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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 10/3/16 at 11:22 pm to slackster
Posted on 10/3/16 at 11:22 pm to slackster
I don't think there are many, if any, geological formations that were formed by meteorological conditions, such as a hurricane. Certainly, storm surge could cut a small island in two, a la Deer Island in Mississippi during Camille and or Katrina, but a continent's coast line wouldn't have been formed by that.
Just guessing I think it's more a function of the Appalachian Mountains that created the coastal curves around GA, SC, and NC.
Where's Pectus? Isn't he the residential geologist?
Just guessing I think it's more a function of the Appalachian Mountains that created the coastal curves around GA, SC, and NC.
Where's Pectus? Isn't he the residential geologist?
1
Posted on 10/3/16 at 11:34 pm to slackster
Florida is basically a really big coral reef that turned into a landmass. If I recall from a Geology class 35 years ago, it's call Karst topography. I don't think it is as old as continental N America. It's basically nothing but very porous limestone. At Jupiter beach, there are limestone outcroppings. It kind of looks like the lava beaches in Hawaii.
Posted on 10/3/16 at 11:51 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
I don't think there are many, if any, geological formations that were formed by meteorological conditions, such as a hurricane.
Yeah it doesn't have to be the actual storms but could be the prevailing steering conditions that force weather in that direction. I genuinely don't know, hence the reason for the question, but like I said, the storm tracks and the coastline in that area are very similar.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 12:06 am to LSUwag
quote:correct
it's call Karst topography
Posted on 10/4/16 at 12:07 am to slackster
Two things real quick, 1st, the global wind patterns on avg dictate storm tracks. So storms that move farther north are more likely to be turned back to the NE by the westerlies. Then add to that the Coriolis effect and you get something like this:
2nd, the 00z GFS is still faster than the Euro but who knows what the Euro will do at 00z. However, that has been a theme so far. The Euro would put a major hurricane about 80 or so mile east of Gainesville, FL on Saturday and the GFS would put it there Friday afternoon/evening. At this lead time, that is well within the margin of error. I'm not sure what will happen with the game weather wise unless models trend significantly east tomorrow.
2nd, the 00z GFS is still faster than the Euro but who knows what the Euro will do at 00z. However, that has been a theme so far. The Euro would put a major hurricane about 80 or so mile east of Gainesville, FL on Saturday and the GFS would put it there Friday afternoon/evening. At this lead time, that is well within the margin of error. I'm not sure what will happen with the game weather wise unless models trend significantly east tomorrow.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 12:11 am to rds dc
The 00z UK looks a lot like the GFS, maybe a bit west of the GFS.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:04 am to rds dc
Does this thing have any chance of going west and sliding over Florida into the Gulf, like Katrina did? Or, just going west and getting into the Gulf the old fashioned way?
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:05 am to rds dc
I wonder if we're starting to see some drier air infiltrate the system. The organization seems to be getting worse over the last few frames and the cloud tops aren't what they once were.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:09 am to sealawyer
quote:
Does this thing have any chance of going west and sliding over Florida into the Gulf, like Katrina did? Or, just going west and getting into the Gulf the old fashioned way?
I guess "never" is too strong, but to my knowledge there aren't even ensemble members that are suggesting this is a possibility.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:16 am to slackster
quote:
guess "never" is too strong, but to my knowledge there aren't even ensemble members that are suggesting this is a possibility.
Thats good. I've never understood the method to the madness of tracking these things.
Whatever usually pushes these things west isn't present here? Or is there some force holding it east.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:19 am to slackster
On the latest spaghetti monster image there's only one member that goes into the gulf and even that one huge the western coast of the Florida peninsula so it's extremely unlikely
Also rds or someone like him (aka someone who knows what they are talking about) said earlier that it might be getting into some drier air for a little bit tonight so that's certainly possible
Also rds or someone like him (aka someone who knows what they are talking about) said earlier that it might be getting into some drier air for a little bit tonight so that's certainly possible
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:33 am to sealawyer
quote:
Thats good. I've never understood the method to the madness of tracking these things.
If you want a damn good explanation, check out the daily videos from Tropical Tidbits.
Easy to follow and you'll learn more in 10 minutes than you have in your life.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:36 am to slackster
0z Euro seems to be ever so slightly west of the previous run.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 1:55 am to sealawyer
quote:
Does this thing have any chance of going west and sliding over Florida into the Gulf, like Katrina did? Or, just going west and getting into the Gulf the old fashioned way?
The ridge would have to be a lot stronger than it's forecast to be, then again, the ridge already is stronger than it was forecast to be a few days ago.
This post was edited on 10/4/16 at 1:56 am
Posted on 10/4/16 at 5:11 am to TigersHuskers
quote:
Looks like a Hugo
Don't say that. We lost a house that had been in our family for years and years, and everything in it, during Hugo.
(Truth be told..I am afraid this is gonna be worse than Hugo was)
Posted on 10/4/16 at 5:14 am to rds dc
Anywhere even close to the majority of these and I am royally screwed. frick you, Matthew.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 5:37 am to Carolina_Girl
hell i'm getting a little nervous myself. Carolina girl id be really nervous if i was you! Do you live close to the coast of SC? looks like SC or NC are in the crosshairs 
This post was edited on 10/4/16 at 5:43 am
Posted on 10/4/16 at 5:38 am to Carolina_Girl
Stay safe CG.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 5:56 am to Carolina_Girl
Is this thing headed to Miami beach? We're actually on a cruise right now we just docked at st Thomas and then st Maarten tomorrow before we head back to Fort Lauderdale for a sat morning docking but it looks like we will be right behind it. My dogs are at a pet hotel in sunny isles beach north of Miami so I'm worried about them now, not sure what the place does if they evacuate the area.
Posted on 10/4/16 at 6:08 am to Carolina_Girl
Good luck CG. Also, boardup and run
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