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re: TS Elsa - Heading off to the NE, Then Shut the Tropics Down for a Couple of Weeks

Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:31 am to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24411 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:31 am to
quote:

I hate that guy just as much as our local meteorologists do.

What’s the strategy here? “Oh, let’s just post the most heinous model I can find and try to convince people I’m not about hype or followers!”


Go read their reviews. That's EXACTLY what they do. With zero context. Then it gets shared on every mom and grandma's Facebook page like the world is ending. It's so damn frustrating.
Posted by lowhound
Effie
Member since Aug 2014
8759 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Tropical Storm Elsa


Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24411 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:33 am to
quote:

If you want consistency out of a model, the GFS has given it over the past 2 and half days. Now, let's see if it will be consistently right or consistently wrong.


It's sad that we basically have this one model to lean on so far this year. The Euro is king of the trash heap right now, the HWRF is back to blowing up every wave to Cat 5 apocalypse storms.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67168 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:39 am to
I believe that if we see the GFS start to move that Cuban landfall back East, and the corresponding FL landfall back toward the tip, we can say we are seeing it come more in line with the Euro.

If we continue to see the GFS send the storm up the East coast after FL, and it puts more and more offshore, we could also see it coming in line with the Euro. That could mean a FL landfall that takes it across the Peninsula and basically splits the difference in the current GFS and the Euro.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214074 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:42 am to
A lot of guessing going on so far……
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24411 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:45 am to
quote:

lot of guessing going on so far……


No, guessing is what you do, aka throwing shite at a wall. Data analysis is what the pros do, but you definitely don't know anything about that.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67168 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:47 am to
quote:

A lot of guessing going on so far……

You really do have the IQ of a damn rotten potato, don't you? You're a broken record, no creativity, no ambition. No one likes you, yet you keep showing up for more abuse.

I guess when you stay drunk all day and have nothing else at all to live for, that is what you look forward to.

I'm not even going to get mad. I will just say that I feel sorry for you, and hope you get the help you need.
This post was edited on 7/1/21 at 11:48 am
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
126105 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:54 am to
quote:

the HWRF is back to blowing up every wave to Cat 5


Still not like the old HMON that made everything into spawn of Gilbert
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67168 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:56 am to
Levi just put out today's video. Careful, though Peej, there will be some "guessing" in there.
This post was edited on 7/1/21 at 11:56 am
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
107770 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 11:56 am to
quote:

You really do have the IQ of a damn rotten potato, don't you? You're a broken record, no creativity, no ambition. No one likes you, yet you keep showing up for more abuse.



Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24411 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:03 pm to
The HWRF did pretty ok last season so I don't totally dismiss its tracking, just its intensity.
Posted by bnb9433
Member since Jan 2015
14570 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

You really do have the IQ of a damn rotten potato, don't you? You're a broken record, no creativity, no ambition. No one likes you, yet you keep showing up for more abuse.

quote:

dukke vv


yes, yes he does

it's kinda sad really
This post was edited on 7/1/21 at 12:08 pm
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8783 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:08 pm to
Going to be watching this thread closely. My mom came up to WA from FL for the long weekend and is headed back on a red-eye to Miami Monday night/Tuesday morning.
Posted by mark65mc
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
11437 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:09 pm to
TS Elsa? frick it, I'll do it. The tropics right now:

Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214074 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:10 pm to
I’ve been following these storms long before you were even born…..
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24411 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

I’ve been following these storms long before you were even born…..


Wow! Congrats on your achievements in "following" storms like the rest of the Gulf Coast population in its entire existence. Such a scholar you are.
This post was edited on 7/1/21 at 12:14 pm
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
214074 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:15 pm to
Whatever…. All I’m saying is that it’s way to early to speculate where this storm goes….. by the so called pros or anyone else….
Posted by A Smoke Break
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2018
2175 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

I'm not even going to get mad. I will just say that I feel sorry for you, and hope you get the help you need.


You sound pretty mad.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

I’ve been following these storms long before you were even born…..



You mean you watched Nash Roberts in the 70's and 80's?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
67168 posts
Posted on 7/1/21 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

You sound pretty mad.

Nah. When I'm mad I call him a useless piece of shite drunk white trash moron. I did none of that this time.
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