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Started By
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2
Posted on 5/18/21 at 11:21 pm to blight
I am no OT weather guru, but I will parrot what I heard Rob Perillo explain about the HRRR model on rain accumulation. It does a good job predicting rainfall amounts, but it’s a crapshoot where the heavy rains will actually occur.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 11:27 pm to blight
It's great but like any of these models has a hard time getting the exact locations. Last night it had some big rain numbers bouncing around the BR area/northshore, so I figured someone would get a lot but wasn't sure where.
My thought is most of the larger rain totals stay west of BR, and there's potential for a lot of rain in western LA.
My thought is most of the larger rain totals stay west of BR, and there's potential for a lot of rain in western LA.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 11:32 pm to Duke
i hate shift work. i get to stay up all night watching different models hoping they’re right 
Posted on 5/18/21 at 11:35 pm to Duke
Duke, do you know much about how rivers like the Red and Ouachita drain into LA and how that affects CenLA or even BR area water? It's pouring up here and it all has to fo somewhere. The rivers above and Sabine mostly.
Posted on 5/18/21 at 11:58 pm to tiger91
It’ll be fine. Eventually. Thank you for asking. So many people have been so nice.
Wanted new floors anyway, just not like this
I am now panicking and checking this thread whenever I get a chance. Hoping not to take water again tomorrow.
Wanted new floors anyway, just not like this
I am now panicking and checking this thread whenever I get a chance. Hoping not to take water again tomorrow.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 12:00 am to Sao
I don't know the particulars all that well. I bet The Boat does though.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 12:01 am to blight
quote:
i hate shift work. i get to stay up all night watching different models hoping they’re right
That actually sounds fun though, except the work part.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 12:26 am to Duke
Mane, this shite is nuts. How are we lookin in Baton Rouge tomorrow?
Posted on 5/19/21 at 12:28 am to Sao
None of those impact the Mississippi River because the Red River and Ouachita/Black River don’t flow into the Mississippi. The Red River is going up with this rain but it mostly looks like a big Sabine River problem.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 12:38 am to The Boat
Fun fact: the traditional name is "Red River." Not "The Red River" and never, ever "The Red."
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:05 am to Jim Rockford
Tornado warning right on top of the Lake Charles radar.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:27 am to Ghost of Colby
KPLC reported gusts up to 92 mph
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:32 am to zsav77
Good radar lesson here. Notice how quickly it goes from no rain to oranges and reds. That's going to correlate with strong winds.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:32 am to Jim Rockford
quote:Well things change. “The” is what I hear, mostly. Besides, “Traditional” is peer pressure from dead people and who needs that.
the traditional name
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:33 am to Duke
I’m in Lake Charles and I can confirm the area is getting fricked pretty hard right now
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:40 am to TulaneFan
quote:
I’m in Lake Charles and I can confirm the area is getting fricked pretty hard right now
We’re pretty used to it. Common occurrence around here.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:42 am to TulaneFan
The south end, where the line bends due north...that bend is looking suspect for a tornado or at least a mesocyclone with enhanced rainfall rates.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:55 am to Duke
looks like this band will make it this far. guess yesterday was a bigger blessing that we didn’t get the rain we were supposed to. i keep trying to remind myself the rivers can handle 3-4 inches of rain.
Posted on 5/19/21 at 2:57 am to Duke
It’s pouring like crazy in Lacassine. This is going to be a long morning.
ETA: it took about 30 minutes for the worst part to roll though. Get ready Lafayette and BR.
ETA: it took about 30 minutes for the worst part to roll though. Get ready Lafayette and BR.
This post was edited on 5/19/21 at 3:29 am
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