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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - O Canada!

Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:04 am to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35623 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:04 am to
quote:

Yeah. Looks better on radar but pressure slowly rising. Will be mostly a rain flooding threat except for coastal winds and maybe a few trees down and power outages inland.



I still think it makes minimal hurricane by tonight. Organization is starting to happen as the shear drops and the dry air isn't as big of an issue. Plus it is going to start getting a little convection help on the west side from the jet starting to set up over the eastern US.

The disorder this morning just lowered the top end potential to 75-80 mph max.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
24813 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 11:18 am to
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140464 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 11:41 am to
Report from Jax: nothing of note

Edit: oh no. Now we have rain drops as big as lemons.
This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 11:47 am
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99013 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 11:54 am to
Some rain in Charleston, nothing of note yet.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42434 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:09 pm to
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99013 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 12:31 pm to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35623 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 1:30 pm to


Certainly looks like it's building an inner core again. Also moving a little more NE than forecasted. Thinking we get a NC landfall on this.

Another aspect to note, Isaias doesn't lose much strength inland thanks to interacting with that trough. Highest 925 mb (800-1000 feet off ground give or take) winds from the Euro are when it's coming in at Jersey tomorrow. Not epic winds, but 80 kt range on the Euro. Looks to be a pain in the arse all the way up the east coast.

This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 1:38 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11306 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 1:33 pm to
Updated radar loop - 2:15 PM EDT through 4:00 PM EDT

Now has a closed off eye on radar...

This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 3:04 pm
Posted by Puffoluffagus
Savannah, GA
Member since Feb 2009
6098 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 3:44 pm to
I was hoping for two to three inches of rain here but we got hardly anything.

Now it's bright sunny and hot again
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11306 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 3:59 pm to
Yeah. Another miss for the Georgia coast. Not a bad place to live if you want to avoid tropical storms and hurricanes.

But a hit will happen one day...
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202921 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 4:05 pm to
You act like you WANT this to become a major storm and destroy peoples lives.... WTF is wrong with you??????
Posted by nchawg
North Carolina
Member since Sep 2011
133 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 4:14 pm to
Wilmington NC here. As of 5:12pm eastern, nothing. I know it is coming. We are under a tornado watch.

Ordered a pizza. Should get here in 10 minutes. Tipping the driver $20.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35623 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

You act like you WANT this to become a major storm and destroy peoples lives


Nobody is rooting for a hurricane. You're reading a lot of intent into an observation of better organization and pointing out the threat further north of the landfall point.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
50815 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 5:14 pm to
Is alex wilson on the weather channel just getting thick or is she pregnant?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
24813 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 5:15 pm to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
24813 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 5:20 pm to
Gif of the lightning from yesterday morning




ETA Lightning from today

This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 5:22 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11306 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 5:41 pm to
Buoy is getting into the eye...

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11306 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 6:15 pm to
Buoy pressure bottomed-out at 989 mb and the winds were not totally calm. Lowest pressure is probably a few mb less at between 985 and 987 mb.

The latest advisory had 993 so it may have strengthened a little or the estimate was off a bit. Recon is almost there for a new center fix.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35623 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

Recon is almost there for a new center fix.


986 extrapolated and 69 kt SFMR in SW quad.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
24813 posts
Posted on 8/3/20 at 6:29 pm to
Levi
quote:

Evening recon data indicates that #Isaias likely has regained hurricane intensity, with max winds of ~75mph found in the SW eyewall and a much lower central pressure than earlier today. Stronger winds may exist in the NE eyewall.
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