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Started By
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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:51 pm to ReauxlTide222
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:51 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:
What's this mean for this here pin?
Your Pin is mostly in Blue/Yellow, which mean water 1-3 feet above the ground with the surge, I believe.
ETA: I am estimating that Blue/Yellow would be closer to 1-3', while Yellow/Orange would be 3-6+'
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 11:53 pm
2
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:54 pm to Tiger in NY
Officially 954mb now.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:54 pm to Tiger in NY
Thanks guys. That graph doesn't lend itself to those of us who don't know what's going on...while being color blind 
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:56 pm to slackster
Seems to be steadily strengthening now
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:56 pm to Tiger in NY
quote:
Your Pin is mostly in Blue/Yellow, which mean water 1-3 feet above the ground with the surge, I believe.
ETA: I am estimating that Blue/Yellow would be closer to 1-3', while Yellow/Orange would be 3-6+'
The way I'm interpretation the legend is that blue means the area is forecasted for surge greater than 1 foot, but less than 3 feet or else it would be yellow. Yellow is greater than 3 but less than 6. Orange is greater than 6 but less than 9. Etc.
I could be wrong, but the way it reads is somewhat ambiguous and I'd prefer to err on the side of caution.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:56 pm to slackster
quote:
Officially 954mb now.
The 00z GFS is too high at 06z, but drops this another 20mb b/w 06z and landfall. That last reading was around 04z... This all looks to be bad news.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:56 pm to slackster
quote:
Officially 954mb now.
Was just gonna say it went down 10mb in a couple hours. If that continues, this could be Katrina like, increasing all the way to landfall.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:58 pm to slackster
quote:
The way I'm interpretation the legend is that blue means the area is forecasted for surge greater than 1 foot, but less than 3 feet or else it would be yellow. Yellow is greater than 3 but less than 6. Orange is greater than 6 but less than 9. Etc.
Yes, but logic would say the the point where blue meets yellow would be between 1-3, and so on, no?
Posted on 10/5/16 at 11:59 pm to ReauxlTide222
Wow! Cocoa is really exposed to everything. There some models that have it turning inland just south.
I really hope you catch a break somehow.
I really hope you catch a break somehow.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:00 am to LSUwag
quote:
Wow! Cocoa is really exposed to everything. There some models that have it turning inland just south.
I really hope you catch a break somehow.
No big deal, he just has a golf match there tomorrow
j/k Reauxl
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:02 am to rds dc
While we await the Euro run, I thought this was pretty significant. This is the 192 hour out Euro from the 12z run on 9/28.
Pretty damn impressive.
Pretty damn impressive.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:04 am to Tiger in NY
What areas up the coast are the most flood-prone? I can't really remember any epic floods around Florida in my lifetime(26yo). I'm worried about this thing, but not exactly sure why at the moment. Is the wind going to be horrific? Storm surge rain and flooding gonna be the main concern? For all the information I've seen, I still can't picture what's about to happen.
This post was edited on 10/6/16 at 12:09 am
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:04 am to Tiger in NY
quote:
Yes, but logic would say the the point where blue meets yellow would be between 1-3, and so on, no?
Possibly. There is no gradient or anything, but I'd imagine the blue areas near yellow ares are higher than the blue ares near gray areas, while still being somewhere between 1-3 feet. The yellow areas near blue areas are probably on the lower end of the 3-6 feet levels compared to yellow areas near orange areas.
The map is both useful and incredibly frustrating at the same time.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:07 am to LSUwag
FWIW and not that it makes much difference at this point, the 00Z HWRF goes just inland near Port St. Lucie at 940 mb and rides straight up the coast up to Daytona then rides up along 80W to offshore Jacksonville while barely weakening to 955 mb.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:07 am to slackster
Agreed, but still very useful to at least see. If you are yello or orange, be ready for flooding.
One note, there is a disclaimer at the bottom that it represents a 10% chance (or something like that)
One note, there is a disclaimer at the bottom that it represents a 10% chance (or something like that)
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:07 am to ReauxlTide222
quote:
Is the wind going to be horrific? Storm surge rain and flooding gonna be the main concern? For all the information I've seen, I still can't picture what's about to happen.
As far as we can guesstimate right now wind and rain will be the biggest issues as long as it stays offshore. The storm surge issue is complex depending on how the storm comes ashore, if at all.
If it parallels the coast from West Palm Beach to Jacksonville over a 24 hour span and 130+ MPH winds areas along the coast will take a beating.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:08 am to Tiger in NY
quote:
No big deal, he just has a golf match there tomorrow
I decided not to play
Also demanded that my parents gtfo and they arrived a few hours ago. Broken dog and all...and he ain't having fun, lemme tell ya.
We're good to go, though.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:09 am to Tiger in NY
quote:
One note, there is a disclaimer at the bottom that it represents a 10% chance (or something like that)
, I'm laughing because of how ambiguous the whole thing is, including that disclaimer. I think it basically is saying that there is a less than 10% chance the flooding will exceed those levels given the current forecast.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 12:10 am to Tiger in NY
Could this thing really get to a cat 5 hit Florida east side. Then loop around and frick up one of the other gulf states.
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