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re: Tesla posts massive 702 million dollar loss in first quarter

Posted on 4/25/19 at 10:30 am to
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 10:30 am to
quote:

I am not anti- EV. I actually don’t care one way or the other. My problem is with Musk and his bullshite. He could be the ceo of exxonmobile and I would t like him or his bullshite.
Well, you can hate his personality, his methods, or whatever else you want to hate about him, but what it all boils down to is he gets shite done.

Few people in the history of the world have started a car company that's moved hundreds of thousands of units. Fewer still have started a company that's built rockets that send shite into fricking space. For one person to do both of those things is pretty incredible, and he's got decades of life left.

So what is it that you really hate about him?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 10:37 am to
I will give you spacex until the books are opened and prove differently. Although other than funding i am not sure how much of that is Musk’s credit. Tesla is not a new idea and he didn’t invent EV. He has not proven it is a viable concept and that it can be profitably. Profitability is all that matters in a business. Just cause you have a crazy idea doesn’t mean it can work. I am done here and look forward to the follow-up threads when Tesla goes for more funding and Musk is further investigated by the SEC. Good day.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 10:50 am to
quote:

What are the owning and operating costs of a Tesla versus a comparable sized traditional sedan?
I think we need a few more years of data to find a true TCO for most Tesla's out there, but here are my best guesses:

Tesla vs. your average sedan: Tesla loses TCO due to purchase price

Tesla vs. sedan of similar price: Tesla wins TCO due to lower energy costs

Tesla vs. car of similar performance: Tesla wins TCO due to energy and maintenance costs



It's really going to depend heavily on how long the battery packs end up lasting, and the cost of gas in the near-ish future, as well as how cheap Tesla can end up making the batteries. I think long-term EV maintenance costs will beat out nearly any ICE car, even including the cost of replacement batteries. Just a guess, though.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64404 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:02 am to
This is what gives me pause when it comes to EV’s. I’ve read where on many of them it will be me necessary to replace the battery somewhere around 200,000 miles and the cost of the battery is in thousands. I don’t know if that’s true or not. And to be honest, I suppose nobody can say for sure one way or the other until enough of these vehicles have acquired high enough miles to have a sufficient sample size.
This post was edited on 4/25/19 at 11:03 am
Posted by TigerRad
Columbia, SC
Member since Jan 2007
5354 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:07 am to
quote:

owning and operating costs


Also don’t forget the time associated with maintenance....my time away from work is extremely valuable to me and i haven’t had to suffer the inconvenience of a single gas station or oil change in almost three years since I got my model S.

It’s not all about money, but the above is worth many thousands to me.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25576 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:24 am to
quote:

I’ve read where on many of them it will be me necessary to replace the battery somewhere around 200,000 miles and the cost of the battery is in thousands.


The Model S and Model X have a 8 year unlimited mileage warranty. The Model 3 has a different warranty 4 years and 100 or 120K miles.

Battery life is certainly an important issue but the data collected so far seems quite encouraging.
Posted by TigerRad
Columbia, SC
Member since Jan 2007
5354 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:32 am to
quote:

quite encouraging.


Yeah there are original model s even now with >200k miles and still over 90% of their charge capacity. 500000 seems like a realistic possibility for most.

And the ones manufactured in the next year will be double that.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:51 am to
quote:

Tesla posts massive 702 million dollar loss in first quarter

Is that bad? That sounds bad.
quote:

Tesla stock dipped slightly after earnings were released, but later edged back to even.
I don't know shite about stocks, is that normal? Results were twice as bad as expected but didn't really affect stock price?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:54 am to
quote:

Wait for it..........they are coming.
quote:

But he is coming out with a car with no steering wheel. Oh and did you hear?
Welp, looks like you got here first.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 11:59 am to
quote:

I don't know shite about stocks, is that normal? Results were twice as bad as expected but didn't really affect stock price?

earnings season is weird. Stocks react differently to similar results.
For example iRobot (makes the roomba) posted a mixed bag of results on Tuesday evening and the stock has been down almost 25% since. And their results were much better than what tsla showed.
Now, keep in mind that Tesla was already down 30% this year, which coupled with the overall market run can be described as a net ~50% negative. So that plays into it. Meaning, even they missed badly, people already kind of had that factored in.

But yeah in a vacuum, you post results like what they did, and you should drop way more than the 3% they're down right now.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

It is finely time for Musk to just be the innovator and hire a COO to run the auto sector.

Preach. The sooner that happens, Tesla will be much better off.

The cars are top notch. The day to day way the company is ran and completely shifting strategies almost weekly sometimes, it's pretty bad at this time...no real direction.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Musk never has to worry about being homeless.

He lives in Janky’s head, rent free.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Rivian seems like a better option.

How so?

It looks pretty awesome, I hope it does really well. But it seems pretty inferior in most ways, even compared to early Model S Teslas. It definitely can't really compete with newer Teslas pretty much across the board.
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
11145 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:09 pm to
What Tesla needs is a Thomas Edison company to take their ideas and figure out how to make money off of them.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

I am not anti- EV. I actually don’t care one way or the other. My problem is with Musk and his bullshite.

quote:

What happens when a S. LA Thunderstorm knocks your power out overnight? Do you walk to work? Just curious.

So wait, your question about about a thunderstorm knocking your power out is about Musk and his bullshite, and not an anti-EV statement? Nice try.

Also, how often does a S LA thunderstorm knock out your power for 8 straight hours? And you're assuming you got home with zero charge. What you're presenting is essentially something that'll never happen. It's a really bad point to try to knock an EV car.

But to play your pretty bad hypothetical, if my car is running near 0% and the power is out and expected to be out all night, I'd just go to a supercharger and charge. That scenario is wayyyyyyyyy less likely to ever occur than the scenario of a big hurricane heading towards S LA, and you waiting 30-45 minutes at a gas station to get gas, so I'm not sure I see your point...at all.
This post was edited on 4/25/19 at 12:18 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110703 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

A few billion from the taxpayers will take care of the charging issue.
Yea, that's not at all how that works.

You're really not making any logical points at all in this thread.
This post was edited on 4/25/19 at 12:28 pm
Posted by Tempratt
WRMS Girls Soccer Team Kicks arse
Member since Oct 2013
13307 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Their cars will make great collectors' items once the company goes bancrupt from piss poor management


I heard today that he’s building a factory in China. That’s probably a wise move.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73674 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 4:07 pm to
They already have better cars in China for way cheaper.

Panasonic is going to torpedo that anyway.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6504 posts
Posted on 4/25/19 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

But...who the frick are "aanalysts" how in the hell do they have any reasonable thought into the numbers at Tesla. What if an "analyst" said Tesla is expected to lose 800m last qrtr
..so Tesla "beat" analysts predictions? I get that 700m seems like a big number for a yr much less a qrtr. But...anyone that works for a company of 100 or more works with an "analyst" and...how good are they at numbers within their own company? They have a software program and enough knowledge to sound good



Analysts they are referring to are equity research analysts who are employed by investment banks. They run financial models on companies they follow and update the model every quarter depending on the company's performance. The company also gives 'guidance' to analysts in regards to different metrics that are key to their models. When the 'guidance' (what to expect for next quarter) is very far off from reality, this is bad, as witnessed today with $TSLA earnings

Securities Research Wiki
This post was edited on 4/25/19 at 4:39 pm
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