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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:17 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:17 pm to
Added model run times and link to model site at bottom of OP.
Posted by TheArrogantCorndog
Highland Rd
Member since Sep 2009
15701 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:18 pm to
quote:

rds dc


Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16701 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

When do they close the parks if it get bad?
during hurricane Charley in '04 they closed early, like around noon/ early afternoon. (It was the first time ever) Charley rolled thru with up to 105 mph gusts around 9:00 that night. Amazingly they were open at the regular time the next morning.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13723 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:22 pm to
10MTNTiger, here is the key part of the latest from the NHC for you in GTMO.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N 74.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

As of now, the hurricane force winds are forecast to extend outward 35 nautical miles or about 40 statute miles to the NW of the center. 40 miles west of 74.4W is right about 75.1W which is the eastern side of Guantonomo Bay. So it looks like weak Cat 1 conditions there with Cat 2 gusts possible. Nothing to sneeze at but well built structures should be fine.
This post was edited on 10/3/16 at 10:23 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:22 pm to
Graphic below shows every NHC forecast cone and the 18z GEFS:

Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
14400 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:23 pm to
almost GFS time. My parents live in NY State and an Irene style flood would be awful for their area, most parts of upstate NY still havent recovered from the 2011 floods.
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4782 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:24 pm to
Honestly, I am more worried about the Bahamas with winds. Port-au-Prince Haiti has a very small chance of seeing hurricane force winds. The core of the storm will be significantly west of that that city. It will be the rain that will be the problem in Port-au-Prince.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32082 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:26 pm to
Any chance this will effect MNF next week in Carolina vs Tampa?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66899 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

few years ago I was on a cruise that visited Labade which is their national park (for tourists only). There is a wall around it with patrols on 4x4 trucks with machine guns. When the truck would pass, kids would come to the fence and beg for food. It was heartbreaking and made you ashamed of yourself

Labadie is the private resort of Royal Caribbean Cruise Lines. Apparently they bought the property and that's the only place you go when going to the Island. Whereas other ports of call you are free to do basically whatever you want, on this port , you pretty much are fenced into a certain area. Don't know if that has more to do with the Haitian political situation or more to do with RCL just wanting to keep all its cruisers in one money making spot.
Posted by Col Reb is my mascot
Member since Feb 2012
4165 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:28 pm to
What cruise line?

ETA: just saw, nvm
This post was edited on 10/3/16 at 10:30 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:30 pm to
Bad night fore the whole of Hispaniola. Matthew will move across western Haiti tonight and it looks like a very large outer band is setting up over DR.

Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
14400 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:36 pm to
GFS now running
Posted by Spankum
Miss-sippi
Member since Jan 2007
60263 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:39 pm to
man, that does look bad....pretty much no avoiding it for those folks now...
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
17953 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:39 pm to
Royal Caribbean

Great cruise line but, that bothered me. They tried to keep people away from that area so, I of course checked it out.
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4782 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:40 pm to
Folks you need to look At this. . Pics of Cite Soleil.... One of the most poor and violent neighborhoods in the world. It is literally a suburb built on debris and trash. This is an area about to get hit hard.

Here a few of the pics.




Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91271 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:42 pm to


I may have mentioned this in a previous hurricane thread, but I often wonder if the shape of the east coast of the US is shaped the way it is due to tropical impacts. You see storm tracks like this all the time. It seems to fit too perfectly to be coincidental.

This post was edited on 10/3/16 at 10:51 pm
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39829 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:43 pm to
Or maybe storms follow that path because of the shape of the US
Posted by Mud_Till_May
Member since Aug 2014
9685 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:43 pm to
God's about to wipe that place clean.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:44 pm to
Wow. That's an amazing shot. We just just flew out of DR Friday night. Damn that was close
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
17953 posts
Posted on 10/3/16 at 10:45 pm to
That's horrible.
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