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re: SpaceX Starship Full Stack Test Flight Thread | Cleared Tower, Thru MaxQ, then RUD

Posted on 4/21/23 at 2:37 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
144061 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

For us non rocket scientists, what does that mean?

1 of the biggest speculations of what caused the rocket to go out of control was 1 of the engines exploded and took out the hydraulic system (HPU) which controls the rocket's steering system (TVS)

the guy in chat is saying the hydraulics were at no point inoperable and the rocket could still steer at the moment the decision was made to make the rocket self-destruct

a rocket steers by moving the engines nozzles around (called 'gimbling')... so at the point of explosion... all the engine nozzles which should have been able to gimble... could do so

ETA: of note... on the Super Heavy Booster... the outer ring of engines are stationary and could not gimble... all of the inner-ring engines can gimble

now a secondary issue with that is... if you lose an inner-ring engine... that's an engine that can no longer help steer even if the hydraulics (or in future versions of the booster... electric motors) are fully functional
This post was edited on 4/21/23 at 2:41 pm
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37083 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 3:03 pm to
All this money and they can’t get cameras to not screw up?
The main shot on the launch fizzled then three of the five shots showed nothing.

Also I need some altitude and speed with the video.

What a bummer of a video. That sucked balls.
This post was edited on 4/21/23 at 3:06 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
144061 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 3:16 pm to
Scott Manley finally has his video analysis of the launch & explosion up on YouTube

and he basically lays most of the blame at the launch pad (stage 0)... saying a total reengineering will have to be done
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29000 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

For you aerospace engineers, do 33 rocket engines increase the number of possible failure points?
IANAE, but from a basic systems design perspective more redundancy = more reliability generally. More potential failure points is not necessarily bad if the result is the elimination of single points of failure.

What it boils down to is that yes, 33 small engines as opposed to say 5 large ones does increase the chance of at least 1 failure, but lowers the chance of a catastrophic number of failures. For example, if the mission requires 75% of total available thrust, then with 5 engines you need either 4 or 5 engines to work (because 3 gives only 60% thrust) and with 33 engines you need 25 or more to work. If the failure rate per engine is 10%, then with 5 there's 91.85% chance that 4 or 5 will work but with 33 there is 99.6% chance that 25 or more will work. Even if the larger engines are more reliable the probability of success favors more smaller engines. For example the 5 larger engines would need to be 98% reliable (2% failure vs 10%) in order to match the 99.6% success rate of 33 (90% reliable) small engines.


And that's in addition to other advantages like more precise control of thrust and the cost savings of using a single engine design that can scale from small to large vehicles.
This post was edited on 4/21/23 at 3:41 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
144061 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 4:29 pm to
Elon with insight on what happened with the launch pad yesterday

quote:

Elon Musk @elonmusk
3 months ago, we started building a massive water-cooled, steel plate to go under the launch mount.

Wasn’t ready in time & we wrongly thought, based on static fire data, that Fondag would make it through 1 launch.

Looks like we can be ready to launch again in 1 to 2 months.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2899 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 4:56 pm to
I wonder with the proximity to the beach if they could open a lock and flood the under rocket area or if flashing seawater to vapor would be just as harmful to the engines.
Posted by TigerV
Member since Feb 2007
2700 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 5:08 pm to
I am surprised they think this can be completed this quickly, but Elon is usually pretty good about not meeting his timeframes.

I am hoping the deluge system is more than just a water cooled steel plate, but it does do not look like they have a lot of water storage capability now.
Posted by AndyCBR
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2012
7928 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 6:31 pm to
quote:


Looks like we can be ready to launch again in 1 to 2 months.


Seems like an awful lot of sitework, fill, compaction, and concrete work for that short a timeframe.

But lots can happen if you throw enough money at a problem.
Posted by lz2112
Largo, Fl
Member since Oct 2019
1172 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

I wonder with the proximity to the beach if they could open a lock and flood the under rocket area or if flashing seawater to vapor would be just as harmful to the engines.




That might open up a huge can of federal environmental red tape that would take years to resolve.

Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29000 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Elon is usually pretty good about not meeting his timeframes.
If setting unrealistic goals is the key to building several multi-billion dollar companies then I'm not sure that's a bad thing.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
43179 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

If setting unrealistic goals is the key to building several multi-billion dollar companies then I'm not sure that's a bad thing.
it is when you are under contract to the US taxpayer for $8B. And that contract requires NASA to build a whole bunch of other shite that costs billions more.

letting the launchpad get destroyed regardless of the cause is ridiculous. I’m not saying there was a solution because I don’t know but there dang well better be one coming
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
17647 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 7:23 pm to
They have a true deluge system in the plans.
Wish they would have waited. That debris taking out the raptors early really hurt them and I think is ultimately why they didn’t make orbit.
I’ll be that guy and say 4th of July for next launch!
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29000 posts
Posted on 4/21/23 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

it is when you are under contract to the US taxpayer for $8B.
Destroying shite on the reg has been their MO from day 1 and it's what got them the fat contracts in the first place.
quote:

letting the launchpad get destroyed regardless of the cause is ridiculous.
Pretty much every single thing they do has never been done before and the limits are not known until you exceed them. Case in point, prior data suggested that the launch pad would survive one launch, now they know that it didn't and future expectations and designs will be better aligned with the data.
quote:

I’m not saying there was a solution because I don’t know but there dang well better be one coming
Of course there will be a solution. After all the shite spacex has done already, you don't think they can build a fricking launchpad that works?

Look, unless you think NASA could do it cheaper and faster themselves using their methods, wtfrick are you bitching about?
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