re: Significant Friday evening east Texas severe weather threat

First tornado watch of the afternoon:



Probabilities within the watch:

Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes - High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes - Mod (50%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events - High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots - Mod (60%)

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 560
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Eastern and Southern Oklahoma
North Central and Northeast Texas

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until
800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity this afternoon, with scattered severe storms expected.
Strong winds aloft and a moist environment will pose a risk of
tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in the strongest cells.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Fayetteville AR
to 25 miles east of Temple TX. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).