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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!

Posted on 7/22/20 at 2:37 pm to
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11938 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

Cajun navy ain’t rescuing anyone if they don’t have a mask on...



Lol best comment of the day
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
25745 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:18 pm to
So are we supposed to be concerned with 91L or not?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51020 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:19 pm to
18z models for Gonzalo




18z models for 91L (Gulf system)

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51020 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

So are we supposed to be concerned with 91L or not?

If you’re in southern Texas get ready for a big rain maker. That would be the biggest concern with 91L, most likely.

WPC estimates precipitation:

This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 3:24 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146471 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
500 PM AST Wed Jul 22 2020

...GONZALO MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.9N 45.0W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 4:57 pm to
Recon is in Invest 91L
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 4:58 pm
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
101491 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:00 pm to
Wave action this morning in Florida
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:01 pm to
That's beautiful
Posted by EveryoneGetsATrophy
Member since Nov 2017
2907 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Wave action this morning in Florida


Knocked you off your chair?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:53 pm to
IMO they should designate 91L as a PTC and put out at least watches tonight.
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 5:54 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43202 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:24 pm to
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and surface observations
indicate that an area of low pressure over the central Gulf of
Mexico is gradually becoming better defined. However, the
accompanying shower and thunderstorm activity is still poorly
organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward at
about 10 mph. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system, as watches or warnings could be
required for portions of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana tonight
or on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
21506 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:26 pm to
First day of a 9 day Leave, 72hr WARNO for Storm Mission.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:28 pm to
The water down there has been incredible the last two weeks.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 7:08 pm to
Gonzalo is a little concerning even though it's in open sea right now because it looks like it's getting their act together. Too early and it's going to run into a lot of shear/dry air but once it moves past all that who the hell knows what happens.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:32 pm to
91L upgraded to PTC 8
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71881 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:37 pm to
Today's Tropical Tidbits and Hurricane Tracker videos:

Tropical Tidbits

Hurricane Tracker (1)

Hurricane Tracker (2)
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51020 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:04 pm to
Notably, several models ramp Gonzalo up to a Cat. 2. That would potentially give him a better chance of surviving the dry air he will have to contend with in coming days.

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51020 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:08 pm to
Meanwhile, Hawaii will get to contend with Hurricane Douglas over the weekend.



Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:23 pm to
Hawaii has been getting a lot of tropical brushes lately. Douglas looking pretty good in that last frame too.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129565 posts
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:28 pm to
Douglas does not look like a cat 1
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