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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Nicholas - Flash Flood Watch for South Louisiana
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:38 pm to BananaManCan
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:38 pm to BananaManCan
quote:
Got 8 gallons of titty milk thawing out in the sink, my body is ready.
Ha ha good call
0
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:38 pm to tgrbaitn08
The horizontal extent of the clouds is attention getting.
Go to the second video at the beginning of this thread. Look at Tampa Bay and at the storms billowing up to the southeast of Tampa.
They aren't coming off the heat of Tampa Bay and are to the north of Naples...are the Everglades the source of the heat?
Which leads to the question: maybe: how much of the rainfall in southern LA is coming off the heat of our swamps?
Go to the second video at the beginning of this thread. Look at Tampa Bay and at the storms billowing up to the southeast of Tampa.
They aren't coming off the heat of Tampa Bay and are to the north of Naples...are the Everglades the source of the heat?
Which leads to the question: maybe: how much of the rainfall in southern LA is coming off the heat of our swamps?
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:39 pm to Impotent Waffle
Non nerds: I can explain this entire graphic with an image.
And it's going to rain a lot. That Pwat is pretty high at 2.28" and with low level flow cranking out of the gulf, should have no trouble sustaining some extremely heavy rainfall rates. The column is saturated all the way up to 150 mb, which is way the frick up there.
That's what the HRRR is picking up on to produce those swaths of a foot plus rain.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:41 pm to real turf fan
quote:
how much of the rainfall in southern LA is coming off the heat of our swamps?
The gulf airmass in general is your fuel. You just need a trigger and with a tropical system nearby it isn't much. A seabreeze (or lake breeze) boundary will throw storms up easily in this environment.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:42 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
Kinda what I figured. Appreciate you and Ollie Williams
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:42 pm to Duke
quote:
The column is saturated all the way up to 150 mb
It gon snow
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:49 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
I was coming here to get your assurances that the HRRR is out of its mind. Now I guess I’ll go ahead and pour a whiskey.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:52 pm to BallsEleven
Location is tricky but when the HRRR and NAM start popping big precip totals on a tropical system they're generally onto something.
Not focused on the exactly where it's showing but that it's showing swaths of a foot plus of rain.
Not focused on the exactly where it's showing but that it's showing swaths of a foot plus of rain.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:52 pm to Duke
quote:
it's going to rain a lot.
Is that rain just hitting Texas & SWLA or is this being rain through EBR and up into Miss?
What are we hearing from the private meteorologist?
Posted on 9/13/21 at 5:55 pm to Suntiger
quote:
Is that rain just hitting Texas & SWLA or is this being rain through EBR and up into Miss?
All of south Louisiana has the potential for some large rain totals. It's hard to figure it to a finer detail than that currently.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:05 pm to Duke
quote:
All of south Louisiana has the potential for some large rain totals. It's hard to figure it to a finer detail than that currently.
What we have here is a mess.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:06 pm to LegendInMyMind
Accurate
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:12 pm to Duke
quote:quote:
What we have here is a mess.
Accurate
quote:
Duke
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:13 pm to Duke
We have some higher winds and lightning on radar now. 94 mph at around 8,500ft.
This post was edited on 9/13/21 at 6:14 pm
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:24 pm to LaBR4
So what the frick?
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
Paging supernovasky ... who I thought was super-novasky and not super-nova-sky. Still 
at myself.
But seriously, he was a godsend for so many here ...
at myself. But seriously, he was a godsend for so many here ...
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
Its been trying to build a true core off and on all day and shear has been hammering it all day.
Another thing to keep an eye on, might get some spicy gusts in the main band. Not like frick shite up gusts, but take out your power for a day or two gusts.
Another thing to keep an eye on, might get some spicy gusts in the main band. Not like frick shite up gusts, but take out your power for a day or two gusts.
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:26 pm to Duke
Duke, what's the word on BR area schools. I know you're in the know
Posted on 9/13/21 at 6:27 pm to Duke
quote:we just got power back in Albany 10 min ago. I may just leave the generator and extension cords out
Another thing to keep an eye on, might get some spicy gusts in the main band. Not like frick shite up gusts, but take out your power for a day or two gusts.
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