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re: 2020 Arizona Ballot Return results as of 10/15/2020

Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:01 pm to
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
53726 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:01 pm to
And dems are bigly Corona nuts so much more likely to mail
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

Democrat early vote is typically 2 or 3 to 1

right... early voting normally favors Dem candidates

the fact the Dems aren't ahead 2:1 should be a bit of a red flag to Dems
Posted by ladyluckUGA
Member since Feb 2014
6432 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:06 pm to
quote:


I dont get it... if most of the votes are Democrat and only 4% are kids... then that mean most adults are voting democrat.... amirite


The point of identifying the percentage of young people in early voting is that the majority of them historically vote early not on Election Day. So if they’re not showing up in droves now, that’s a voting block that’s not going to turn out.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70335 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Every state I’ve looked at for early voting, mostly swing states, people under 40 were making up at most about 14% of the votes cast. Not good for Joe.


yeah, but isn't that age group more likely to vote in person on nov 3 than old people?
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

but to me it simply seems more democrats are voting than republicans... that is what alarming to me... if I am reading the stats right.


Dems ALWAYS outvote Republicans in early voting, every election. This is nothing new.

If gop makes up 70-80% of the dems return totals, they will get smashed on election day.
This post was edited on 10/16/20 at 2:12 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102730 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:26 pm to
Not sure about Az but where I live in Ms a lot of conservatives are registered Dem. it’s because to vote in a primary you have to register to the party and in the Ms delta no Republicans run locally so many are registered D so they can at least get the best possible democrat
Posted by ladyluckUGA
Member since Feb 2014
6432 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 2:39 pm to
See my post above yours
Posted by RoyalAir
Detroit
Member since Dec 2012
7496 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Obama really hoodwinked them all.


I'm a millennial. I was in college when Obama made a name for himself at the Democratic convention.

It is hard to overstate just how "cool" the MSM made him, and subsequently the Democrat party, during that time. He was adored and lauded, and it stuck. Think Clinton on Arsenio x30.

Now, I despised him, and many contemporaries did, too. But he had a marketing campaign that has not, and likely never will, be seen again.
Posted by WWII Collector
Member since Oct 2018
9025 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

The point of identifying the percentage of young people in early voting is that the majority of them historically vote early not on Election Day. So if they’re not showing up in droves now, that’s a voting block that’s not going to turn out.


Makes sense.. thank you.
Posted by tigerchad11
Brandon, MS
Member since Nov 2007
1791 posts
Posted on 10/16/20 at 5:45 pm to
quote:

Not sure about Az but where I live in Ms a lot of conservatives are registered Dem. it’s because to vote in a primary you have to register to the party and in the Ms delta no Republicans run locally so many are registered D so they can at least get the best possible democrat


This is not accurate. I live in MS and you do not register for a party when you register. You can vote in whichever primary you choose. Remember the Thad Cochran/Chris McDaniels primary runoff??! Cochran won because he convinced people that voted in the Dem primary to cross over and vote for him in the run off.
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