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Message
re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)
Posted on 1/20/22 at 3:54 pm to The Boat
Posted on 1/20/22 at 3:54 pm to The Boat
Radar is showing a good bit of rain/moisture around Austin that doesn’t appear to be in the initial frames of these model runs….
Are the models under predicting available moisture?
Are the models under predicting available moisture?
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:04 pm to The Boat
quote:
37.7 where I sit 3 hours away from BR which is at 39 right now.
I just looked at the NWS stations across the state.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:08 pm to lsufishnhunt
quote:
Are the models under predicting available moisture?
Not really. Both HRRR and NAM have shown that precip for a while now.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:10 pm to lsufishnhunt
quote:
Radar is showing a good bit of rain/moisture around Austin that doesn’t appear to be in the initial frames of these model runs….
That’s what’s we’re discussing right now in class
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:13 pm to The Boat
quote:
That’s what’s we’re discussing right now in class
So should we even be paying attention to your posts? Because obviously you’re not paying attention in class by being on here. How much should we really be trusting you?
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:15 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
So should we even be paying attention to your posts? Because obviously you’re not paying attention in class by being on here. How much should we really be trusting you?
Only person to trust on this thread is Peej. No one has a better track record.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:18 pm to MrLSU
That’s true. Has he made an appearance in this thread? I don’t believe I’ve seen him.
Or the usual threats to whip his arse by others in weather threads. Hopefully he stays warm in the mobile home and follows proper space heater safety recommendations.
Or the usual threats to whip his arse by others in weather threads. Hopefully he stays warm in the mobile home and follows proper space heater safety recommendations.
This post was edited on 1/20/22 at 4:21 pm
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:24 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
So should we even be paying attention to your posts?
It depends. Would you trust The Boat for your weather needs if your life depended on it?
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:26 pm to TDsngumbo
Comparing the current radar to earlier HRRR and NAM runs. Just Reflectivity, I didn't do precip type, but both show mixed precip in the Austin area at this hour.
00z HRRR:
18z NAM
Pretty good as far as where and how much precip we are currently seeing.
00z HRRR:
18z NAM
Pretty good as far as where and how much precip we are currently seeing.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:27 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
It depends. Would you trust The Boat for your weather needs if your life depended on it?
Woah! I feel like I've been here before....
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:29 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Hopefully he stays warm in the mobile home and follows proper space heater safety recommendations
That'll be hard to do with that giant hole Ida left in it.
Although it lessens the chances of carbon monoxide poisoning so that's a plus.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
HRRR has been moving the moisture over southeast La northward over the last 9 runs. Synoptically all the players are there but the models haven’t been producing the precipitation. Nws mets have been bitching about it.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:30 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
It depends. Would you trust The Boat for your weather needs if your life depended on it?
No doubt about it
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:35 pm to LegendInMyMind
slight warmup occurred in baton rouge, temps were hovering around 39 now they're around 40-41
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:36 pm to The Boat
Could those lower level winds have anything to do with keeping the precip farther South?
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
I cant find my keys, wife had to go get kids from school. Godspeed, baws. Death is coming for me....
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:48 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
I cant find my keys
Check the door.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:50 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
Death is coming for me....
It depends. Would you trust TDsngumbo and The Boat for your weather needs if your life depended on it?
Posted on 1/20/22 at 4:58 pm to Oates Mustache
Well I’ve survived every weather event I’ve ever experienced in my 36.5 years on earth so I have a decent track record.
Posted on 1/20/22 at 5:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
It has more to do with the position of the front is the gulf and the 500 mb trough over western Texas. Getting a read on that trough has been tough.
This post was edited on 1/20/22 at 5:47 pm
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