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Started By
Message
re: Biden will lose tens of thousands of votes each in MI, WI, and PA
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:48 pm to mtb010
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:48 pm to mtb010
quote:
How many college aged kids actually get their voter registration changed to their college town? I didn't know a single a person that did this while i was in college.
You probably didn’t go to college in MI, WI, IA, PA, MN, or NH in 2008 or after. I’m pretty sure that in WI you can cast (at the very least) provisional ballots THAT DAY. PA and MI I think you can fully register and cast a full ballot that day.
DNC has been mining these college votes aggressively after they learned of the impact in 2008 and swung states like IN and NC to Obama with college students as a huge reason why
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:55 pm
0
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:49 pm to SirWinston
we don't think they are just voting in their hometown instead?
what percentage of their students are OOS?
what percentage of their students are OOS?
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:50 pm to SirWinston
Why wouldn’t they just vote at home in the same state? I get there may be a few less but this seems a little overstated unfortunately.
Ahh now that makes some sense
quote:
So kids from NY or MA attending Penn State or Pitt or Carnagie Mellon would have been activated and changed registration from their safe blue states to these key swing states when they arrived on campus in August and then would have voted en masse on campus either early or on Election Day.
Ahh now that makes some sense
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 2:53 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:51 pm to 1999
Maybe, but they may not live in as swingy of a state and/or they’re probably less likely to vote or vote Dem if they’re going to the polls with mom and dad instead of with 500 young Dems
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:52 pm to 1999
NH in particular has a lot of kids from VT or MA or whatever
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:53 pm to The Maj
quote:
Well, it all depends on their motivation to vote... many of them would have followed the crowd to vote at school... at home, who knows...
Think this is the biggest factor, motivation.
I'm sure a lot of their on campus classes even gave extra credit for going vote that day or something like being let out of class early. This means they directly benefitted or was doing it on someone else's time.
With everyone having to do school from home, going vote is on THEIR time. That's the difference. This won't impact all of them, it might not even be enough to make a difference. There's a chance that there is enough though.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:55 pm to LosLobos111
quote:
This will win Trump new Hampshire
I was thinking this earlier.
Such a small state though. Seems like it makes ballot shenanigans a lot easier. Trump was ahead the entire time in 2016, and then lost it right at the end.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:55 pm to LosLobos111
Yah in NH it wouldn’t take many to flip the 2016 result
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:56 pm to SirWinston
Wouldn't the majority of students be registered to vote in the county where their parents live and not in the county where school is? I was always registered at my home address, not my school's. Further, I voted via absentee every year I was in college and grad school because where I was registered was 6 hours away. I would assume a majority of college kids will still be voting. It might affect numbers a little bit, but they're not going to lose the majority of college votes simply because of schools being shut down.
I think a smaller effect you may see is the lack of voting drives on college campuses that help get kids registered and whatnot not being present may lower the numbers slightly but not enough to swing a state. I know I registered to vote when I turned 18 years old. I had to get a new DL when I turned 18 and registered at the county clerks office at the same time I got my new DL. I turned 18 before I went to college.
I think a smaller effect you may see is the lack of voting drives on college campuses that help get kids registered and whatnot not being present may lower the numbers slightly but not enough to swing a state. I know I registered to vote when I turned 18 years old. I had to get a new DL when I turned 18 and registered at the county clerks office at the same time I got my new DL. I turned 18 before I went to college.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:58 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
The assumption is that the get out the vote efforts at the universities won't happen while kids are out of school.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:58 pm to SirWinston
College students are pretty much all first time voters, if they are registered at all.
The problem for Dems is that their usual campus voter registration drives and GOTV drives are nonexistent this year.
College students, in general, aren't going to take the steps on their own to register to vote. They need someone holding their hand and almost doing the work for them.
The problem for Dems is that their usual campus voter registration drives and GOTV drives are nonexistent this year.
College students, in general, aren't going to take the steps on their own to register to vote. They need someone holding their hand and almost doing the work for them.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 2:59 pm to TideCPA
Only 6% of 18-29 year olds made up requests for mail-in ballots, 5% have returned as of today. 1.4M total mail ins received and early in person votes. So 5% of that is 70K. That would include Trump voters too.
In 2016, 17% was 18-29 year olds of total votes (approx 3M) which is about 510,000. She got 47% of that total. So Clinton got about 240K votes for that age group. Big question is how many will show up Election Day. He’s got some serious catching up to do at this point.
In 2016, 17% was 18-29 year olds of total votes (approx 3M) which is about 510,000. She got 47% of that total. So Clinton got about 240K votes for that age group. Big question is how many will show up Election Day. He’s got some serious catching up to do at this point.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 3:07 pm to deathvalleytiger10
quote:
College students, in general, aren't going to take the steps on their own to register to vote. They need someone holding their hand and almost doing the work for them.
Bingo.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 4:00 pm to Indefatigable
quote:Do you realize how many of these brain dead libtard students can actually vote at school and absentee vote also in their home state. It’s fricking simple.
I would assume that most of the larger schools (Wisconsin, MSU, UM, Penn State, etc.) are state schools. Therefore most of their students are likely still in the state and will vote in their home counties instead, no?
There’s no way to stop it. No checks between states.
Green haired fat libtard Karen is from PA. She goes to college in WI. She votes absentee in PA and registers in WI and votes on campus. There’s literally no way to catch her.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 4:02 pm to bhtigerfan
quote:
Green haired fat libtard Karen is from PA. She goes to college in WI. She votes absentee in PA and registers in WI and votes on campus. There’s literally no way to catch her.
It depends. I didn’t have my registration changed the same day and was only changing my registration because I moved to a different district. I had to apply and was mailed a new card later on
Posted on 10/28/20 at 4:06 pm to lsufball19
quote:But my scenario is easily possible and likely.
Green haired fat libtard Karen is from PA. She goes to college in WI. She votes absentee in PA and registers in WI and votes on campus. There’s literally no way to catch her.
It depends. I didn’t have my registration changed the same day and was only changing my registration because I moved to a different district. I had to apply and was mailed a new card later on
There’s no way for the states to know if you’re registered in another state. It’s fricking bullshite and must be stopped.
This post was edited on 10/28/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted on 10/28/20 at 4:18 pm to SirWinston
I’m assuming because they have to vote in the county in which they are registered (which is the county where they go to school)?
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