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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:51 pm to
Posted by Scoper
i love hugh freeze
Member since Mar 2021
3305 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:51 pm to
Spann


quote:

NHC is now forecasting Ida to be a very dangerous, category four hurricane when it reaches the Louisiana coast Sunday with 140 mph winds.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 3:52 pm
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39749 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:52 pm to
Yep. Good structure, hot water, low shear, good outflow...frick!


Radar
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18016 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:52 pm to
I feel like this is an uncommon statement from the NHC.

quote:

The NHC forecast explicitly calls for rapid intensification during the next 24 to 36 hours, 
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Parents and grandparents live in central lafourche.

Neither are planning to evacuate yet. Don't like the idea of that, but doubt I'll be able to convince them otherwise


Mandatory evac for ALL of Lafourche now.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

. It should be noted that some fluctuations in intensity are possible as Ida nears the northern Gulf coast due to possible eyewall replacement cycles


When you're hoping for eyewall replacement cycles to drop the intensity you're in deep shite.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40432 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Holy shite this is a huge surge...



I'm afraid those folks around Slackster in MC have greatly underestimated this storm.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40010 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
Yeah but I could use new living room windows.
Posted by SlickRick55
Member since May 2016
2721 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
The weather media just loves saying “rapid intensification”.
Posted by HammerheadLincoln
The farther west the farther out
Member since May 2015
5719 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Mandatory evac for ALL of Lafourche now.


They are aware of that.
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
768 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:54 pm to
We are fricked baws, time to ride
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26053 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

I'm afraid those folks around Slackster in MC have greatly underestimated this storm.


We gonna get one of those "My dad, who you all know as Slackster here, has died" posts if he hangs around. I hope he leaves.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7701 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:55 pm to
Best of luck to all y'all down there. Hoping for the best for you here in Dallas. Spent the first 23 years of my life in Louisiana and still go back often for work. Stay safe and get out while you still can.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40010 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:55 pm to
My friends are staying in MC .. really worried about them.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm
Posted by HammerheadLincoln
The farther west the farther out
Member since May 2015
5719 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
Man, RIP to the Blue Bird Canal duck camp.

So many memories over the years and it'll likely be wiped out by this one.
Posted by jamboybarry
Member since Feb 2011
33193 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

The weather media just loves saying “rapid intensification”.


That’s what happens when your mom
Comes over

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

We gonna get one of those "My dad, who you all know as Slackster here, has died" posts if he hangs around. I hope he leaves.


Yeah, a whole home generator won't save your arse when you don't have a home to be in.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26053 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
Morgan City is such a flood prone place, I can't imagine staying there and taking that chance. Ever see the giant arse metal gates they use to try and keep the water out?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
i selfishly hope he does a live feed for us, ngl
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:56 pm to
NHC Wind Probability Updated

Some cumulative probabilities of sustained hurricane force winds in areas of interest:

New Orleans - 34%
Baton Rouge - 36%
New Iberia - 36%
Lafayette - 33%

Lake Charles - 13%

Morgan City - 47%
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5566 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

so you thinking 60-70 mph gusts in nola and rain?


That seems like the best case scenario (for Nola) with the storm coming in at the center line or west of the current cone. If it comes in on the eastern edge of the cone it could be a lot more than that.

Our group is leaving New Orleans tomorrow morning. Can’t put wife and kids at the mercy of a wobble.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 3:58 pm
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