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Started By
Message
Are the Republicans gonna hold the Senate?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:35 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:35 am
No comment just asking.
13
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:36 am to shoelessjoe
yep
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:36 am to shoelessjoe
Mostly likely for the first two year, likely not at mid-terms though, which should be everyone's concern.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:38 am to Stuckinthe90s
quote:
Mostly likely for the first two year, likely not at mid-terms though, which should be everyone's concern.
Explain
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:39 am to shoelessjoe
I think so.
Re-taking the House, possible but unlikely.
I'll just say this...if we can have a repeat of 2016, with President Trump winning and the GOP gaining a super majority, what happened 4 years ago would pale in comparison to the nuclear meltdowns we'd see this time.
Re-taking the House, possible but unlikely.
I'll just say this...if we can have a repeat of 2016, with President Trump winning and the GOP gaining a super majority, what happened 4 years ago would pale in comparison to the nuclear meltdowns we'd see this time.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:39 am to Stuckinthe90s
quote:
likely not at mid-terms though,
Based upon? What seats are up that are in jeopardy?
The 2018 Mid-Terms saw the Senate margin GROW.
quote:
which should be everyone's concern.
While, I would not like this...are you assuming DEMs have the White House? If Trump is still there, at worst it is "do nothing" Fed Gov and I have no real problem with THAT
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:39 am to shoelessjoe
If DJT has coat tails, yes. Plus gains in the House too. Maybe a GOP takeover in most optimistic wish.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:40 am to shoelessjoe
Yes
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:40 am to JawjaTigah
quote:
Plus gains in the House too. Maybe a GOP takeover
Nope. That ain't happening. I wish it would, but it just ain't.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:41 am to Stuckinthe90s
I don't think the Democrats are gonna be talking many independent or swing voters into any blue waves any time soon. They sorta blew the faith that was instilled in them by a) not accomplishing any of the promises made in 2018 and b) in fact, they really didn't even try.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:41 am to shoelessjoe
I believe so. Might even pick up a seat if McSally wins. If Trump can win Michigan, I think James rides that coattail. Plus, you got Tuberville ousting Jones.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:41 am to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:
The 2018 Mid-Terms saw the Senate margin GROW.
2018 was just the 3rd time in the last 50 years where the party of the sitting President gained Senate seats in a mid term election.
The other 2 were 1970 under Nixon and 2002 under W.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:45 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:42 am to Stuckinthe90s
quote:
likely not at mid-terms though
So you gonna post your reasoning, or just drop this nugget and disappear?
Depending on the outcome this year in the House, the dems stand a shot of losing the house in the midterms. I believe a lot of the seats vacated by Repubs in 2016 because they were nevertrumpers are up for re-election in 2022. If the R's can gain back 15 or so seats, then flipping the House in 2022 is a real possibility.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:43 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:43 am to Schmelly
Historically, midterms are bad for the party in the Whitehouse.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:43 am to EastBankTiger
quote:
Re-taking the House, possible but unlikely.
We can do it, but only by uniting and putting ONE string candidate in each race. Our votes get watered down by splitting conservative votes
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:43 am to Schmelly
quote:
Explain
2022 Senate map is very unfavorable. Open races in PA and NC have to be assumed to be Dem pickups, with WI a coin toss as well (or a Dem lean if Johnson retires). Only GOP pickup chances are NH (if Sununu runs) and AZ (if Ducey runs).
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:44 am to shoelessjoe
Most likely. GOP loses AZ, CO, ME, but gains AL and MI, with MN as a dark horse pickup opportunity. GOP holds on to all other close seats (NC/IA/GA/MT).
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:45 am to BlackHelicopterPilot
I think so. And pray we do. Will be the only thing that may slow the end of America if Trump loses.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 8:46 am to EastBankTiger
quote:
2018 was just the 3rd time in the last 50 years where the party of the sitting President gained seats in a mid term election.
Okay....and?
Before 2019, LSU had never gone 15-0 and won a DIV I playoff game. I mean, "it hasn't happened very often" is really weak analysis.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 8:47 am
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