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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:54 pm to
Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:54 pm to
Please tell me this is a Katrina map....


quote:

In case you're being serious, that is a Katrina map.


I almost had a heart attack.
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 4:56 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43164 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:55 pm to
It is
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176064 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:55 pm to
Yes I know but can we agree NOLA still fricked?
Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24796 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:57 pm to
Not so sure about that .. He is a link to a message board on August 23rd ...
LINK


This is what ole bob was saying on TV (post about half way down)
quote:

Once again-- #34 PostTue Aug 23, 2005 9:39 pm Bob Breck is saying that this will not be a New Orleans Storm. He still thinks it will stay east of Florida!! 0 l
Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:58 pm to



I'm so tired of rain and water.

Guess we better get ready. Looks like we are going to at least get something from this, right? I know it's early, but all of the models have it coming towards the gulf coast. LA doesn't need any more rain.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91320 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Slack, think by Saturday we'll have a good idea of what's gonna happen?


Maybe not the final destination, but you'll be within 5 days of any current projected landfalls inside the GOM, so I'd think we'll have a much better picture.
Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:59 pm to
I think BR, LP, Ascension, and the areas that are already flooded and saturated are more fricked than NOLA...unless NOLA takes a direct hit, no?
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118231 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 4:59 pm to
No.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91320 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Yes I know but can we agree NOLA still fricked?
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176064 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:00 pm to
It's La, we live saturated
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
15960 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:00 pm to
I miss Nash Roberts, he was boss with a magic marker and a grease board.
Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:02 pm to
I've seen your hurricane supply list. Can we revisit that topic, please? We need to be prepared.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40216 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

I miss Nash Roberts, he was boss with a magic marker and a grease board.


As do I.

Lately I tend to follow Eric Berger out of Houston

LINK
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

I'm not defending Breck, I'm saying that if he thought NC was the destination, he was straying wayyyy off the path of the NHC.


When it made its turn northward before the westward turn there was an outlier which showed the storm heading towards North Carolina and he jumped on that outlier.

I personally watched him on TV and watched his meltdown after Nash pinpointed the location where the storm would hit. It is a long standing joke in my family after the NC prediction that when it comes to hurricane predictions find Carl Arrendendo.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91320 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Not so sure about that .. He is a link to a message board on August 23rd ...


Saying what a storm is NOT going to do 5 days out is asinine, so Breck deserves all the criticism in the world.

Staying east of Florida for long was never, at any point, in the NHC advisory starting with Advisory 1. What a clown.

That being said, at 4PM on Friday the 25th, New Orleans was no longer in the cone either. 60 hours later it made landfall near Buras.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

I miss Nash Roberts, he was boss with a magic marker and a grease board.


He was one of the most incredible prognosticators of weather the public has ever seen. It wasn't just Katrina but many other storms he nailed with pin point accuracy which is why the US Military used him during the war to help position ground and air offenses utilizing the weather. He saved thousands of peoples lives during the war.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:11 pm to
18z GFS is rolling

Posted by MSCoastTigerGirl
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
35525 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:14 pm to
That's where it's supposed to be Friday?

Eta: Sorry, I don't really understand these maps. :(
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 5:16 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42049 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:15 pm to
It goes out to Sunday night on that gif
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 5:16 pm
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 5:15 pm to
I knew that ridge looked even stronger. It moves WSW at the very end of that gif. Curious to see if the GFS agrees with the Euro on the ridge backing away in time for it to turn N towards Florida panhandle or not. I feel very confident with this making it to SFL at this point, what happens after is the bigger question for me.
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