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Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:23 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Shiiittt, 3/4 of an inch of freezing rain is still catastrophic. Hell, a tenth of an inch would be a problem.
The hope is to see that downtrend continue. I haven't compared Sim. Reflectivity from run to run yet. There's a reason for the drop. Either the overall total of rain has gone down, or that second line of rain comes through sooner/quicker on the 18z run.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
NAM
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
Well that aint good, almost an inch of ice in SELA sounds like a nightmare
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:36 pm to Impotent Waffle
Legend,
My best guess is that the QPF didn’t change between runs, only the precip type. Northern areas transition to sleet earlier from a colder airmass which is depicted on that accumulation model.
My best guess is that the QPF didn’t change between runs, only the precip type. Northern areas transition to sleet earlier from a colder airmass which is depicted on that accumulation model.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:37 pm to The Boat
quote:
Should probably get the admins to fix this thread title.. since it won't be snowing anyways.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:47 pm to LegendInMyMind
HRRR coming in drier on the 00z at 18z thursday, develops later
This post was edited on 1/18/22 at 7:53 pm
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:50 pm to DVinBR
quote:
HRRR coming in drier on the 00z
Not seeing that to hour 44.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:51 pm to DVinBR
Yeah, but it is only to 21z, and the NAM also has nothing at that point.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 7:53 pm to lsugolfredman
edited
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:02 pm to DVinBR
Love the 0z and 18z 48 hour hrrr runs. Like getting desert after dinner. Normal hrrr is only 18 hours.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:02 pm to Impotent Waffle
quote:
Well that aint good, almost an inch of ice in SELA sounds like a nightmare
That is true.
With so many bridges, any accumulation of ice could shut down a number of roads.
But as with any models, you can expect one model go one way and the next is going to reel it back a little, and the next could be worse than the first.
We have seen the play out all the time whether it is a “snow” storm or a hurricane.
This post was edited on 1/18/22 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:04 pm to The Boat
Explain yourself, hooker.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:06 pm to Oates Mustache
Hrrr runs every hour. Hrrr output is 48 hours long for the 0z and 18z runs. Every other run is 18 hours of output.
6 and 12z too but we hardly use those since that’s the middle of the night
6 and 12z too but we hardly use those since that’s the middle of the night
This post was edited on 1/18/22 at 8:08 pm
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:07 pm to Tarps99
No doubt.
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:07 pm to The Boat
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhjhhhhh
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:08 pm to Oates Mustache
He likes having the runs.
This post was edited on 1/18/22 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:09 pm to The Boat
Come on baws, get me home to the river Friday morning at 5 before the shitshow starts
Posted on 1/18/22 at 8:09 pm to The Boat
every 6 hours is a 48 hour run
00z 6z 12z 18z
00z 6z 12z 18z
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