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re: The reality about the price of oil - Facts

Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:12 am to
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7837 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:12 am to
quote:

That’s a specific tactic to drive prices up by eliminating competition. BTW, that was a near existential business event for me.


Me too, was laid off spring 2015.

quote:

I assume the link and quote is from a recent meeting?


That article is from November 2014 when they didn’t cut production and sent oil into a market crash for the next 8 years or so until the Ukraine Russia war. Was driving back and forth from laffy and Houston that winter/spring and was getting very nervous seeing the collapse of gasoline prices along the signs on the interstate

But yes I agree opec historically cuts production to prop up prices; however, that was before the shale revolution/US productivity world records
Posted by Shexter
Prairieville
Member since Feb 2014
21531 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:14 am to
quote:

no more bully in the Middle East


There has ALWAYS been a bully in that region, and there will ALWAYS be a bully in that region.
There will NEVER be peace in the Middle East.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7837 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:18 am to
quote:

There has ALWAYS been a bully in that region, and there will ALWAYS be a bully in that region.
There will NEVER be peace in the Middle East.


no one gave a frick about that region until about 1932 so fair to see why they dont like people fricking with them over their oil
This post was edited on 7/17/26 at 9:22 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57122 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:22 am to
Yeah, US shale production was a headache for the Saudis and they very effectively shut it down for a while. I don’t know if it was worth it, because production is back in a big way.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7837 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Yeah, US shale production was a headache for the Saudis and they very effectively shut it down for a while. I don’t know if it was worth it, because production is back in a big way.


i think they just made the majors and mid majors bigger from all the A&D going on during that time period from the smaller independents and mom and pops going out of business

rig count in my region is much lower than it was during 2015 - 2019 fwiw, so perhaps we are seeing a little more discipline now a days (hopefully)
This post was edited on 7/17/26 at 9:26 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57122 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:27 am to
And maybe that was their goal. The majors will play ball with them to fix prices, whereas the independents can’t.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7837 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:29 am to
quote:

And maybe that was their goal. The majors will play ball with them to fix prices, whereas the independents can’t.



that is a good point, although i dont see wall street colluding with OPEC but ya never know
Posted by sosaysmorvant
River Parishes, LA
Member since Feb 2008
1523 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 11:52 am to
quote:

hat is a good point, although i dont see wall street colluding with OPEC but ya never know


Wall Street would sacrifice their mother or first born at the alter of Profit.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7837 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Wall Street would sacrifice their mother or first born at the alter of Profit.


Another very good point
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