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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!
Posted on 7/22/20 at 2:37 pm to PaulBurbank007
Posted on 7/22/20 at 2:37 pm to PaulBurbank007
quote:
Cajun navy ain’t rescuing anyone if they don’t have a mask on...
Lol best comment of the day
Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:18 pm to MorbidTheClown
So are we supposed to be concerned with 91L or not?
Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:19 pm to LSUfanNkaty
18z models for Gonzalo
18z models for 91L (Gulf system)

18z models for 91L (Gulf system)

Posted on 7/22/20 at 3:20 pm to boxcarbarney
quote:
So are we supposed to be concerned with 91L or not?
If you’re in southern Texas get ready for a big rain maker. That would be the biggest concern with 91L, most likely.
WPC estimates precipitation:

This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 3:24 pm
Posted on 7/22/20 at 4:01 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
500 PM AST Wed Jul 22 2020
...GONZALO MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.9N 45.0W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
Posted on 7/22/20 at 4:57 pm to rt3
Recon is in Invest 91L
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:00 pm to GEAUXmedic
Wave action this morning in Florida


Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:02 pm to t00f
quote:
Wave action this morning in Florida
Knocked you off your chair?
Posted on 7/22/20 at 5:53 pm to EveryoneGetsATrophy
IMO they should designate 91L as a PTC and put out at least watches tonight.
This post was edited on 7/22/20 at 5:54 pm
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, located over the central tropical Atlantic.
Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and surface observations
indicate that an area of low pressure over the central Gulf of
Mexico is gradually becoming better defined. However, the
accompanying shower and thunderstorm activity is still poorly
organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward at
about 10 mph. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system, as watches or warnings could be
required for portions of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana tonight
or on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, located over the central tropical Atlantic.
Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and surface observations
indicate that an area of low pressure over the central Gulf of
Mexico is gradually becoming better defined. However, the
accompanying shower and thunderstorm activity is still poorly
organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next day or so as it moves west-northwestward at
about 10 mph. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system, as watches or warnings could be
required for portions of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana tonight
or on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:26 pm to rds dc
First day of a 9 day Leave, 72hr WARNO for Storm Mission.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 6:28 pm to GEAUXmedic
The water down there has been incredible the last two weeks.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 7:08 pm to rds dc
Gonzalo is a little concerning even though it's in open sea right now because it looks like it's getting their act together. Too early and it's going to run into a lot of shear/dry air but once it moves past all that who the hell knows what happens.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 8:37 pm to GEAUXmedic
Today's Tropical Tidbits and Hurricane Tracker videos:
Tropical Tidbits
Hurricane Tracker (1)
Hurricane Tracker (2)
Tropical Tidbits
Hurricane Tracker (1)
Hurricane Tracker (2)
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
Notably, several models ramp Gonzalo up to a Cat. 2. That would potentially give him a better chance of surviving the dry air he will have to contend with in coming days.


Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:08 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Meanwhile, Hawaii will get to contend with Hurricane Douglas over the weekend.


Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:23 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Hawaii has been getting a lot of tropical brushes lately. Douglas looking pretty good in that last frame too.
Posted on 7/22/20 at 9:28 pm to Duke
Douglas does not look like a cat 1
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