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re: Tornado outbreak, 94 dead, Upwards of 100 unaccounted for search/rescue & cleanup ongoing

Posted on 12/10/21 at 12:53 pm to
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
21924 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

New Orleans had a white Christmas in 2004. Can't ever rule it out


It did...for about ten minutes.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96566 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

That pre-frontal boundary isn't a good look for North MS.


That doesn’t look great for me either along the hwy 82 area in the delta
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
143975 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

New Orleans had a white Christmas in 2004. Can't ever rule it out

riding across the (pre-Katrina) I-10 Twin Span from Slidell was... ummmm... interesting while it was snowing
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10068 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

I haven't followed any of this thread but just want to confirm that we are not having a White Christmas in New Orleans, correct?


Wait what?

Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10068 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:33 pm to
So for Saturday, it looks like most of the worst stuff is staying north of SELA?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96566 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:36 pm to
Wind is howling here it keeps blowing my hat off when I get out of the truck. 82 degrees and sun is out.

Don’t have a great feeling about this
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
143975 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

Wind is howling here it keeps blowing my hat off when I get out of the truck. 82 degrees and sun is out.

Don’t have a great feeling about this

the wind has blown enough to blow my grill cover off the grill
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48592 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:47 pm to

quote:

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Discrete supercell development appears increasingly probable by 4-6 PM CST, accompanied by the risk for severe hail and tornadoes, including increasing potential for a couple of strong tornadoes by early evening.
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 1:48 pm
Posted by Briella
Member since Nov 2021
257 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 1:52 pm to
I’m banking on a PDS.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65862 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:02 pm to
That pre-frontal boundary is still firing well into MS into the early morning hours. It doesn't seem to line out until it is nearly to the MS/AL state line. There are still a few small cells into North AL at around 7am.

ETA: I agree that we could see a PDS Watch for Arkansas at some point.
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 2:03 pm
Posted by Briella
Member since Nov 2021
257 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:04 pm to
Might break out this shirt.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65862 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:09 pm to
Not very often in December do you see 1,500+ CAPE. I don't know that if tornadoes that may happen to night can be considered "low CAPE, high shear" type tornadoes now or not.
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 2:12 pm
Posted by WhuckFistle
Member since Jul 2015
3217 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

I agree that we could see a PDS Watch for Arkansas at some point.



Bring it on, I got a 30 pack in the chest in my truck. Looks like I’ll be headed to deer camp when these storms start popping up.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:16 pm to
1500 is solid. Ok CAPE/High Shear kinda night
Posted by damn_baw69
Member since Mar 2021
103 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:18 pm to
Get ready Lake Charles
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65862 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Get ready Lake Charles

Why you do dis?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Why you do dis?


Well, I always look to *checks notes* damn_baw69 for my weather analysis.
Posted by BootheelSoldier
MO Bootheel
Member since Oct 2017
343 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:36 pm to
Showing 1500ish where we are in SE MO. Looks like it will be a wild ride tonight for us.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:38 pm to
Bootheel pretty much the center of all the best ingredients for tornados. Hope yall dont need to stay safe tonight, but stay safe if that need arises.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
65862 posts
Posted on 12/10/21 at 2:40 pm to
Is it the trough/LLJ ejecting out of Mexico what will force the storms to fire ahead of the main trough? Is it what will help trigger those bands to form?

You've gotta think that without it this is a more normal squall line setup along a digging trough.
This post was edited on 12/10/21 at 2:52 pm
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