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re: Video: Mudslide obliterates town near Nepal/China border

Posted on 8/30/26 at 1:41 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

When it first happened, I saw estimates of dead between 10K - 100K.

Right now it is "only" around 6500.

The USGS just has a range of potential deaths for type and strength of earthquake. Rarely do final tallies reach that range. The 2023 Turkey earthquake death toll made it into the window, but not really near the upper end of 100,000.

Regardless, I'm talking more in regard to official missing totals, generally given out by local officials and response efforts. That number usually starts high and gets pared down as more people are accounted for — either dead, rescued, or found elsewhere. As responders have gotten into more of these villages and towns the number of missing has only gone up, by more than 2,000.
This post was edited on 8/30/26 at 1:52 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 3:13 pm to
Meanwhile, back at the Grand Canyon:

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quote:

PUBLIC ASSISTANCE REQUESTED

The NPS is asking for information about more than 20 individuals who may be missing or unaccounted for following the Aug. 29 flash flood in Bright Angel Canyon and the Phantom Ranch area.

If you know of hikers/backpackers who were in the Bright Angel Creek corridor Aug. 29—or had a campground reservation there—please contact NPS Investigative Services Branch:

888-653-0009
nps_isb@nps.gov
This includes those who may have been on the North Kaibab Trail between the trailhead and Phantom Ranch, at Bright Angel Campground, or in “the Box” north of Phantom Ranch.


From another tweet:
quote:

UPDATE: Significant flash flooding in Bright Angel Canyon has closed Phantom Ranch, Bright Angel Campground, the entire North Kaibab Trail to Phantom Ranch, Black Bridge, Silver Bridge and the Colorado River to river traffic until further notice.

As of this morning, 62 people have been evacuated. Additional evacuations are planned today. No injuries reported.

Nearly all footbridges spanning Bright Angel Creek were destroyed. Additional thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are possible today and Monday, with potential for more flash flooding, debris flows and rockfall.
This post was edited on 8/30/26 at 3:18 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 3:23 pm to
Another flash flood associated with river damming in Nepal occured this morning.

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quote:

Today, on 30 August 2026, a massive flood has struck Mailung in Rasuwa District of Nepal.
The water level of the Bhote Koshi River has risen rapidly, leading to an immediate emergency situation in that area, which had already been devastated by the catastrophic cross-border flash flood that occurred on Wednesday, 26 August.
Due to the river's expanding reach, the Nepal Army had already begun the task of relocating the remaining residents of Mailung to higher and safer locations early this morning.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67420 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 3:28 pm to
That Iain guy is a great geography follow, albeit he is a little woke.
Posted by Stinger_1066
On a golf course
Member since Jul 2021
4175 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile, back at the Grand Canyon:


Back in the early 70s, growing up in Tulsa, OK, they had a system of natural and man-made creeks for drainage.

My friends and I would go down into them and fish.

The sides were rather steep. One time we were down in a creek fishing. There had been a heavy thunderstorm north of town, but no rain where we were.

All of a sudden a huge wall of water comes around the corner and headed directly to us. We all managed to run up the side to safety, but it scared the holy shite out of everyone.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

All of a sudden a huge wall of water comes around the corner and headed directly to us. We all managed to run up the side to safety, but it scared the holy shite out of everyone.

A valuable learning experience. A lot of people just don't know the dangers of flash flooding in that part of the country. Monsoon season is dangerous for the very scenario you described.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 5:20 pm to
Listen to the roar of the water in the distance in this video.
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Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
41651 posts
Posted on 8/31/26 at 1:02 am to
quote:

Sharp rise in number of people missing in Nepal as death toll surpasses 900
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/31/26 at 10:41 am to
Yeah, over 900 dead now and the missing total is up to 4,700.

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Posted by Stinger_1066
On a golf course
Member since Jul 2021
4175 posts
Posted on 8/31/26 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Another flash flood associated with river damming in Nepal occured this morning.


I don't understand why people stand there watching it. I'd be headed for higher ground the moment I saw the water rising.

Reminds me of the tsunami that hit Thailand however many years ago.

People walked out into the ocean trying to figure out where the water went. They found out soon enough.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 8/31/26 at 8:59 pm to
Death toll is at 974 with over 4,200 missing.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 2:34 pm to
1,056 dead and ~4,500 missing as of this morning.

Nepalese officials are taking DNA samples and burying bodies in a "mass" grave. It seems to be more of a mass grave site where each grave/body has an identifiable marker. Man, that has to be a miserable job and process. It is just sad.
Posted by Ailsa
Member since May 2020
13120 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 5:29 pm to

China Starts Erasing Tibet Flood Videos, Punishing Citizens for Alleged ‘Misinformation’

https://www.breitbart.com/asia/2026/08/31/china-starts-erasing-tibet-flood-videos-punishing-citizens-for-alleged-misinformation/
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
50645 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 6:35 pm to
Opinions differ. Even in Earth sciences.

It was a bedrock failure, rockslide, not glacial melt.

2 Geologist discuss the the triggers that went into the massive disaster.

Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
50645 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 6:41 pm to
Watched the video 3x. What am I supposed to be seeing? If there was a 'roar' like a jet engine, I'll have to take your word for it.


Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
50645 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

Do flotsam and jetsam apply inland?


I would tend to think they do.

flotsam and jetsam


Actual title of a chapter in The Two Towers, after the fall of Isengard.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
77267 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 12:25 pm to
Up to 1,114 dead and still around 4,500 missing. Officials from Nepal say ~12,000 have been rescued. Seeing the death toll rise and the number of rescued go up while the missing number remains unchanged or continues to rise is disheartening.
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
50645 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:58 pm to
Saw one clip where a multi storied school building once stood with 900 kids,
who all got out alive.

The patch of land where the building once stood was completely bare, not a trace of it left.
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