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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:07 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50648 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

It wouldnt be a little bit. It would be NOLAish

Teedy’s time to shine

I’m no expert but I think the ridge would have to shift eastward or erode a lot more for it to go that Far East. Someone fact check me on that, please.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Goddamn Democrats hate Southern states.


Its funny too because Rhode Island has had two landfalls this year.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177270 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:07 pm to
7 during daylight saving time

6 during standard time
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:07 pm to
They're saying it's forming now? I'd like to see this. That sounds like wishcasting to me unless they have proof a center is forming more to the north now.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Wait ain’t 12Z like 6am CST?


Thats the time the model is pulling in data from.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:08 pm to


I don't know how people get baffled with bullshite like that.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

They're saying it's forming now? I'd like to see this. That sounds like wishcasting to me unless they have proof a center is forming more to the north now.



No.

Somebody explained they expect the LLC to form where the mid level rotation is, a very reasonable hypothesis. That doesnt mean its forming right now.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177270 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:10 pm to
The mid level rotation is skrong on visible
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50648 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

They're saying it's forming now? I'd like to see this. That sounds like wishcasting to me unless they have proof a center is forming more to the north now.

They’re speculating that a mid level circulation may be forming to the north and East. Common sense leads you to believe that if that’s the case, a low level center would also form near the same place.
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

That sounds like wishcasting to me


The only thing worse than wishcasters are the people that constantly accuse others of wishcasting.

Go look at the hi-vis satellite and you can see mid level circulation.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

mid level circulation may be forming to the north and East.


it clearly exists right now
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
776 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:12 pm to
Is it possible this goes further East than Louisiana?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Is it possible this goes further East than Louisiana?


Extremely unlikely.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177270 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Thats the time the model is pulling in data from.

Both the model run today and time of day on the 31st are 12z, PJ, I mean dukke v, I mean Duke
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:14 pm to
That would make sense why the models are shifting more eastward too and if that continues. We about to get it in the pooper then. LC, Laf, etc. seems realistic. *sigh*

Sure would be nice to get football season to come without worrying about a major hurricane barreling down on you.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 3:16 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50648 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

wishcasting.


Stormcast has had more of that over the past two years. There are more there who know their shite than here (Duke is one of them) but with the exception of about five or six posters there, the wishcasting has become a bit much. One lady always has a husband traveling to Houston or somewhere that she’s worried about traffic for. And she reminds the site of that fact multiple times. Another loves to pour on the sob stories about how she just can’t handle this anymore. Then there is this one guy from Slidell who has a fourth grade level understanding of the English language and LOVES to ring the catastrophe is imminent bell every model run.
It’s a bit exhausting but I still read every update there during these times because of the ones who know their shite. You can also go ask Zach Fradella anything and he will respond directly to you in a candid way. Overall, it’s a great site if you can scroll past the bullshite.
This post was edited on 8/25/21 at 3:17 pm
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32886 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:16 pm to
Duke are Invest-97 and 98 too early to call right now in terms of the gulf?

97 looks like a classic fish storm but anything on 98?
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

Overall, it’s a great site if you can scroll past the bullshite.


So just like TD then
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177270 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:17 pm to
The one far out by Africa is gonna stay over open water and get sheared.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50648 posts
Posted on 8/25/21 at 3:17 pm to


It’s a much tamer version of this site.
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