or Carnagie Mellon would have been activated and changed registration from their safe blue states to these key swing states when they arrived on campus in August and then would have voted en masse on campus either early or on Election Day.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:42 pm to SirWinston
Wow, great point. Never considered this. 
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:44 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
quote:Exactly. They’ll probably stay home and smoke a bowl and play video games.
One thing that could be taken into account is the voter enthusiasm that you see when other college kids are around other college kids. They might be less inclined to go vote living with their parents?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:44 pm to jlovel7
quote:
Wonts those kids just vote absentee?
Half of them probably don't even know how or know what voting absentee means.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:46 pm to bhtigerfan
I can’t find an image but I’m an election nerd and I remember MSNBC’s Jakob Sokoloff on a campus in Pa in 2016 and it was a voting precinct in the student union with hundreds of students waiting in line past the closure to vote for Hillary. There were pizzas being delivered to those in line and it was a huge Hillary party.
That precinct alone probably delivered a +5,000 margin to Hillary in a key swing state and there are dozens like it all over Midwestern battleground states
That precinct alone probably delivered a +5,000 margin to Hillary in a key swing state and there are dozens like it all over Midwestern battleground states
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:47 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:46 pm to SirWinston
This will win Trump new Hampshire
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:46 pm to SirWinston
I was worried the Dems would cheat in Pitt. Good point,the Dems like to be present on colleges and give away free pizza and laptops in 08
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:47 pm to jlovel7
quote:
When I was in school I never voted in the location of my school. I absentee voted back home. Not sure how this tracks. Wonts those kids just vote absentee?
Same here. At LSU but voted absentee in Illinois.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:48 pm to Indefatigable
quote:In an age of instant gratification, you think any students are going to go stand in line with Mee Maw and vote? On campus it's friends gathered together after smoking a joint who go to the campus polling place.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
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