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Message

re: Looks like they will open the Bonnet Carré Spillway

Posted on 4/30/11 at 10:02 am to
Posted by TigerGyp
Lafayette
Member since May 2006
975 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 10:02 am to
Opening the Morganza Spillway takes pressure off of the Old River Control Structure. Opening the Morganza will not doom the ORCS.
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 10:32 am to
quote:

Message
Posted by TigerGyp
Opening the Morganza Spillway takes pressure off of the Old River Control Structure. Opening the Morganza will not doom the ORCS.


there is belief that if the river ever gets above that of 1973 that the ORCS will fail. With or without the opening of Morganza. And if they open morganza there is no guarantee that they will get it closed before the river changes course for good and takes out the orcs along with it

eta: I'm surprised some of our "important" people that have say in the decision have not weighed in on their opinion if it.
This post was edited on 4/30/11 at 10:37 am
Posted by TigerGyp
Lafayette
Member since May 2006
975 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 10:40 am to
I'll stand by my first post.
Posted by Boats n Hose
NOLA
Member since Apr 2011
37248 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 10:42 am to
quote:

And if they open morganza there is no guarantee that they will get it closed before the river changes course


I can see this being the major issue
Posted by Tigah in the ATL
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2005
27539 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 11:20 am to
quote:

And they will only do it to save New Orleans
and the port of Baton Rouge & a lot of people's homes, etc.

Glad you're not in charge.
Posted by Geauxtiga
No man's land
Member since Jan 2008
34377 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised some of our "important" people that have say in the decision have not weighed in on their opinion if it.
State level or on the OT?
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 1:40 pm to
Tiga I meant state
quote:

The port of baton rouge

Didn't they build that above the height of the levees? Therefore the only way the port of BR would be fricked is if the river changed course and deep water navigation was shut down
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8142 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

the only way the port of BR would be fricked is if the river changed course and deep water navigation was shut down


They would just dredge it.
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

They would just dredge it.
You can't dredge miles and miles of river over night
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8142 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 3:28 pm to
No, you can't, but tug traffic and light draft ships would continue to flow. I would be curious to see how quickly the corps would issue contracts for dredging following that sort of event. What kind of reduction in water level do you anticipate?
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Posted by Athanatos
No, you can't, but tug traffic and light draft ships would continue to flow. I would be curious to see how quickly the corps would issue contracts for dredging following that sort of event. What kind of reduction in water level do you anticipate?


I honestly don't know as I am not a professional on the topic. However, if the river were to change course, I would imagine they would go up the now Atchafalaya River which would bypass NO and BR and probably up to St Louis and the Ohio River making them the big ports. You can credit Huey P Long with the importance of NO and BR ports by building the old Mississippi River Bridge (hwy190) so low that Oil tankers can't go north of BR. If the river changed you can bet your arse they would go north of BR. They are already trying to establish the Atchafalaya River for deep draft ships in the gulf.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
81820 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Opening the Morganza Spillway takes pressure off of the Old River Control Structure. Opening the Morganza will not doom the ORCS


This is what Sportsman appears to either have wrong or is just ignoring.
Posted by Boats n Hose
NOLA
Member since Apr 2011
37248 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Opening the Morganza Spillway takes pressure off of the Old River Control Structure. Opening the Morganza will not doom the ORCS


but is it possible that if they open Morganza they won't be able to close it back?
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

This is what Sportsman appears to either have wrong or is just ignoring.
I agree with that statement and have not argued that. I'm simply saying when they opened morganza the one time, the river tried to go that way and they had trouble stopping it. Also, they think the orcs will not hold up to another 1973 like event. Just sayin. My argument that it would be their BIGGEST mistake was the economical impact of them opening the spillway again and the river diverting and causing a failure at the orcs. however, I don't think it will get to that point. So this is kinda pointless. This thread was about the Lake P fishing and being messed up by the opening of the BC spillway
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
81820 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

them opening the spillway again


quote:

the river diverting and causing a failure at the orcs


I guess I just don't get why you keep tying these two together. It just makes no sense.
Posted by The Sportsman
Member since Mar 2009
13245 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

I guess I just don't get why you keep tying these two together. It just makes no sense.
The water going through the morganza spillway goes through the atchafalaya basin (the atchafalaya river) which would be the route of least resistance for the river. They are both points of interest to divert river water to the atchafalaya. If one or both were to fail, we'd be fricked. I keep saying the same shite over and over. I'm done with this. Have fun guys
Posted by FlagLake
"Da Ship"
Member since Feb 2006
2347 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

I agree with that statement and have not argued that. I'm simply saying when they opened morganza the one time, the river tried to go that way and they had trouble stopping it. Also, they think the orcs will not hold up to another 1973 like event.


If they don't think the ORCS can't withstand another event like '73 why wouldn't they open the Morganza Spillway? It is either open the spillway and relieve pressure off the ORCS and hope you can close it back, or have the ORCS fail and then it is a definite that the river will divert its course. Seems to me the obvious would be to open the spillway and pray for the best rather than have a catastophic failure at the ORCS.
Posted by FlagLake
"Da Ship"
Member since Feb 2006
2347 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

My argument that it would be their BIGGEST mistake was the economical impact of them opening the spillway again and the river diverting and causing a failure at the orcs.


Also, how would the river diverting at the Morganza Spillway cause the ORCS to fail? You do know that the ORCS is north of the spillway?
Posted by Boats n Hose
NOLA
Member since Apr 2011
37248 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

Also, how would the river diverting at the Morganza Spillway cause the ORCS to fail? You do know that the ORCS is north of the spillway?


Yea that statement's confusing me as well. The info posted even said that in '73 opening Morganza is what saved the ORCS, which is the only thing that would make sense
Posted by Geauxtiga
No man's land
Member since Jan 2008
34377 posts
Posted on 4/30/11 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

Yea that statement's confusing me as well. The info posted even said that in '73 opening Morganza is what saved the ORCS, which is the only thing that would make sense
I thought there was some faulty logic early on but bowed out cause of a lack of knowledge on the matter.
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